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Breidablik vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 78-86
12-22 15-27 14-19 37-18
Position#11
Record2-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game98.8
vs
Hottur 🏆
Iceland
Position#8
Record6-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game83.9
IcelandPremier leagueRound 13· Smarinn
Other2023-24
Meetings · Breidablik v Hottur
11 Jan 2024
BREI78
HOTT86
23 Mar 2023
BREI85
HOTT98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreidablik
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#2
L
85-115
85
115
-30
77avg 74
A26/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
77-92
77
92
-15
63avg 74
H02/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
93-99
93
99
-6
77avg 74
H10/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
104-120
104
120
-16
94avg 74
A17/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
87-69
87
69
+18
79avg 74
H24/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
77avg 74
A30/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
70avg 74
H07/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 74
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
L
73-97
73
97
-24
54avg 74
H14/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 74
A04/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
19-33
18-28
23-28
16-26
23-21
13-24
25-21
21-24
26-22
17-23
29-30
25-32
25-29
17-32
37-27
16-17
26-22
24-15
21-15
21-25
27-20
22-31
16-24
19-29
26-27
25-25
15-29
18-24
18-25
23-17
22-23
22-28
14-28
20-19
17-22
24-23
29-23
26-19
16-21
184.3Avg total
86.6Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.398.8183.2-14.517%
Season at home (7)81.397.9179.1-16.614%
Season away (5)88.6100.2188.8-11.620%
Last 10 (10)86.697.7184.3-11.120%
Last 5 (5)84.096.4180.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)87.6103.5191.1-15.814%
vs Similar (6)100.296.7196.8+3.550%
vs Weaker (1)109.0112.0221.0-3.00%
This opponent (Hottur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Thorl
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
76avg 75
H26/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
109-102
109
102
+7
101avg 75
A02/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
76avg 75
H09/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
69-80
69
80
-11
55avg 75
A17/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
85avg 75
H23/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 75
A30/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
71-83
71
83
-12
56avg 75
A07/12
Premier league
Hamar
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
74avg 75
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 75
H14/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
67avg 75
H04/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
15-20
25-29
21-11
28-26
28-18
24-25
29-33
23-23
17-10
12-21
31-21
28-16
24-26
9-17
8-21
21-12
19-21
29-21
20-18
16-20
23-30
23-15
23-28
18-20
12-25
22-16
19-22
22-14
19-24
26-24
17-20
22-14
22-25
17-13
17-21
13-22
14-25
25-18
19-13
164.4Avg total
82.2Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.883.9166.7-1.250%
Season at home (6)80.775.8156.5+4.867%
Season away (6)84.892.0176.8-7.233%
Last 10 (10)82.282.2164.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)77.881.8159.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.189.8169.9-9.727%
vs Similar (9)80.481.9162.3-1.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.481.4168.9+6.067%
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
BreidablikHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#2
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A26/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H02/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H10/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A17/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H24/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A30/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H07/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H14/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A04/01
Premier league
94.4Avg total
44.0Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.652.598.1-6.930%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.650.695.2-6.035%-
Last 30 away (13)47.055.0102.0-8.023%-
Last 10 (10)44.050.494.4-6.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.650.494.0-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)44.552.997.4-8.327%-
vs Similar (6)49.250.599.7-1.350%-
vs Weaker (1)58.060.0118.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H26/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A02/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H09/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A17/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H23/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/12
Premier league
Hamar
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H04/01
Premier league
82.1Avg total
40.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.882.6-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.040.979.9-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)40.644.885.4-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.582.1-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.243.880.0-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.045.184.1-6.127%-
vs Similar (9)38.443.181.6-4.722%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.040.382.3+1.756%-
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breidabliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.6
50.7%
51.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.711.5
31.3%
34.2%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.814.2
79.8%
74.4%14.2
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.4
49.7%
51.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.9
32.5%
34.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.412.7
77.4%
74.4%12.7
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breidablik
WLLLLWLLLL
Hottur
LWWLLWLWWL
#11
League position
#8
-12.3
Net rating
-0.8
99.7
Offensive rating
103.7
112.0
Defensive rating
104.4
48.8%
Effective FG%
49.3%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.3%
3-point %
32.5%
52.5%
Assist %
53.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 103.7Defence112.0 · 104.4Shooting48.8% · 49.3%3-point %31.3% · 32.5%Ball care18.8% · 17.4%Off. rebounds24.4% · 29.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Breidablik   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breidablik wins
3
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
12/10/23Hottur v Breidablik80-73
23/03/23Breidablik v Hottur85-98
15/12/22Hottur v Breidablik91-69
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24AHaukar95-86
14/12/23HStjarnan73-97
10/12/23HTindastoll81-89
07/12/23HValur85-110
30/11/23AKeflavik86-100
24/11/23HHamar87-69
17/11/23AThorl104-120
10/11/23HNjardvik93-99
02/11/23HTindastoll77-92
26/10/23AGrindavik85-115
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HGrindavik71-78
14/12/23HAlftanes78-73
10/12/23AHamar84-82
07/12/23ATindastoll71-83
30/11/23AHaukar85-93
23/11/23HStjarnan89-72
17/11/23AValur69-80
09/11/23HKeflavik83-75
02/11/23AHamar109-102
26/10/23HThorl83-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breidablik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW17%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %17%14%20%
Points / game84.381.388.6
Allowed / game98.897.9100.2
Point differential-14.5-16.6-11.6
Avg total183.2179.1188.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hottur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game82.880.784.8
Allowed / game83.975.892.0
Point differential-1.2+4.8-7.2
Avg total166.7156.5176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur129375%92.083.0+9.0
2 Keflavik139469%95.688.8+6.8
3 Njardvik128467%95.088.9+6.1
4 Alftanes128467%81.876.9+4.8
5 Thorl128467%89.289.2+0.0
6 Stjarnan127558%86.484.2+2.2
7 Tindastoll137654%86.483.8+2.5
8 Grindavik126650%90.389.9+0.4
9 Hottur126650%82.883.9-1.2
10 Haukar123925%89.291.2-2.0
11 Breidablik1221017%84.398.8-14.5
12 Hamar120120%83.598.5-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breidablik1215143778
Hottur2227191886
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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