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Stjarnan vs Breidablik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 112-97
37-17 23-31 26-20 26-29
Position#8
Record7-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#10
Record8-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game99.1
Allowed / game103.1
IcelandPremier leagueRound 19
Other2022-23
Meetings · Stjarnan v Breidablik
04 Apr 2024
STJA96
BREI80
09 Mar 2023
STJA112
BREI97
28 Dec 2021
STJA117
BREI113
10 Jan 2019
STJA102
BREI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#12
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H29/12
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
H05/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H11/01
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#1
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H14/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#5
L
87-115
87
115
-28
A20/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H26/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A02/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H09/02
Premier league
Hottur
#9
L
75-89 OT
75
89
-14
H17/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
88-99
88
99
-11
A05/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-10
22-22
23-33
25-23
12-21
19-19
18-16
22-15
26-24
17-21
27-17
19-21
22-17
16-22
16-14
12-19
22-26
13-30
28-32
24-27
22-25
27-23
24-16
21-12
28-21
16-22
16-26
26-24
16-17
17-31
22-11
24-9
14-20
27-20
20-18
11-14
17-17
22-26
19-31
30-25
170.2Avg total
83.9Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.689.0175.6-2.439%
Season at home (9)82.980.3163.2+2.644%
Season away (9)90.297.7187.9-7.433%
Last 10 (10)83.986.3170.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)84.485.0169.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.087.1168.1-6.120%
vs Similar ◀ (15)90.492.5182.9-2.147%
vs Weaker (4)96.077.5173.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#7
W
122-93
122
93
+29
A09/12
Premier league
Hottur
#9
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A15/12
Premier league
Haukar
#4
L
106-108
106
108
-2
H30/12
Premier league
Thorl
#6
L
113-137
113
137
-24
H06/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#12
L
109-112
109
112
-3
A19/01
Premier league
Valur
#2
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H27/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
89-109
89
109
-20
A03/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
91-104
91
104
-13
H09/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#1
L
95-135
95
135
-40
A16/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
94-100
94
100
-6
H05/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-22
35-22
19-27
35-22
18-24
8-23
20-18
23-26
36-24
26-33
21-27
23-24
24-36
24-31
28-44
37-26
26-28
32-32
31-30
20-22
21-22
20-27
31-18
17-11
25-38
22-21
24-28
18-22
25-30
21-31
22-25
23-18
30-29
27-38
22-36
16-32
32-26
24-15
22-36
16-23
204.4Avg total
97.7Scored
106.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)99.1103.1202.2-4.144%
Season at home (9)102.0102.2204.2-0.256%
Season away (9)96.1104.0200.1-7.933%
Last 10 (10)97.7106.7204.4-9.020%
Last 5 (5)91.6105.2196.8-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)95.9105.9201.9-10.027%
vs Similar ◀ (10)102.5103.0205.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (5)121.6106.4228.0+15.280%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
StjarnanBreidablik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#12
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H29/12
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H05/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H11/01
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#5
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A20/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H26/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A02/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H09/02
Premier league
Hottur
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A05/03
Premier league
83.8Avg total
40.4Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.385.5-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.240.481.6+0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)43.346.790.0-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.483.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.485.6-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.245.684.8-6.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.143.786.9-0.640%-
vs Weaker (4)45.837.283.0+8.575%-
This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#7
W
68-44
68
44
+24
A09/12
Premier league
Hottur
#9
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A15/12
Premier league
Haukar
#4
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H30/12
Premier league
Thorl
#6
L
48-67
48
67
-19
H06/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#12
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A19/01
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H27/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A03/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H09/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#1
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A16/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H05/03
Premier league
106.1Avg total
50.9Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.154.8105.9-3.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.251.0103.2+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)50.058.6108.6-8.627%-
Last 10 (10)50.955.2106.1-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)49.455.4104.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)47.255.9103.1-8.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)53.754.1107.8-0.460%-
vs Weaker (5)57.653.0110.6+4.660%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Stjarnan wins
1
Breidablik wins
DateGameScore
02/12/22Breidablik v Stjarnan101-90
31/03/22Breidablik v Stjarnan105-107
28/12/21Stjarnan v Breidablik117-113
10/01/19Stjarnan v Breidablik102-73
11/10/18Breidablik v Stjarnan87-102
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23AGrindavik88-99
17/02/23HHottur75-89 OT
09/02/23HTindastoll79-68
02/02/23ANjardvik86-93
26/01/23HIR Reykjavik94-76
20/01/23AKeflavik87-115
14/01/23HValur66-72
11/01/23HKeflavik89-83
05/01/23HValur76-80 OT
29/12/22HKR Basket99-88
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23HTindastoll94-100
16/02/23ANjardvik95-135
09/02/23HIR Reykjavik91-104
03/02/23AKeflavik89-109
27/01/23HValur89-78
19/01/23AKR Basket109-112
06/01/23HThorl113-137
30/12/22HHaukar106-108
15/12/22AHottur69-91
09/12/22AGrindavik122-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL39%
HomeWLWWL44%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%44%33%
Points / game86.682.990.2
Allowed / game89.080.397.7
Point differential-2.4+2.6-7.4
Avg total175.6163.2187.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%22%11%
Breidablik
Premier league 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeLLWLL56%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%56%33%
Points / game99.1102.096.1
Allowed / game103.1102.2104.0
Point differential-4.1-0.2-7.9
Avg total202.2204.2200.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Njardvik1915479%97.284.8+12.4
2 Valur1814478%85.881.5+4.3
3 Keflavik1812667%93.488.3+5.2
4 Haukar1812667%89.185.9+3.2
5 Tindastoll1810856%87.782.9+4.8
6 Breidablik1881044%99.1103.1-4.1
7 Grindavik1881044%84.089.9-5.9
8 Thorl1981142%100.196.9+3.2
9 Hottur1871139%83.685.3-1.8
10 Stjarnan1871139%86.689.0-2.4
11 IR Reykjavik1851328%82.190.2-8.1
12 KR Basket1831517%88.8100.3-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan37232626112
Breidablik1731202997
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