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Keflavik vs Breidablik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 100-86
25-21 20-27 31-22 24-16
Position#3
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Position#11
Record1-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game99.1
IcelandPremier leagueRound 9· Blue-hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Keflavik v Breidablik
30 Nov 2023
KEFL100
BREI86
03 Feb 2023
KEFL109
BREI89
14 Feb 2022
KEFL126
BREI80
08 Nov 2018
KEFL88
BREI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#3
W
100-78
100
78
+22
no box
H12/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
79-97
79
97
-18
no box
A15/04
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
111-103
111
103
+8
102avg 84
A05/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
88-105
88
105
-17
77avg 84
A14/10
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 84
H19/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 84
A26/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
89-86
89
86
+3
79avg 84
H03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 84
A09/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
97-78
97
78
+19
87avg 84
H17/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
111-82
111
82
+29
113avg 84
A24/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
27-21
24-15
23-24
19-25
20-24
15-21
25-27
28-30
24-29
37-27
22-17
23-19
17-28
29-28
19-30
19-22
20-29
21-15
27-20
26-26
28-12
17-22
10-27
26-22
28-22
22-16
13-26
23-23
10-17
21-12
21-31
20-17
27-16
24-24
26-21
28-25
29-10
29-29
25-18
180.3Avg total
91.8Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.488.8181.1+3.662%
Season at home (3)91.083.3174.3+7.7100%
Season away (5)93.292.0185.2+1.240%
Last 10 (10)91.888.5180.3+3.360%
Last 5 (5)90.683.2173.8+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)90.094.1184.1-4.138%
vs Similar (12)88.887.2176.0+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.888.9184.7+6.970%
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreidablik
Date
Competition
Hottur
#9
L
85-98
85
98
-13
no box
H23/03
Premier league
Haukar
#4
L
97-105
97
105
-8
no box
A30/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
83-127
83
127
-44
73avg 75
H05/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A12/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 75
H19/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
85-115
85
115
-30
77avg 75
A26/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
77-92
77
92
-15
63avg 75
H02/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
93-99
93
99
-6
77avg 75
H10/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
104-120
104
120
-16
94avg 75
A17/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
87-69
87
69
+18
79avg 75
H24/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
24-21
19-30
20-32
27-34
19-31
27-18
24-22
24-37
21-25
15-32
23-33
17-24
16-14
21-15
19-27
20-32
15-12
18-26
18-21
25-26
19-33
18-28
23-28
16-26
23-21
13-24
25-21
21-24
26-22
17-23
29-30
25-32
25-29
17-32
37-27
16-17
26-22
24-15
21-15
185.1Avg total
85.5Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.199.1183.2-15.012%
Season at home (5)82.295.6177.8-13.420%
Season away (3)87.3105.0192.3-17.70%
Last 10 (10)85.599.6185.1-14.110%
Last 5 (5)89.299.0188.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)89.9103.0192.9-13.219%
vs Similar (7)100.995.3196.1+5.657%
vs Weaker (2)122.5122.5245.0+0.050%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
KeflavikBreidablik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#3
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H12/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A15/04
Premier league
Hamar
#12
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A05/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/10
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H19/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A26/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A09/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A24/11
Premier league
90.3Avg total
46.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.243.990.1+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.141.688.7+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)45.345.991.2-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)46.843.590.3+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)49.038.087.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.947.491.2-3.538%-
vs Similar (12)45.841.086.8+4.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.444.693.0+3.860%-
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hottur
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H23/03
Premier league
Haukar
#4
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A30/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H05/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A12/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A26/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H02/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H10/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A17/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H24/11
Premier league
92.4Avg total
42.7Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.251.899.0-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.049.196.1-2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)47.554.9102.4-7.421%-
Last 10 (10)42.749.792.4-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)44.450.494.8-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)45.452.497.8-7.029%-
vs Similar (7)49.349.398.6+0.057%-
vs Weaker (2)59.554.0113.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.6
53.6%
51.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.512.8
35.9%
34.2%38.2
🏀 Free throws20.615.6
75.8%
74.4%15.6
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breidabliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.0
53.6%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.411.0
31.0%
34.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.014.1
74.4%
74.4%14.1
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
WWLWLWLWLW
Breidablik
WLLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#11
+3.8
Net rating
-17.8
110.3
Offensive rating
99.4
106.5
Defensive rating
117.2
53.7%
Effective FG%
50.1%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
14.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
20.6%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.9%
3-point %
31.0%
54.2%
Assist %
56.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 99.4Defence106.5 · 117.2Shooting53.7% · 50.1%3-point %35.9% · 31.0%Ball care14.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds20.6% · 23.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Keflavik   ■ Breidablik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Keflavik wins
1
Breidablik wins
DateGameScore
03/02/23Keflavik v Breidablik109-89
27/10/22Breidablik v Keflavik97-82
14/02/22Keflavik v Breidablik126-80
28/10/21Breidablik v Keflavik106-107
04/02/19Breidablik v Keflavik86-108
08/11/18Keflavik v Breidablik88-80
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23AGrindavik111-82
17/11/23HAlftanes97-78
09/11/23AHottur75-83
03/11/23HHaukar89-86
26/10/23AStjarnan81-87
19/10/23HValur87-86
14/10/23ATindastoll88-105
05/10/23AHamar111-103
15/04/23ATindastoll79-97
12/04/23HTindastoll100-78
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23HHamar87-69
17/11/23AThorl104-120
10/11/23HNjardvik93-99
02/11/23HTindastoll77-92
26/10/23AGrindavik85-115
19/10/23HAlftanes71-91
12/10/23AHottur73-80
05/10/23HHaukar83-127
30/03/23AHaukar97-105
23/03/23HHottur85-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%100%40%
Points / game92.491.093.2
Allowed / game88.883.392.0
Point differential+3.6+7.7+1.2
Avg total181.1174.3185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breidablik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW12%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %12%20%0%
Points / game84.182.287.3
Allowed / game99.195.6105.0
Point differential-15.0-13.4-17.7
Avg total183.2177.8192.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Njardvik86275%95.187.0+8.1
2 Valur85362%89.682.4+7.2
3 Tindastoll85362%87.682.9+4.8
4 Keflavik85362%92.488.8+3.6
5 Alftanes85362%81.078.2+2.8
6 Stjarnan85362%84.582.4+2.1
7 Thorl85362%87.989.9-2.0
8 Hottur95456%85.985.9+0.0
9 Grindavik84450%93.493.6-0.2
10 Haukar93633%93.691.1+2.4
11 Breidablik81712%84.199.1-15.0
12 Hamar8080%83.597.6-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik25203124100
Breidablik2127221686
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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