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Olimpia Milano vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Sep 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 81-59
20-13 15-17 23-11 23-18
Position#1
Record-
FormWLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#4
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega A - Super CupLega A - Super Cup - Semi-finals
Other2018
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Brescia
05 Jun 2026
MIL91
BRE86
03 Jun 2026
MIL93
BRE68
01 Feb 2026
MIL81
BRE90
13 Oct 2024
MIL88
BRE85
27 May 2024
MIL77
BRE66
25 May 2024
MIL95
BRE89
28 Apr 2024
MIL83
BRE77
15 Feb 2023
MIL72
BRE75
02 Oct 2022
MIL78
BRE77
19 Feb 2022
MIL69
BRE63
12 Dec 2021
MIL76
BRE62
08 Nov 2020
MIL87
BRE56
04 Sep 2020
MIL81
BRE67
29 Sep 2019
MIL65
BRE73
25 Dec 2018
MIL87
BRE75
29 Sep 2018
MIL81
BRE59
26 May 2018
MIL89
BRE68
24 May 2018
MIL82
BRE85
26 Dec 2017
MIL74
BRE71
12 Feb 2017
MIL93
BRE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
108avg 109
H24/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
89-68
89
68
+21
121avg 109
H26/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
105avg 109
A28/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
A30/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
98-85
98
85
+13
125avg 109
H05/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
90-80
90
80
+10
112avg 109
H07/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
65-72
65
72
-7
88avg 109
A09/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
94avg 109
A11/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
118avg 109
H13/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
96-71
96
71
+25
120avg 109
A15/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
23-22
29-27
17-15
30-13
30-18
14-19
15-18
17-17
19-21
22-17
22-19
25-16
17-17
15-21
19-16
15-12
32-22
23-18
28-33
27-29
30-18
14-14
19-19
17-17
14-18
17-23
17-14
13-11
21-18
21-23
19-25
31-22
17-28
23-16
20-24
25-20
23-13
18-23
30-15
161.3Avg total
84.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.177.2161.3+6.970%
Last 5 (5)83.278.0161.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
vs Similar (5)85.282.4167.6+2.860%
vs Weaker (22)87.377.8165.0+9.577%
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
119avg 107
A28/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
H06/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
85-90
85
90
-5
110avg 107
A09/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
68-61
68
61
+7
94avg 107
H12/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
77-75
77
75
+2
101avg 107
H14/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
69-64 OT
69
64
+5
no box
A16/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-82
85
82
+3
113avg 107
A24/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
68-89
68
89
-21
91avg 107
A26/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
101avg 107
H28/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
H30/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
16-17
27-26
24-19
21-11
27-23
16-27
19-22
22-26
22-20
23-26
18-18
13-20
18-20
24-12
13-9
14-22
23-18
16-20
24-15
14-8
9-18
20-24
17-10
21-13
22-23
27-29
15-17
13-30
18-30
19-14
18-15
17-17
21-19
17-22
19-22
16-25
17-17
21-15
16-19
158.0Avg total
78.0Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
Last 5 (5)73.278.2151.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.081.0157.0-5.033%
vs Similar (14)75.476.9152.4-1.550%
vs Weaker (9)84.078.0162.0+6.078%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
Olimpia MilanoBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H24/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
60-31
60
31
+29
H26/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A28/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A30/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H05/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H07/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A09/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A11/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H13/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A15/06
Lega A
81.2Avg total
43.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.182.2+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.139.886.9+7.381%-
Last 30 away (14)40.836.176.9+4.757%-
Last 10 (10)43.937.381.2+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.882.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.740.782.3+1.067%-
vs Similar (5)41.840.081.8+1.840%-
vs Weaker (22)45.037.382.3+7.877%-
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A28/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H06/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A16/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A24/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-60
31
60
-29
A26/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H28/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H30/05
Lega A
76.6Avg total
36.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.078.6-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.637.777.3+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.542.379.8-4.740%-
Last 10 (10)36.340.376.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.640.073.6-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.044.082.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (14)35.838.774.5-2.943%-
vs Weaker (9)42.439.782.1+2.856%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.517.6
54.2%
-35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.811.8
41.0%
-35.4
🏀 Free throws15.612.7
81.4%
-12.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.2
49.5%
-40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.2
33.6%
-21.6
🏀 Free throws18.512.6
68.1%
-12.6
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLLWWWWWL
Brescia
LLLWWWWLWL
#1
League position
#4
+9.4
Net rating
-4.6
117.0
Offensive rating
103.0
107.6
Defensive rating
107.6
57.6%
Effective FG%
49.8%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.7%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
41.0%
3-point %
33.6%
51.4%
Assist %
59.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Brescia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/18ATrento96-71
13/06/18HTrento91-90
11/06/18ATrento74-77
09/06/18ATrento65-72
07/06/18HTrento90-80
05/06/18HTrento98-85
30/05/18ABrescia76-70
28/05/18ABrescia80-74
26/05/18HBrescia89-68
24/05/18HBrescia82-85
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/18HOlimpia Milano70-76
28/05/18HOlimpia Milano74-80
26/05/18AOlimpia Milano68-89
24/05/18AOlimpia Milano85-82
16/05/18AVarese69-64 OT
14/05/18HVarese77-75
12/05/18HVarese68-61
09/05/18APistoia85-90
06/05/18HTorino98-95 OT
28/04/18ACremona86-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A - Super Cup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brescia
Lega A - Super Cup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Torino110100%81.072.0+9.0
2 Trento1010%72.081.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2015232381
Brescia1317111859
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