Breogan vs Burgos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 May 2014

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 58-80

15-29 13-20 9-18 21-13

Position#4

Record20-11

FormWLWLL

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game70.5

Breogan

Burgos 🏆

Position#2

Record23-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game70.9

Primera FEBLEB Oro - Semi-finals

Other2013-14

Meetings · Breogan v Burgos

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Burgos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Breogan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Navarra

#14

93-59

+34

H08/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#11

82-72

+10

A14/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

92-81

+11

H22/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

77-85

-8

A28/03

Primera FEB

Rincon

#10

81-75

H04/04

Primera FEB

Huesca

69-64

H11/04

Primera FEB

Huesca

65-73

-8

A20/04

Primera FEB

Huesca

80-66

+14

H22/04

Primera FEB

Burgos

64-68

-4

A25/04

Primera FEB

Burgos

54-94

-40

A27/04

Primera FEB

25-15

25-16

24-12

19-16

15-16

22-17

16-15

29-24

22-21

27-23

28-20

15-17

22-22

18-15

21-16

16-32

18-22

28-18

23-18

12-17

19-16

23-11

10-21

17-16

18-24

14-17

19-15

14-17

29-16

15-25

19-10

17-15

16-22

14-16

21-14

13-16

9-29

15-27

11-24

19-14

149.4Avg total

75.7Scored

73.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	74.4	70.5	144.8	+3.9	65%
Season at home (15)	76.6	66.6	143.2	+10.0	87%
Season away (16)	72.2	74.1	146.3	-1.8	44%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	73.7	149.4	+2.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	66.4	73.0	139.4	-6.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	68.2	76.0	144.2	-7.8	33%
vs Similar (11)	74.0	69.8	143.8	+4.2	64%
vs Weaker (13)	77.4	68.5	145.8	+8.9	77%

This opponent (Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Burgos

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

79-72

A28/02

Primera FEB

Rincon

#10

81-67

+14

H07/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

91-74

+17

A15/03

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#13

95-62

+33

H21/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

81-53

+28

A28/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

91-84

H04/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

91-70

+21

H11/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

84-70

+14

A20/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

68-64

H25/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

94-54

+40

H27/04

Primera FEB

24-20

12-18

16-18

27-16

22-17

17-23

23-12

19-15

30-19

23-24

20-19

18-12

16-20

33-10

22-12

24-20

18-16

22-19

17-5

24-13

18-20

28-17

18-25

27-22

32-15

16-19

22-16

21-20

20-18

25-22

19-12

22-16

16-14

14-21

16-13

29-9

27-15

24-11

14-19

152.5Avg total

85.5Scored

67.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	80.8	70.9	151.7	+9.9	77%
Season at home (16)	82.4	70.3	152.7	+12.1	81%
Season away (14)	78.9	71.6	150.5	+7.4	71%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	67.0	152.5	+18.5	100%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	68.4	154.0	+17.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	82.0	82.5	164.5	-0.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	80.7	70.1	150.8	+10.6	79%

This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BreoganBurgos

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	15.6	35.2	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	19.6	37.1	-2.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	14.7	20.7	35.3	-6.0	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	16.2	35.7	+3.4	82%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.4	17.7	37.1	+1.7	54%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.7	40.3	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	17.0	40.1	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	15.6	39.8	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	21.9	18.4	40.2	+3.5	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	16.9	35.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	16.1	33.0	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	19.2	35.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.3	18.7	34.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.2	16.4	34.5	+1.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.8	16.5	36.4	+3.3	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	16.6	36.5	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	16.1	36.2	+4.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	17.2	36.7	+2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.7	39.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	24.5	16.0	40.5	+8.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	19.5	16.7	36.2	+2.8	61%	-

BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Navarra

#14

50-31

+19

H08/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#11

37-33

A14/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

49-44

H22/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

40-37

A28/03

Primera FEB

Rincon

#10

46-40

H04/04

Primera FEB

Huesca

42-27

+15

H11/04

Primera FEB

Huesca

32-41

-9

A20/04

Primera FEB

Huesca

44-41

H22/04

Primera FEB

Burgos

30-38

-8

A25/04

Primera FEB

Burgos

24-56

-32

A27/04

Primera FEB

78.2Avg total

39.4Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	34.6	71.5	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	33.4	73.0	+6.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.4	35.7	70.1	-1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	38.8	78.2	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	40.6	75.0	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	30.0	39.3	69.3	-9.3	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.7	32.5	70.3	+5.2	91%	-
vs Weaker (13)	39.2	34.2	73.5	+5.0	69%	-

This opponent (Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

36-38

-2

A28/02

Primera FEB

Rincon

#10

39-40

-1

H07/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

53-43

+10

A15/03

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#13

49-30

+19

H21/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

40-35

A28/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

46-37

H04/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

48-34

+14

H11/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

40-36

A20/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

38-30

H25/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

56-24

+32

H27/04

Primera FEB

79.2Avg total

44.5Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	35.3	76.8	+6.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	33.5	75.0	+8.0	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.5	37.4	78.9	+4.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	34.7	79.2	+9.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	32.2	77.8	+13.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	43.5	39.0	82.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	41.4	35.0	76.4	+6.3	68%	-

This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	15.5	35.6	+4.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	17.5	35.1	+0.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.5	35.7	+2.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	16.8	32.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.3	18.3	34.7	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.6	15.4	36.0	+5.2	85%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	16.7	37.1	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	16.1	36.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	18.5	24.5	43.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	19.8	16.8	36.6	+3.0	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	17.4	34.4	-0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	19.8	39.1	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.4	35.5	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	15.6	31.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.8	18.3	40.2	+3.5	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.1	18.6	35.7	-1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	17.5	18.8	36.4	-1.3	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.1	40.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	16.2	34.8	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	16.2	37.1	+4.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	19.5	18.2	37.8	+1.3	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	35.2	72.3	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.1	32.9	70.0	+4.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.0	37.2	74.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	34.9	71.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	32.4	64.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	38.2	36.7	74.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	35.1	35.6	70.7	-0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (13)	38.2	34.2	72.4	+3.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	35.6	74.9	+3.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	36.8	77.7	+4.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	34.2	71.6	+3.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	32.3	73.3	+8.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	36.2	76.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	38.5	43.5	82.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	39.3	35.0	74.4	+4.3	61%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Breogan wins

Burgos wins

Date	Game	Score
27/04/14	Burgos v Breogan	94-54
25/04/14	Burgos v Breogan	68-64
07/02/14	Burgos v Breogan	89-76
03/11/13	Breogan v Burgos	72-63
25/01/13	Burgos v Breogan	77-85
21/10/12	Breogan v Burgos	63-61
27/04/12	Breogan v Burgos	80-71
04/01/12	Burgos v Breogan	86-73
16/02/11	Burgos v Breogan	83-82 OT
30/10/10	Breogan v Burgos	73-78

Breoganlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/14	A	Burgos	54-94
25/04/14	A	Burgos	64-68
22/04/14	H	Huesca	80-66
20/04/14	A	Huesca	65-73
11/04/14	H	Huesca	69-64
04/04/14	H	Rincon	81-75
28/03/14	A	Forca Lleida	77-85
22/03/14	H	Palencia	92-81
14/03/14	A	Melilla	82-72
08/03/14	H	Navarra	93-59

Burgoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/14	H	Breogan	94-54
25/04/14	H	Breogan	68-64
20/04/14	A	Clavijo	84-70
11/04/14	H	Clavijo	91-70
04/04/14	H	MoraBanc Andorra	91-84
28/03/14	A	Leyma Coruna	81-53
21/03/14	H	Barcelona B	95-62
15/03/14	A	Oviedo	91-74
07/03/14	H	Rincon	81-67
28/02/14	A	Forca Lleida	79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan

Primera FEB 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	65%
Home	WWWWW	87%
Away	WLLLL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	65%	87%	44%
Points / game	74.4	76.6	72.2
Allowed / game	70.5	66.6	74.1
Point differential	+3.9	+10.0	-1.8
Avg total	144.8	143.2	146.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	40%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	45% (11)	50% (4)	43% (7)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Burgos

Primera FEB 2013-14

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	77%
Home	WWWWW	81%
Away	LWWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	16	14
Win %	77%	81%	71%
Points / game	80.8	82.4	78.9
Allowed / game	70.9	70.3	71.6
Point differential	+9.9	+12.1	+7.4
Avg total	151.7	152.7	150.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	44%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	60% (5)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	26	21	5	81%	84.9	73.3	+11.5
2	Palencia	30	24	6	80%	73.7	66.9	+6.8
3	Burgos	30	23	7	77%	80.8	70.9	+9.9
4	Breogan	31	20	11	65%	74.4	70.5	+3.9
5	Oviedo	30	16	14	53%	76.5	77.4	-0.9
6	Leyma Coruna	28	14	14	50%	72.4	72.9	-0.5
7	Huesca	29	14	15	48%	71.6	70.9	+0.7
8	Clavijo	28	13	15	46%	75.1	77.6	-2.5
9	Forca Lleida	26	11	15	42%	75.8	76.5	-0.7
10	Rincon	28	11	17	39%	69.1	71.9	-2.8
11	Melilla	26	10	16	38%	72.3	74.7	-2.4
12	Ourense	26	8	18	31%	69.7	73.3	-3.7
13	Barcelona B	26	5	21	19%	65.5	76.0	-10.6
14	Navarra	26	5	21	19%	68.8	80.4	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Breogan	15	13	9	21	58
Burgos	29	20	18	13	80

← all games of the day

Breogan vs Burgos Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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