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Brazil vs Spain Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 78-96
22-21 20-29 17-14 19-32
Position#23
Record7-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Spain 🏆
Position#7
Record11-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game67.4
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2023
Meetings · Brazil v Spain
28 Aug 2023
BRAZ78
SPAI96
01 Sep 2014
BRAZ63
SPAI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brazil winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mexico
#26
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H29/08
World Cup
Canada
#5
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H02/09
AmeriCup
Colombia
#10
W
100-60
100
60
+40
A03/09
AmeriCup
Uruguay
#9
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H05/09
AmeriCup
Dominican Republic
#6
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H08/09
AmeriCup
Canada
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H10/09
AmeriCup
Argentina
#2
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H11/09
AmeriCup
Mexico
#26
W
102-56
102
56
+46
A15/11
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H23/02
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
100-59
100
59
+41
A26/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
17-21
17-25
25-19
17-15
15-9
18-22
22-17
25-22
23-12
27-6
25-20
16-26
19-17
22-13
19-10
18-20
16-17
21-18
25-13
24-20
20-14
23-20
19-22
14-26
24-22
22-19
13-8
29-10
21-16
16-12
36-18
24-24
20-28
26-21
20-19
33-12
24-13
25-21
18-13
154.8Avg total
85.1Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.170.5158.5+17.664%
Season at home (5)88.673.2161.8+15.460%
Season away (6)87.768.2155.8+19.567%
Last 10 (10)85.169.7154.8+15.470%
Last 5 (5)90.271.6161.8+18.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.094.0196.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (2)76.076.5152.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (27)84.069.6153.6+14.478%
This opponent (Spain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#22
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#20
W
102-94 OT
102
94
+8
H10/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H13/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A16/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H18/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#17
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
A11/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H14/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
80-61
80
61
+19
A23/02
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H26/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-16
18-16
16-19
19-20
21-25
23-23
20-15
19-30
24-22
30-15
27-23
27-24
19-27
19-20
31-20
23-14
24-23
19-20
22-19
22-18
14-15
19-16
15-21
21-21
22-22
18-16
23-13
22-19
21-14
19-15
18-13
16-13
13-20
15-19
24-20
24-17
29-17
20-13
21-17
164.5Avg total
87.2Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.967.4151.3+16.585%
Season at home (7)84.363.4147.7+20.986%
Season away (6)83.572.0155.5+11.583%
Last 10 (10)87.277.3164.5+9.990%
Last 5 (5)82.870.6153.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.095.0182.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (1)73.083.0156.0-10.00%
vs Weaker (28)86.572.8159.2+13.786%
This opponent (Brazil) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
BrazilSpain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrazilLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mexico
#26
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H29/08
World Cup
Canada
#5
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H02/09
AmeriCup
Colombia
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A03/09
AmeriCup
Uruguay
#9
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/09
AmeriCup
Dominican Republic
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H08/09
AmeriCup
Canada
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H10/09
AmeriCup
Argentina
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H11/09
AmeriCup
Mexico
#26
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A15/11
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H23/02
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
57-25
57
25
+32
A26/08
World Cup
77.3Avg total
41.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.236.477.6+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.937.677.6+2.361%-
Last 30 away (12)43.234.677.8+8.675%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.177.3+5.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.637.083.6+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.050.0100.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker (27)41.435.376.8+6.174%-
This opponent (Spain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#22
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#20
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H13/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A16/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H18/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#17
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A11/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A23/02
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H26/08
World Cup
81.3Avg total
41.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.034.877.8+8.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.534.578.0+8.971%-
Last 30 away (13)42.435.277.6+7.277%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.581.3+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.276.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.041.085.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)33.032.065.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker (28)43.334.778.0+8.671%-
This opponent (Brazil) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brazil wins
1
Spain wins
DateGameScore
09/08/16Spain v Brazil65-66
01/09/14Brazil v Spain63-82
06/08/12Spain v Brazil82-88
Brazillast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/08/23AIran100-59
23/02/23HPuerto Rico90-92
15/11/22AMexico102-56
11/09/22HArgentina73-75
10/09/22HCanada86-76
08/09/22HDominican Republic80-68
05/09/22HUruguay76-66
03/09/22AColombia100-60
02/09/22HCanada72-63
29/08/22HMexico72-82
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/08/23HIvory Coast94-64
26/02/23HItaly68-72
23/02/23AIceland80-61
14/11/22HNetherlands84-72
11/11/22AItaly88-84 OT
18/09/22HFrance88-76
16/09/22AGermany96-91
13/09/22HFinland100-90
10/09/22HLithuania102-94 OT
07/09/22ATurkey72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brazil
World Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW64%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game88.188.687.7
Allowed / game70.573.268.2
Point differential+17.6+15.4+19.5
Avg total158.5161.8155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%60%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Spain
World Cup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW85%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%86%83%
Points / game83.984.383.5
Allowed / game67.463.472.0
Point differential+16.5+20.9+11.5
Avg total151.3147.7155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%86%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %15%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Latvia1817194%85.671.2+14.4
3 Canada1413193%99.668.5+31.1
4 Australia1412286%83.858.1+25.6
5 South Sudan1412286%80.667.4+13.2
6 Germany1412286%80.471.4+9.1
7 Spain1311285%83.967.4+16.5
8 New Zealand119282%92.870.5+22.3
9 Angola1411379%74.062.6+11.4
10 Dominican Republic1411379%82.873.2+9.6
11 Lithuania1411379%79.470.4+9.0
12 Ivory Coast1411379%74.268.1+6.1
13 Puerto Rico129375%82.279.7+2.5
14 Montenegro1813572%77.971.2+6.8
15 France1410471%80.366.1+14.2
16 China1410471%77.970.4+7.5
17 Serbia1410471%83.676.4+7.2
18 Italy139469%86.383.2+3.1
19 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
20 Argentina128467%78.772.1+6.6
21 Greece128467%78.775.2+3.5
22 Lebanon149564%87.179.1+8.0
23 Slovenia149564%84.479.3+5.1
24 Finland149564%81.380.7+0.6
25 Brazil117464%88.170.5+17.6
26 Senegal127558%72.566.0+6.5
27 Nigeria127558%69.564.5+5.0
28 Mexico127558%81.179.8+1.2
29 Venezuela148657%77.670.5+7.1
30 Egypt148657%73.067.7+5.3
31 Jordan148657%78.975.3+3.6
32 Japan148657%77.074.8+2.2
33 Georgia148657%79.878.4+1.4
34 Iceland2112957%80.880.7+0.1
35 Cape Verde137654%71.871.1+0.8
36 Sweden168850%81.175.8+5.4
37 Ukraine126650%80.277.2+3.0
38 Belgium126650%72.069.4+2.6
39 Tunisia126650%64.362.5+1.8
40 Philippines126650%79.477.9+1.5
41 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
42 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
43 Uruguay105550%71.974.2-2.3
44 Bosnia & Herzegovina126650%77.282.2-5.0
45 Hungary126650%72.679.5-6.9
46 Iran146843%70.371.1-0.8
47 Saudi Arabia125742%68.275.0-6.8
48 Kazakhstan125742%64.972.7-7.8
49 D.R. Congo125742%57.064.9-7.9
50 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
51 Turkey114736%77.575.1+2.4
52 Israel124833%78.779.0-0.3
53 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
54 Cameroon124833%64.468.2-3.8
55 Estonia124833%72.581.4-8.9
56 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
57 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
58 Colombia103730%77.091.8-14.8
59 Guinea123925%66.070.6-4.6
60 Czech Republic123925%73.280.7-7.5
61 Panama123925%68.578.7-10.2
62 Bahamas123925%77.691.9-14.3
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
66 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
67 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
68 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
69 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
70 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
71 Uganda1221017%61.177.8-16.7
72 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
73 Bahrain1221017%63.483.7-20.2
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain101910%69.783.2-13.5
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands110110%71.081.5-10.5
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 India100100%61.189.5-28.4
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brazil2220171978
Spain2129143296
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