PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brazil W vs Germany W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 71-73
14-19 21-20 18-18 18-16
Position#15
Record0-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game66.0
Brazil W
vs
Germany W 🏆
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game62.5
Allowed / game75.5
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Arena Guilherme Paraense
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brazil W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brazil WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
A13/02
World Cup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
92-53
92
53
+39
100avg 70
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
93avg 70
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
56-55
56
55
+1
47avg 70
H03/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
W
67-54
67
54
+13
58avg 70
A04/07
AmeriCup Women
Mexico W
#9
W
83-61
83
61
+22
79avg 70
H08/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
82avg 70
H08/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
W
69-58
69
58
+11
62avg 70
H10/07
AmeriCup Women
Australia W
#3
L
55-60
55
60
-5
50avg 70
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
L
65-72
65
72
-7
55avg 70
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
17-22
24-18
13-19
29-14
20-17
19-16
24-6
23-18
23-18
15-21
29-19
9-14
20-12
21-15
6-14
15-12
20-13
14-14
18-15
19-18
19-15
23-8
22-20
16-22
23-20
23-18
23-14
14-16
21-21
25-10
9-11
16-19
7-14
24-16
8-11
20-23
18-16
16-17
11-16
137.1Avg total
73.2Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)60.066.0126.0-6.00%
Season at home (1)55.060.0115.0-5.00%
Season away (1)65.072.0137.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)73.263.9137.1+9.370%
Last 5 (5)71.465.0136.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.575.2141.6-8.79%
vs Similar ◀ (3)71.761.7133.3+10.0100%
vs Weaker (16)83.461.4144.8+21.988%
This opponent (Germany W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Slovenia W
#24
W
66-62
66
62
+4
no box
A16/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
42-67
42
67
-25
no box
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
85-41
85
41
+44
96avg 62
A09/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
53-70
53
70
-17
39avg 62
H12/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#9
W
73-66
73
66
+7
74avg 62
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
52-85
52
85
-33
38avg 62
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
18-13
10-15
24-17
15-19
14-19
18-6
15-17
21-19
23-17
17-12
18-21
7-20
9-13
13-20
13-14
18-15
11-18
13-16
21-14
15-25
19-22
9-15
19-16
19-9
22-10
21-8
23-14
8-21
19-15
12-12
14-22
19-12
17-9
17-25
20-20
10-24
14-30
21-21
7-10
131.3Avg total
64.5Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)62.575.5138.0-13.050%
Season at home (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)52.085.0137.0-33.00%
Last 10 (10)64.566.8131.3-2.360%
Last 5 (5)65.068.0133.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)55.471.8127.2-16.420%
vs Similar ◀ (4)71.266.2137.5+5.0100%
vs Weaker (9)83.257.8141.0+25.478%
This opponent (Brazil W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
Brazil WGermany W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brazil WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A13/02
World Cup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H03/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A04/07
AmeriCup Women
Mexico W
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H08/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H08/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H10/07
AmeriCup Women
Australia W
#3
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
70.6Avg total
36.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.832.067.8+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.332.169.4+5.253%-
Last 30 away (13)33.831.865.6+1.954%-
Last 10 (10)36.534.170.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.871.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.037.068.0-6.018%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.333.369.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker (16)38.928.367.2+10.675%-
This opponent (Germany W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia W
#24
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A16/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
41-19
41
19
+22
A09/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H12/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#9
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
65.9Avg total
31.2Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)32.534.266.7-1.735%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.033.466.4-0.431%-
Last 30 away (10)31.835.267.0-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)31.234.765.9-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.467.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)25.236.061.2-10.810%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.532.066.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker (9)39.733.172.8+6.656%-
This opponent (Brazil W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brazil Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brazil W: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.1
47.4%
45.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.7
31.2%
30.1%26.0
🏀 Free throws18.912.7
67.1%
74.5%12.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germany Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany W: 64.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.814.8
39.1%
45.1%29.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.2
29.1%
30.1%18.8
🏀 Free throws21.516.5
76.7%
74.5%16.5
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/4 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brazil W
LLWWWWWWWL
Germany W
LWLWLWLWWW
#15
League position
#5
+15.3
Net rating
+0.3
97.7
Offensive rating
86.9
82.4
Defensive rating
86.6
47.1%
Effective FG%
40.7%
37.6%
Opp. effective FG%
39.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
24.5%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.2%
3-point %
29.1%
73.7%
Assist %
73.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 86.9Defence82.4 · 86.6Shooting47.1% · 40.7%3-point %31.2% · 29.1%Ball care18.5% · 24.5%Off. rebounds29.7% · 34.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Brazil W   ■ Germany W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brazil W wins
0
Germany W wins
No previous meetings.
Brazil Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ASerbia W65-72
08/02/24HAustralia W55-60
10/07/23HUSA W69-58
08/07/23HPuerto Rico W85-74
08/07/23HMexico W83-61
04/07/23AUSA W67-54
03/07/23HArgentina W56-55
02/07/23AVenezuela W90-76
01/07/23HCuba W92-53
13/02/22ASerbia W70-76
Germany Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AAustralia W52-85
08/02/24HSerbia W73-66
12/11/23HItaly W53-70
09/11/23ACzech Republic W85-41
25/06/23HSerbia W62-78
24/06/23HCzech Republic W71-69 OT
22/06/23ASpain W42-67
20/06/23HSlovakia W79-69
18/06/23HGreat Britain W62-61
16/06/23ASlovenia W66-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brazil W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game60.055.065.0
Allowed / game66.060.072.0
Point differential-6.0-5.0-7.0
Avg total126.0115.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Germany W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game62.573.052.0
Allowed / game75.566.085.0
Point differential-13.0+7.0-33.0
Avg total138.0139.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W330100%88.043.0+45.0
2 USA W330100%94.054.7+39.3
3 Australia W330100%73.360.0+13.3
4 China W32167%83.066.0+17.0
5 Belgium W32167%84.769.3+15.3
6 Canada W64267%72.060.2+11.8
7 Japan W32167%82.379.3+3.0
8 Spain W32167%69.371.0-1.7
9 Germany W21150%62.575.5-13.0
10 Puerto Rico W63350%65.278.8-13.7
11 Serbia W31233%70.371.0-0.7
12 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
13 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
14 Nigeria W31233%59.781.0-21.3
15 Brazil W2020%60.066.0-6.0
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brazil W1421181871
Germany W1920181673
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.