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Brazil vs Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Aug 2022
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 72-82
13-17 17-21 17-25 25-19
Position#23
Record5-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Mexico 🏆
Position#26
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game82.8
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2023
Meetings · Brazil v Mexico
30 Nov 2026
BRAZ v MEXI
upcoming
29 Aug 2022
BRAZ72
MEXI82
03 Jul 2021
BRAZ102
MEXI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brazil winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#17
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H30/06
Olympic Games
Mexico
#16
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H03/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A04/07
Olympic Games
Chile
#68
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H26/11
World Cup
Chile
#68
W
81-55
81
55
+26
A27/11
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H25/02
World Cup
Colombia
#58
W
119-73
119
73
+46
H28/02
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A30/06
World Cup
Colombia
#58
L
98-104 OT
98
104
-6
A04/07
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A26/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
20-14
26-21
23-12
24-18
29-24
27-15
22-17
17-14
17-22
12-16
18-23
22-21
19-14
15-8
21-10
18-17
17-11
23-15
23-12
14-14
23-18
18-11
30-23
25-21
32-15
27-20
35-17
24-12
19-20
19-10
11-18
19-27
18-21
18-17
21-11
24-15
19-21
16-16
13-23
156.7Avg total
86.5Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.469.4155.9+17.071%
Season at home (3)93.764.0157.7+29.7100%
Season away (4)81.073.5154.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)86.570.2156.7+16.370%
Last 5 (5)89.475.6165.0+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.091.0173.0-9.033%
vs Similar (1)79.078.0157.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)81.066.5147.5+14.581%
This opponent (Mexico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico
#4
W
81-56
81
56
+25
A30/11
AmeriCup
Puerto Rico
#4
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H20/02
AmeriCup
Germany
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A29/06
Olympic Games
Russia
#20
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H30/06
Olympic Games
Brazil
#4
L
74-102
74
102
-28
A03/07
Olympic Games
Puerto Rico
#10
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H29/11
World Cup
Cuba
#76
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A25/02
World Cup
Cuba
#76
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H02/07
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
L
87-97 OT
87
97
-10
A05/07
World Cup
Colombia
#58
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
H26/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-8
13-24
19-15
27-9
13-22
21-18
19-18
17-22
22-19
20-21
25-22
9-20
18-16
13-20
19-7
22-21
18-24
24-29
15-27
17-22
27-23
19-25
22-18
22-20
16-16
23-21
28-17
15-18
18-16
24-20
19-11
14-19
18-19
17-32
24-17
25-16
32-21
23-18
12-21
13-20
159.4Avg total
79.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.682.8167.4+1.860%
Season at home (3)84.781.7166.3+3.067%
Season away (2)84.584.5169.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)79.679.8159.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)84.682.8167.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.780.0150.7-9.314%
vs Similar (13)75.775.5151.2+0.246%
vs Weaker (10)80.671.3151.9+9.380%
This opponent (Brazil) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
BrazilMexico
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrazilLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H30/06
Olympic Games
Mexico
#16
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H03/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A04/07
Olympic Games
Chile
#68
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H26/11
World Cup
Chile
#68
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A27/11
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H25/02
World Cup
Colombia
#58
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H28/02
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A30/06
World Cup
Colombia
#58
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A04/07
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A26/08
World Cup
78.4Avg total
42.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.636.176.7+4.572%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.435.476.8+5.981%-
Last 30 away (13)39.736.976.6+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)42.535.978.4+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.880.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.045.384.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (1)30.040.070.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.234.876.1+6.484%-
This opponent (Mexico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A30/11
AmeriCup
Puerto Rico
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H20/02
AmeriCup
Germany
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/06
Olympic Games
Russia
#20
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H30/06
Olympic Games
Brazil
#4
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A03/07
Olympic Games
Puerto Rico
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H29/11
World Cup
Cuba
#76
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A25/02
World Cup
Cuba
#76
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H02/07
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A05/07
World Cup
Colombia
#58
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H26/08
World Cup
81.3Avg total
40.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.873.6-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.536.773.2-0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)37.137.074.1+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.281.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.285.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.639.972.4-7.314%-
vs Similar (13)36.638.575.1-1.838%-
vs Weaker (10)39.932.672.5+7.380%-
This opponent (Brazil) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brazil wins
2
Mexico wins
DateGameScore
03/07/21Brazil v Mexico102-74
26/08/17Mexico v Brazil99-76
03/09/15Mexico v Brazil65-58
Brazillast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/08/22APuerto Rico72-75
04/07/22AColombia98-104 OT
30/06/22AUruguay73-60
28/02/22HColombia119-73
25/02/22HUruguay85-66
27/11/21AChile81-55
26/11/21HChile77-53
04/07/21AGermany64-75
03/07/21HMexico102-74
30/06/21HCroatia94-67
Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/08/22HColombia89-93 OT
05/07/22APuerto Rico87-97 OT
02/07/22HCuba75-66
25/02/22ACuba82-72
29/11/21HPuerto Rico90-86
03/07/21ABrazil74-102
30/06/21HRussia72-64
29/06/21AGermany76-82
20/02/21HPuerto Rico70-80
30/11/20APuerto Rico81-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brazil
World Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game86.493.781.0
Allowed / game69.464.073.5
Point differential+17.0+29.7+7.5
Avg total155.9157.7154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Mexico
World Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game84.684.784.5
Allowed / game82.881.784.5
Point differential+1.8+3.0+0.0
Avg total167.4166.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %40%33%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Zealand660100%95.061.0+34.0
2 Canada770100%102.072.0+30.0
3 Australia880100%89.460.4+29.0
4 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
5 Ivory Coast990100%76.466.2+10.2
6 Latvia1211192%86.272.6+13.7
7 South Sudan98189%75.762.2+13.4
8 Lebanon87188%88.664.8+23.9
9 Spain87188%84.665.4+19.2
10 Venezuela87188%78.962.0+16.9
11 Germany87188%78.968.2+10.6
12 Lithuania87188%80.071.5+8.5
13 Finland87188%78.673.4+5.2
14 Puerto Rico54180%78.474.2+4.2
15 Egypt97278%74.459.0+15.4
16 Angola97278%73.661.2+12.3
17 France86275%81.162.4+18.8
18 China86275%80.165.0+15.1
19 Montenegro129375%79.072.6+6.4
20 Brazil75271%86.469.4+17.0
21 Argentina75271%77.468.7+8.7
22 Kazakhstan75271%72.664.6+8.0
23 Greece75271%80.974.6+6.3
24 Italy75271%90.487.6+2.9
25 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
26 Senegal96367%72.664.0+8.6
27 Uruguay64267%74.072.3+1.7
28 Iceland1711665%82.380.6+1.7
29 Dominican Republic85362%82.672.9+9.8
30 Iran85362%78.670.1+8.5
31 Belgium85362%75.066.8+8.2
32 Jordan85362%74.970.6+4.2
33 Slovenia85362%85.181.9+3.2
34 Serbia85362%78.475.6+2.8
35 Georgia85362%78.577.4+1.1
36 Mexico53260%84.682.8+1.8
37 Nigeria95456%71.265.2+6.0
38 Tunisia95456%63.061.6+1.4
39 Sweden126650%83.676.4+7.2
40 Cape Verde84450%71.168.8+2.4
41 Philippines63350%75.875.3+0.5
42 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
43 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
44 Bosnia & Herzegovina84450%79.683.0-3.4
45 Hungary84450%69.979.5-9.6
46 D.R. Congo94544%55.060.4-5.4
47 Colombia73443%79.689.6-10.0
48 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
49 Israel83538%79.078.2+0.8
50 Ukraine83538%80.079.5+0.5
51 Czech Republic83538%78.082.5-4.5
52 Saudi Arabia83538%67.075.0-8.0
53 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
54 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
55 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
56 Panama72529%66.769.1-2.4
57 Turkey72529%76.380.0-3.7
58 Japan72529%69.380.3-11.0
59 Bahamas72529%79.992.3-12.4
60 Estonia82625%70.881.2-10.5
61 Bahrain82625%62.182.4-20.2
62 Cameroon92722%61.667.8-6.2
63 Uganda92722%65.974.9-9.0
64 Guinea92722%63.973.3-9.4
65 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
66 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
67 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
68 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
69 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
70 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
71 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
72 Great Britain61517%70.781.7-11.0
73 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
74 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
75 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands7070%70.979.4-8.6
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
81 India6060%60.089.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brazil1317172572
Mexico1721251982
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