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Varese vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 81-80
21-22 22-19 23-23 15-16
Position#7
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Varese v Brescia
14 Feb 2026
VAR98
BRE96
25 Jan 2025
VAR77
BRE118
30 Mar 2024
VAR92
BRE95
28 Jan 2023
VAR80
BRE72
26 Sep 2021
VAR75
BRE72
27 Sep 2020
VAR94
BRE89
13 Sep 2020
VAR102
BRE100
11 Mar 2020
VAR v BRE
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
VAR81
BRE80
16 May 2018
VAR64
BRE69
11 Feb 2018
VAR100
BRE72
19 Nov 2016
VAR68
BRE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
118avg 112
H31/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
75-73
75
73
+2
99avg 112
A08/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
110avg 112
H15/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
71-69
71
69
+2
95avg 112
A22/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
69-65
69
65
+4
101avg 112
H29/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
89-79
89
79
+10
126avg 112
H06/05
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
83-92
83
92
-9
118avg 112
A09/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
61-68
61
68
-7
86avg 112
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
104avg 112
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
64-69 OT
64
69
-5
no box
H16/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
22-16
14-19
26-21
23-21
22-20
10-16
20-16
28-10
15-25
12-24
25-14
18-22
10-14
19-16
24-17
8-13
17-14
24-10
20-28
24-17
23-23
22-20
20-19
25-14
16-26
20-29
22-23
20-13
20-18
12-24
9-13
22-14
18-23
20-16
15-24
8-14
18-9
24-20
10-17
148.8Avg total
75.5Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.573.3148.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)74.477.0151.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (19)76.675.3151.9+1.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.376.4155.7+2.950%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
L
85-90
85
90
-5
110avg 107
A09/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
68-61
68
61
+7
94avg 107
H12/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
77-75
77
75
+2
101avg 107
H14/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
69-64 OT
69
64
+5
no box
A16/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-82
85
82
+3
113avg 107
A24/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
68-89
68
89
-21
91avg 107
A26/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
101avg 107
H28/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
H30/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
no box
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
68-80
68
80
-12
96avg 107
H03/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
22-20
23-26
18-18
13-20
18-20
24-12
13-9
14-22
23-18
16-20
24-15
14-8
9-18
20-24
17-10
21-13
22-23
27-29
15-17
13-30
18-30
19-14
18-15
17-17
21-19
17-22
19-22
16-25
17-17
21-15
16-19
13-20
17-15
11-23
18-23
14-24
22-19
17-22
15-15
150.1Avg total
72.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.377.8150.1-5.540%
Last 5 (5)67.881.2149.0-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.582.0157.5-6.533%
vs Similar (13)74.377.4151.7-3.146%
vs Weaker (9)84.078.0162.0+6.078%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
VareseBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H31/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A22/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H29/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H06/05
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A09/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H16/05
Lega A
72.1Avg total
38.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.475.8+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.834.277.0+8.686%-
Last 30 away (16)36.338.474.7-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.333.872.1+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.273.0+4.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.036.078.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (19)39.636.776.3+2.968%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.536.074.5+2.560%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A16/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A24/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-60
31
60
-29
A26/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H28/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H30/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/10
Eurocup
75.0Avg total
34.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.978.3-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.638.177.7+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)37.241.678.8-4.440%-
Last 10 (10)34.640.475.0-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)33.643.276.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.243.781.8-5.550%-
vs Similar (13)35.838.874.6-3.146%-
vs Weaker (9)42.439.782.1+2.856%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.5
53.3%
51.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.2
33.9%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.512.6
72.0%
72.3%12.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.1
49.1%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.2
32.6%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.211.8
68.6%
72.3%11.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLLWWWWWW
Brescia
LLLLLWWWWL
#7
League position
#12
+3.8
Net rating
-6.2
107.6
Offensive rating
102.1
103.8
Defensive rating
108.3
52.3%
Effective FG%
49.0%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.9%
3-point %
32.6%
62.8%
Assist %
60.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 102.1Defence103.8 · 108.3Shooting52.3% · 49.0%3-point %33.9% · 32.6%Ball care17.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.4% · 30.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
5
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
16/05/18Varese v Brescia64-69 OT
14/05/18Brescia v Varese77-75
12/05/18Brescia v Varese68-61
11/02/18Varese v Brescia100-72
23/10/17Brescia v Varese73-67
19/03/17Brescia v Varese78-87
19/11/16Varese v Brescia68-74
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/18HBrescia64-69 OT
14/05/18ABrescia75-77
12/05/18ABrescia61-68
09/05/18ATorino83-92
06/05/18HCremona89-79
29/04/18HBrindisi69-65
22/04/18AVirtus Bologna71-69
15/04/18HReggiana80-73
08/04/18ACapo d'Orlando75-73
31/03/18HPesaro88-68
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/18HMonaco68-80
29/09/18AOlimpia Milano59-81
30/05/18HOlimpia Milano70-76
28/05/18HOlimpia Milano74-80
26/05/18AOlimpia Milano68-89
24/05/18AOlimpia Milano85-82
16/05/18AVarese69-64 OT
14/05/18HVarese77-75
12/05/18HVarese68-61
09/05/18APistoia85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brescia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Avellino110100%98.081.0+17.0
2 Olimpia Milano110100%103.092.0+11.0
3 Reggiana110100%85.077.0+8.0
4 Pesaro110100%83.077.0+6.0
5 Cremona110100%104.099.0+5.0
6 Venezia110100%76.075.0+1.0
7 Torino1010%75.076.0-1.0
8 Trento1010%99.0104.0-5.0
9 Pistoia1010%77.083.0-6.0
10 Sassari1010%77.085.0-8.0
11 Brindisi1010%92.0103.0-11.0
12 Cantu1010%81.098.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2122231581
Brescia2219231680
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