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Breidablik vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 71-91
20-32 15-12 18-26 18-21
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game103.5
vs
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game74.5
IcelandPremier leagueRound 3· Smarinn
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreidablik
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
89-109
89
109
-20
no box
A03/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
91-104
91
104
-13
no box
H09/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#1
L
95-135
95
135
-40
no box
A16/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
94-100
94
100
-6
no box
H05/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#8
L
97-112
97
112
-15
no box
A09/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
103-112
103
112
-9
no box
H17/03
Premier league
Hottur
#9
L
85-98
85
98
-13
no box
H23/03
Premier league
Haukar
#4
L
97-105
97
105
-8
no box
A30/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
83-127
83
127
-44
73avg 73
H05/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A12/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-38
22-21
24-28
18-22
25-30
21-31
22-25
23-18
30-29
27-38
22-36
16-32
32-26
24-15
22-36
16-23
17-37
31-23
20-26
29-26
15-32
28-24
36-32
24-24
22-15
24-21
19-30
20-32
27-34
19-31
27-18
24-22
24-37
21-25
15-32
23-33
17-24
16-14
21-15
19-27
198.9Avg total
90.7Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.0103.5181.5-25.50%
Season at home (1)83.0127.0210.0-44.00%
Season away (1)73.080.0153.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)90.7108.2198.9-17.50%
Last 5 (5)88.2104.4192.6-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)93.5105.2198.7-11.721%
vs Similar (7)103.4100.7204.1+2.743%
vs Weaker (4)118.2111.2229.5+7.075%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
H31/10
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
L
65-70
65
70
-5
30avg 56
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 56
H12/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
20-33
15-24
38-17
20-26
18-20
16-11
11-13
27-17
23-21
16-23
20-18
161.3Avg total
78.3Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.574.5150.0+1.050%
Season at home (2)75.574.5150.0+1.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (3)78.383.0161.3-4.733%
Last 5 (3)78.383.0161.3-4.733%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
vs Similar (1)65.070.0135.0-5.00%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +7.0+7.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +7.0+7.0
BreidablikAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A03/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H09/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#1
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A16/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H05/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#8
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A09/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H17/03
Premier league
Hottur
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H23/03
Premier league
Haukar
#4
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A30/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H05/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A12/10
Premier league
101.2Avg total
46.7Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.653.9102.4-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.451.3100.7-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)47.756.4104.1-8.720%-
Last 10 (10)46.754.5101.2-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)42.651.494.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)46.254.7100.9-8.526%-
vs Similar (7)50.951.7102.6-0.943%-
vs Weaker (4)55.853.8109.5+2.050%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
31-59
31
59
-28
H31/10
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H12/10
Premier league
87.3Avg total
39.7Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)39.747.787.3-8.033%-
Last 30 at home (3)39.747.787.3-8.033%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (3)39.747.787.3-8.033%-
Last 5 (3)39.747.787.3-8.033%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.038.088.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (1)38.046.084.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breidabliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.023.0
54.8%
51.2%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.0
28.6%
34.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.013.0
76.5%
74.4%13.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.025.0
55.6%
51.2%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.55.0
27.0%
34.2%15.0
🏀 Free throws18.510.5
56.8%
74.4%10.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/2 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breidablik
LLLLLLLLLL
Alftanes
WLL
#11
League position
#6
-49.3
Net rating
+4.0
97.4
Offensive rating
99.5
146.6
Defensive rating
95.6
50.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
61.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
13.8%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
16.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.6%
3-point %
27.0%
58.1%
Assist %
40.0%
0%
Form (last 10/3)
33%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 99.5Defence146.6 · 95.6Shooting50.0% · 51.2%3-point %28.6% · 27.0%Ball care18.7% · 13.8%Off. rebounds20.0% · 16.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/3)0% · 33%
■ Breidablik   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breidablik wins
0
Alftanes wins
No previous meetings.
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/23AHottur73-80
05/10/23HHaukar83-127
30/03/23AHaukar97-105
23/03/23HHottur85-98
17/03/23HGrindavik103-112
09/03/23AStjarnan97-112
05/03/23HTindastoll94-100
16/02/23ANjardvik95-135
09/02/23HIR Reykjavik91-104
03/02/23AKeflavik89-109
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/23HGrindavik86-79
08/10/23HTindastoll65-70
31/10/21HNjardvik84-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breidablik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.083.073.0
Allowed / game103.5127.080.0
Point differential-25.5-44.0-7.0
Avg total181.5210.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alftanes
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game75.575.5-
Allowed / game74.574.5-
Point differential+1.0+1.0-
Avg total150.0150.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur220100%98.072.5+25.5
2 Hottur220100%92.080.0+12.0
3 Tindastoll220100%87.576.5+11.0
4 Njardvik220100%92.587.0+5.5
5 Haukar21150%106.588.5+18.0
6 Alftanes21150%75.574.5+1.0
7 Keflavik21150%99.5104.0-4.5
8 Thorl21150%82.588.0-5.5
9 Stjarnan2020%84.087.5-3.5
10 Grindavik2020%83.095.0-12.0
11 Hamar2020%83.5105.5-22.0
12 Breidablik2020%78.0103.5-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breidablik2015181871
Alftanes3212262191
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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