PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Breogan vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 86-79
21-14 23-27 21-19 21-19
Position#18
Record0-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game93.0
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Estudiantes
Spain
Position#16
Record1-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game77.0
SpainACBRound 4
Domestic2018-19
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona B
#14
W
105-64
105
64
+41
H16/03
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#13
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A21/03
Primera FEB
Huesca
#15
W
91-53
91
53
+38
H25/03
Primera FEB
Araberri
#9
W
106-98
106
98
+8
H01/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#17
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A06/04
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#18
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H13/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#8
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A20/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#4
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H27/04
Primera FEB
Tenerife
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A04/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
72-96
72
96
-24
A07/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
33-13
23-17
29-16
20-23
22-12
11-18
17-27
16-15
28-9
31-7
16-22
19-37
37-15
27-32
23-14
30-21
22-16
15-23
25-16
23-26
23-18
26-17
21-28
17-21
19-22
21-20
36-23
27-26
21-10
23-14
20-15
31-20
14-14
13-27
20-29
17-27
24-28
12-20
19-21
168.8Avg total
89.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.093.0168.0-18.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)75.093.0168.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)89.179.7168.8+9.470%
Last 5 (5)85.485.2170.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.093.0168.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (28)87.075.4162.4+11.579%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torun
#37
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A25/09
Champions League
San Martin
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A27/09
Torneo Super 20
Torun
#37
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H27/09
Champions League
Manresa
#8
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H30/09
ACB
Regatas
#12
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H01/10
Torneo Super 20
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H03/10
Torneo Super 20
La Union
#13
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
A06/10
Torneo Super 20
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H07/10
ACB
Regatas
#12
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A08/10
Torneo Super 20
San Martin
#15
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H12/10
Torneo Super 20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
18-15
14-11
20-18
25-20
14-20
20-21
29-23
23-21
16-26
15-14
15-23
19-21
22-15
20-23
16-20
14-17
19-23
20-14
19-11
20-16
24-18
18-29
27-16
22-26
17-14
16-8
15-22
14-6
19-19
22-28
22-22
18-21
13-17
13-16
23-15
21-26
19-21
23-24
21-18
153.3Avg total
76.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.077.0154.0+0.050%
Season at home (2)77.077.0154.0+0.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.776.6153.3+0.150%
Last 5 (5)78.678.8157.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.981.8154.7-8.922%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.976.8155.8+2.165%
vs Weaker (4)78.876.5155.2+2.250%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +8.6+8.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
BreoganEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona B
#14
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H16/03
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A21/03
Primera FEB
Huesca
#15
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H25/03
Primera FEB
Araberri
#9
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H01/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#17
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A06/04
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#18
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H13/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H27/04
Primera FEB
Tenerife
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A04/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A07/10
ACB
85.4Avg total
46.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.737.580.3+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.634.479.9+11.293%-
Last 30 away (16)40.240.380.6-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)46.339.185.4+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.485.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.044.587.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (28)42.737.079.8+5.771%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torun
#37
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A25/09
Champions League
San Martin
#15
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A27/09
Torneo Super 20
Torun
#37
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/09
Champions League
Manresa
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H30/09
ACB
Regatas
#12
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H01/10
Torneo Super 20
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H03/10
Torneo Super 20
La Union
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A06/10
Torneo Super 20
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H07/10
ACB
Regatas
#12
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A08/10
Torneo Super 20
San Martin
#15
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H12/10
Torneo Super 20
75.1Avg total
37.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.576.8-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.237.077.2+3.271%-
Last 30 away (13)35.840.476.2-4.515%-
Last 10 (10)37.337.875.1-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.874.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.238.775.9-1.456%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.937.876.7+1.253%-
vs Weaker (4)38.041.079.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.0
52.6%
52.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.0
32.7%
36.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.59.0
62.1%
74.6%9.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.818.7
48.2%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.7
32.2%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.913.6
72.0%
74.6%13.6
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWWWWWWLW
Estudiantes
LLWLWWLLWW
#18
League position
#16
-26.3
Net rating
+0.0
96.2
Offensive rating
108.0
122.5
Defensive rating
108.0
51.2%
Effective FG%
48.3%
63.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
25.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.7%
3-point %
32.2%
46.4%
Assist %
63.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 108.0Defence122.5 · 108.0Shooting51.2% · 48.3%3-point %32.7% · 32.2%Ball care25.4% · 14.2%Off. rebounds32.4% · 33.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Breogan   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breogan wins
0
Estudiantes wins
No previous meetings.
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/18AGran Canaria72-96
04/10/18ATenerife78-90
27/04/18HOviedo91-65
20/04/18ALeyma Coruna93-86
13/04/18HIraurgi SB93-89
06/04/18AClavijo92-76
01/04/18HAraberri106-98
25/03/18HHuesca91-53
21/03/18AIberojet Palma70-80
16/03/18HBarcelona B105-64
Estudianteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/18HSan Martin84-89
08/10/18ARegatas67-69
07/10/18HFuenlabrada77-75
06/10/18ALa Union76-82 OT
03/10/18HComunicaciones Mercedes89-79
01/10/18HRegatas72-65
30/09/18HManresa77-79
27/09/18HTorun69-84
27/09/18ASan Martin88-84
25/09/18ATorun68-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game93.0-93.0
Point differential-18.0--18.0
Avg total168.0-168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Estudiantes
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+0.0+0.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid330100%88.375.0+13.3
2 Barcelona330100%84.373.0+11.3
3 Baskonia32167%87.774.7+13.0
4 Tenerife32167%80.372.7+7.7
5 Unicaja32167%87.080.3+6.7
6 Tecnyconta Zaragoza32167%81.783.7-2.0
7 Obradoiro CAB32167%78.783.7-5.0
8 MoraBanc Andorra42250%73.272.5+0.8
9 Estudiantes21150%77.077.0+0.0
10 Manresa42250%76.277.2-1.0
11 Joventut Badalona21150%66.070.5-4.5
12 Gran Canaria31233%88.787.7+1.0
13 Fuenlabrada31233%76.776.7+0.0
14 Valencia31233%74.780.7-6.0
15 San Pablo Burgos31233%80.787.7-7.0
16 Murcia2020%72.079.5-7.5
17 Gipuzkoa3030%66.379.0-12.7
18 Breogan2020%75.093.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2123212186
Estudiantes1427191979
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.