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Hottur vs Breidablik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 80-73
24-17 14-16 15-21 27-19
Position#8
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game87.0
Hottur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#11
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game127.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 2· MVA-hollin Egilsstodum
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hottur v Breidablik
12 Oct 2023
HOTT80
BREI73
15 Dec 2022
HOTT91
BREI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Thorl
#6
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H28/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#12
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H09/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
88-109
88
109
-21
no box
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#8
W
89-75 OT
89
75
+14
no box
A17/02
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
no box
H05/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
86-87
86
87
-1
no box
A11/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H16/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#10
W
98-85
98
85
+13
no box
A23/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
H30/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
104-87
104
87
+17
106avg 106
A05/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
15-20
24-26
26-17
26-23
21-20
19-10
16-28
25-28
20-28
20-26
23-27
20-14
20-27
18-20
14-11
21-24
16-19
20-32
24-15
14-25
16-19
28-18
28-25
26-31
21-20
17-21
20-17
15-22
21-24
30-19
32-20
22-19
11-16
25-23
21-22
29-24
21-16
25-26
29-21
174.3Avg total
87.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)104.087.0191.0+17.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)104.087.0191.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.486.9174.3+0.540%
Last 5 (5)90.285.6175.8+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.888.7170.5-6.931%
vs Similar (7)86.188.9175.0-2.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.178.8163.9+6.462%
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreidablik
Date
Competition
Valur
#2
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
H27/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
89-109
89
109
-20
no box
A03/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
91-104
91
104
-13
no box
H09/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#1
L
95-135
95
135
-40
no box
A16/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
94-100
94
100
-6
no box
H05/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#8
L
97-112
97
112
-15
no box
A09/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
103-112
103
112
-9
no box
H17/03
Premier league
Hottur
#9
L
85-98
85
98
-13
no box
H23/03
Premier league
Haukar
#4
L
97-105
97
105
-8
no box
A30/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
83-127
83
127
-44
73avg 73
H05/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
20-27
31-18
17-11
25-38
22-21
24-28
18-22
25-30
21-31
22-25
23-18
30-29
27-38
22-36
16-32
32-26
24-15
22-36
16-23
17-37
31-23
20-26
29-26
15-32
28-24
36-32
24-24
22-15
24-21
19-30
20-32
27-34
19-31
27-18
24-22
24-37
21-25
15-32
23-33
200.3Avg total
92.3Scored
108.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.0127.0210.0-44.00%
Season at home (1)83.0127.0210.0-44.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.3108.0200.3-15.710%
Last 5 (5)93.0110.8203.8-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)94.7106.6201.3-11.922%
vs Similar (8)100.5103.9204.4-3.438%
vs Weaker (4)118.2111.2229.5+7.075%
This opponent (Hottur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.3-3.3
HotturBreidablik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H28/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#12
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H09/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/02
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A11/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H16/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A23/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A05/10
Premier league
84.0Avg total
39.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.283.2-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.741.979.6-4.129%-
Last 30 away (16)42.144.386.4-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.844.284.0-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.282.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.143.481.5-5.323%-
vs Similar (7)42.046.488.4-4.414%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#2
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H27/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A03/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H09/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#1
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A16/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H05/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#8
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A09/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H17/03
Premier league
Hottur
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H23/03
Premier league
Haukar
#4
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A30/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H05/10
Premier league
103.1Avg total
47.5Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.155.1104.2-6.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.451.3100.7-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)48.858.8107.6-10.020%-
Last 10 (10)47.555.6103.1-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)45.655.8101.4-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)46.955.6102.6-8.728%-
vs Similar (8)50.654.5105.1-3.938%-
vs Weaker (4)55.853.8109.5+2.050%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 102.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.024.0
55.8%
51.2%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.012.0
46.2%
34.2%36.0
🏀 Free throws21.018.0
85.7%
74.4%18.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breidabliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.023.0
54.8%
51.2%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.0
28.6%
34.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.013.0
76.5%
74.4%13.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hottur
WLWLLLWLWL
Breidablik
LLLLLLLLLW
#8
League position
#11
+18.5
Net rating
-49.3
125.9
Offensive rating
97.4
107.4
Defensive rating
146.6
60.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
61.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.7%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
46.2%
3-point %
28.6%
47.2%
Assist %
58.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence125.9 · 97.4Defence107.4 · 146.6Shooting60.9% · 50.0%3-point %46.2% · 28.6%Ball care18.5% · 18.7%Off. rebounds36.4% · 20.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Hottur   ■ Breidablik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hottur wins
0
Breidablik wins
DateGameScore
23/03/23Breidablik v Hottur85-98
15/12/22Hottur v Breidablik91-69
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/23AGrindavik104-87
30/03/23HIR Reykjavik79-80
23/03/23ABreidablik98-85
16/03/23HKeflavik84-89
11/03/23AGrindavik86-87
05/03/23HValur81-90
17/02/23AStjarnan89-75 OT
13/02/23ATindastoll88-109
09/02/23HKR Basket82-81
28/01/23HThorl83-86
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/23HHaukar83-127
30/03/23AHaukar97-105
23/03/23HHottur85-98
17/03/23HGrindavik103-112
09/03/23AStjarnan97-112
05/03/23HTindastoll94-100
16/02/23ANjardvik95-135
09/02/23HIR Reykjavik91-104
03/02/23AKeflavik89-109
27/01/23HValur89-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game104.0-104.0
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential+17.0-+17.0
Avg total191.0-191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Breidablik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game127.0127.0-
Point differential-44.0-44.0-
Avg total210.0210.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Haukar110100%127.083.0+44.0
2 Valur220100%98.072.5+25.5
3 Hottur110100%104.087.0+17.0
4 Keflavik110100%111.0103.0+8.0
5 Tindastoll110100%70.065.0+5.0
6 Njardvik110100%91.088.0+3.0
7 Stjarnan1010%88.091.0-3.0
8 Alftanes1010%65.070.0-5.0
9 Thorl1010%81.096.0-15.0
10 Grindavik1010%87.0104.0-17.0
11 Hamar2020%83.5105.5-22.0
12 Breidablik1010%83.0127.0-44.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hottur2414152780
Breidablik1716211973
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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