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Breidablik vs Grindavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 84-106
30-24 20-27 20-27 14-28
Position#11
Record2-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game98.4
vs
Position#2
Record8-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game89.9
IcelandPremier leagueRound 15· Smarinn
Other2023-24
Meetings · Breidablik v Grindavik
25 Jan 2024
BREI84
GRIN106
17 Mar 2023
BREI103
GRIN112
11 Feb 2022
BREI104
GRIN92
06 Jan 2019
BREI103
GRIN104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Grindavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreidablik
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
93-99
93
99
-6
77avg 73
H10/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
104-120
104
120
-16
94avg 73
A17/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
87-69
87
69
+18
79avg 73
H24/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
77avg 73
A30/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
70avg 73
H07/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 73
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
L
73-97
73
97
-24
54avg 73
H14/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 73
A04/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
61avg 73
H11/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
100-106 OT
100
106
-6
no box
A18/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
26-22
17-23
29-30
25-32
25-29
17-32
37-27
16-17
26-22
24-15
21-15
21-25
27-20
22-31
16-24
19-29
26-27
25-25
15-29
18-24
18-25
23-17
22-23
22-28
14-28
20-19
17-22
24-23
29-23
26-19
16-21
12-22
15-27
14-19
37-18
22-36
23-16
22-18
22-19
184.4Avg total
88.2Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.098.4183.4-13.414%
Season at home (8)80.996.4177.2-15.512%
Season away (6)90.5101.2191.7-10.717%
Last 10 (10)88.296.2184.4-8.020%
Last 5 (5)85.492.8178.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)88.2103.2191.4-15.09%
vs Similar (6)100.296.7196.8+3.550%
vs Weaker (1)109.0112.0221.0-3.00%
This opponent (Grindavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GrindavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrindavik
Date
Competition
Hamar
#12
W
100-80
100
80
+20
97avg 79
H18/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
82-111
82
111
-29
67avg 79
H24/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
83-96
83
96
-13
73avg 79
A30/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
87-88
87
88
-1
73avg 79
H07/12
Premier league
Haukar
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
83avg 79
H11/12
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#10
W
89-75
89
75
+14
83avg 79
H14/12
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
78-71
78
71
+7
71avg 79
A04/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
87-84
87
84
+3
75avg 79
H11/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
no box
A18/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
65avg 79
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
26-26
23-22
25-20
25-28
10-29
29-29
18-25
19-27
23-23
24-32
17-14
22-25
18-23
31-21
16-19
28-22
22-26
21-20
17-12
25-24
19-19
23-14
22-18
22-13
25-14
18-25
13-19
19-27
23-18
21-27
24-12
20-30
22-24
19-21
26-12
23-24
22-18
17-20
17-28
174.5Avg total
87.4Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.989.9180.8+0.957%
Season at home (9)92.991.4184.3+1.456%
Season away (5)87.287.2174.4+0.060%
Last 10 (10)87.487.1174.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)86.883.2170.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.993.7173.6-13.820%
vs Similar (7)91.495.1186.6-3.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)91.887.2178.9+4.667%
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
BreidablikGrindavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H10/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A17/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H24/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A30/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H07/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H14/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A04/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H11/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A18/01
Premier league
92.8Avg total
42.9Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.552.097.5-6.530%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.650.594.1-6.835%-
Last 30 away (13)47.954.1102.0-6.223%-
Last 10 (10)42.949.992.8-7.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.450.489.8-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)44.452.296.6-7.927%-
vs Similar (6)49.250.599.7-1.350%-
vs Weaker (1)58.060.0118.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Grindavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GrindavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamar
#12
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H18/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H24/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A30/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/12
Premier league
Haukar
#11
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H11/12
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/12
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A04/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H11/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A18/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
89.1Avg total
43.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.644.386.9-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.543.487.9+1.161%-
Last 30 away (12)39.845.685.3-5.825%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.289.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.286.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.444.682.0-7.230%-
vs Similar (7)44.744.789.4+0.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.143.488.5+1.750%-
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breidabliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.5
50.5%
51.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.011.6
30.5%
34.2%34.8
🏀 Free throws16.613.6
81.9%
74.4%13.6
They take 74.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Grindaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Grindavik: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.4
55.9%
51.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.610.8
28.7%
34.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.415.0
73.5%
74.4%15.0
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breidablik
LLWLLLLWLL
Grindavik
LWWWWWLLLW
#11
League position
#2
-9.3
Net rating
+1.5
99.1
Offensive rating
109.7
108.4
Defensive rating
108.2
48.1%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
17.6%
Turnover %
12.2%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.5%
3-point %
28.7%
50.2%
Assist %
63.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 109.7Defence108.4 · 108.2Shooting48.1% · 49.2%3-point %30.5% · 28.7%Ball care17.6% · 12.2%Off. rebounds23.2% · 27.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Breidablik   ■ Grindavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breidablik wins
5
Grindavik wins
DateGameScore
26/10/23Grindavik v Breidablik115-85
17/03/23Breidablik v Grindavik103-112
09/12/22Grindavik v Breidablik93-122
11/02/22Breidablik v Grindavik104-92
05/11/21Grindavik v Breidablik100-84
06/01/19Breidablik v Grindavik103-104 OT
04/10/18Grindavik v Breidablik95-86
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24AAlftanes100-106 OT
11/01/24HHottur78-86
04/01/24AHaukar95-86
14/12/23HStjarnan73-97
10/12/23HTindastoll81-89
07/12/23HValur85-110
30/11/23AKeflavik86-100
24/11/23HHamar87-69
17/11/23AThorl104-120
10/11/23HNjardvik93-99
Grindaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HAlftanes79-90
18/01/24ATindastoll101-96 OT
11/01/24HAlftanes87-84
04/01/24AHottur78-71
14/12/23HHaukar89-75
11/12/23HHaukar88-80
07/12/23HStjarnan87-88
30/11/23AValur83-96
24/11/23HKeflavik82-111
18/11/23HHamar100-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breidablik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %14%12%17%
Points / game85.080.990.5
Allowed / game98.496.4101.2
Point differential-13.4-15.5-10.7
Avg total183.4177.2191.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %7%0%17%
Grindavik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %57%56%60%
Points / game90.992.987.2
Allowed / game89.991.487.2
Point differential+0.9+1.4+0.0
Avg total180.8184.3174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %14%11%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur1411379%94.383.4+10.9
2 Njardvik1410471%93.587.8+5.7
3 Thorl1410471%89.988.8+1.1
4 Keflavik149564%94.690.0+4.6
5 Alftanes149564%83.679.3+4.4
6 Stjarnan148657%87.984.5+3.4
7 Grindavik148657%90.989.9+0.9
8 Tindastoll147750%87.185.1+2.0
9 Hottur147750%83.183.8-0.6
10 Haukar1431121%87.790.4-2.7
11 Breidablik1421214%85.098.4-13.4
12 Hamar140140%83.399.6-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breidablik3020201484
Grindavik24272728106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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