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Brescia vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 69-61
15-31 24-7 17-12 13-11
Position#19
Record0-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game91.3
Brescia 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game71.7
EuropeEurocupRound 4
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A26/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H28/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H30/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H03/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A07/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
91-110
91
110
-19
A10/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H14/10
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A16/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A21/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-30
18-30
19-14
18-15
17-17
21-19
17-22
19-22
16-25
17-17
21-15
16-19
13-20
17-15
11-23
18-23
14-24
22-19
17-22
15-15
22-21
19-22
23-23
16-15
19-23
24-24
24-28
24-35
27-21
15-18
18-28
23-12
21-24
23-16
21-22
11-22
19-24
25-18
20-27
22-21
160.5Avg total
75.5Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.391.3169.7-13.00%
Season at home (1)68.080.0148.0-12.00%
Season away (2)83.597.0180.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)75.585.0160.5-9.510%
Last 5 (5)83.288.8172.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.985.9164.8-7.022%
vs Similar (13)74.076.5150.5-2.546%
vs Weaker (6)84.377.5161.8+6.883%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#8
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H21/09
ABA Supercup
Cedevita
#4
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A22/09
ABA Supercup
Buducnost
#2
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A23/09
ABA Supercup
Cibona
#8
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H28/09
ABA League
Ulm
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H02/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
W
87-71
87
71
+16
A07/10
ABA League
Monaco
#8
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A10/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H13/10
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H16/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H20/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
20-14
20-9
26-9
25-16
20-11
11-17
23-24
28-16
29-16
21-23
11-20
21-20
21-15
17-21
19-12
28-21
18-22
16-16
26-14
22-13
23-18
22-19
20-21
17-6
12-18
8-20
29-19
29-17
17-15
20-19
14-15
16-17
28-16
16-25
25-21
25-23
27-21
23-11
21-20
153.2Avg total
83.4Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.771.7151.3+8.0100%
Season at home (2)86.576.0162.5+10.5100%
Season away (1)66.063.0129.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.469.8153.2+13.6100%
Last 5 (5)82.870.8153.6+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)78.270.5148.8+7.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.572.5161.0+16.090%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.9+3.9
BresciaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-60
31
60
-29
A26/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H28/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H30/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A10/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/10
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A16/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/10
Lega A
80.9Avg total
38.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.078.8-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.538.377.8+1.262%-
Last 30 away (17)38.241.379.5-3.141%-
Last 10 (10)38.242.780.9-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.285.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.743.883.4-4.144%-
vs Similar (13)36.239.275.4-2.946%-
vs Weaker (6)43.237.580.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H21/09
ABA Supercup
Cedevita
#4
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A22/09
ABA Supercup
Buducnost
#2
W
57-32
57
32
+25
A23/09
ABA Supercup
Cibona
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/09
ABA League
Ulm
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H02/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A07/10
ABA League
Monaco
#8
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A10/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H13/10
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H16/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H20/10
ABA League
78.9Avg total
44.6Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.835.980.7+8.887%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.236.381.5+8.988%-
Last 30 away (14)44.335.579.8+8.886%-
Last 10 (10)44.634.378.9+10.390%-
Last 5 (5)43.232.876.0+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)39.135.074.1+4.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.136.083.1+11.195%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.6
50.1%
51.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.0
34.2%
36.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.9
75.3%
74.9%14.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.4
55.6%
51.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.6
36.9%
36.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.313.0
71.0%
74.9%13.0
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWLLLLLLL
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWWWWWW
#19
League position
#9
-9.0
Net rating
+13.7
106.8
Offensive rating
110.6
115.8
Defensive rating
96.9
50.6%
Effective FG%
55.5%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.3%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.2%
3-point %
36.9%
57.6%
Assist %
64.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 110.6Defence115.8 · 96.9Shooting50.6% · 55.5%3-point %34.2% · 36.9%Ball care17.0% · 16.3%Off. rebounds30.8% · 28.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 100%
■ Brescia   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brescia wins
0
Crvena zvezda wins
No previous meetings.
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/18ATrieste86-90
16/10/18AGalatasaray76-84
14/10/18HReggiana83-79
10/10/18AMoraBanc Andorra91-110
07/10/18AVarese80-81
03/10/18HMonaco68-80
29/09/18AOlimpia Milano59-81
30/05/18HOlimpia Milano70-76
28/05/18HOlimpia Milano74-80
26/05/18AOlimpia Milano68-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/18HIgokea96-75
16/10/18HMoraBanc Andorra85-79
13/10/18HKK Krka Novo mesto80-66
10/10/18AMonaco66-63
07/10/18ABuducnost87-71
02/10/18HUlm88-73
28/09/18HCibona78-68
23/09/18ABuducnost89-75
22/09/18ACedevita79-68
21/09/18HPetrol Olimpija86-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.368.083.5
Allowed / game91.380.097.0
Point differential-13.0-12.0-13.5
Avg total169.7148.0180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.786.566.0
Allowed / game71.776.063.0
Point differential+8.0+10.5+3.0
Avg total151.3162.5129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban440100%85.572.5+13.0
2 Crvena zvezda330100%79.771.7+8.0
3 Unics Kazan43175%88.876.8+12.0
4 Zenit Petersburg43175%92.580.5+12.0
5 Alba Berlin43175%91.081.8+9.2
6 Unicaja43175%85.277.2+8.0
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne43175%77.571.5+6.0
8 Valencia43175%82.076.0+6.0
9 Monaco43175%76.071.0+5.0
10 Frankfurt43175%80.078.0+2.0
11 MoraBanc Andorra42250%91.288.8+2.5
12 Galatasaray42250%86.284.5+1.8
13 Cedevita42250%75.575.2+0.2
14 Limoges42250%82.083.2-1.2
15 Rytas42250%75.076.8-1.8
16 Partizan41325%77.883.0-5.2
17 Ulm41325%84.089.5-5.5
18 Tofas41325%85.092.5-7.5
19 Turk Telekom41325%72.881.0-8.2
20 Trento41325%70.080.5-10.5
21 Mornar Bar41325%79.592.8-13.2
22 Torino4040%80.587.5-7.0
23 Brescia3030%78.391.3-13.0
24 Gdynia4040%70.284.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1524171369
Crvena zvezda317121161
← all games of the day
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