PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
The NCAA game on 18 November 2026 pits Brigham Young against Northern Colorado, with Brigham Young the clear favourite as the model rates them 93% to win, a reflection of their undefeated 4-0 season record, 96.5 points per game and 75.8 allowed per game, placing them 54th in the league. Brigham Young has won every home game, averaging 96.5 points and allowing 75.8, and has won four of its last five games, including a 108-67 victory over Nebraska O. and a 98-82 win over Queens Royals. Northern Colorado, meanwhile, is 2-1 overall, scoring 94.0 points per game while conceding 68.7, and sits 136th in the standings; they have lost their only road game, 63-90 to Arizona State, and have won three of their last five, notably a 117-64 triumph over Colorado College. The model projects a 92-74 score, 166 total points, and a 2% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 96.5 | 75.8 | 172.2 | +20.8 | 100% |
| Season at home (4) | 96.5 | 75.8 | 172.2 | +20.8 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 84.6 | 76.0 | 160.6 | +8.6 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.4 | 76.4 | 167.8 | +15.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (5) | 72.4 | 76.0 | 148.4 | -3.6 | 20% |
| vs Similar (9) | 76.4 | 78.9 | 155.3 | -2.4 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (16) | 94.4 | 77.8 | 172.2 | +16.6 | 88% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 94.0 | 68.7 | 162.7 | +25.3 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 109.5 | 58.0 | 167.5 | +51.5 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 63.0 | 90.0 | 153.0 | -27.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.4 | 72.8 | 158.2 | +12.6 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.2 | 71.6 | 162.8 | +19.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (13) | 78.8 | 79.5 | 158.4 | -0.7 | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 81.1 | 77.6 | 158.7 | +3.6 | 71% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.4 | 38.1 | 77.5 | +1.3 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (19) | 41.1 | 37.5 | 78.6 | +3.6 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 away (11) | 36.4 | 39.1 | 75.5 | -2.7 | 36% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.5 | 38.2 | 79.7 | +3.3 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.8 | 36.8 | 81.6 | +8.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (5) | 35.4 | 38.0 | 73.4 | -2.6 | 40% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 33.1 | 40.0 | 73.1 | -6.9 | 11% | - |
| vs Weaker (16) | 44.1 | 37.1 | 81.2 | +7.1 | 81% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.1 | 34.3 | 72.5 | +3.8 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.9 | 31.2 | 72.1 | +9.7 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 35.4 | 37.5 | 72.9 | -2.1 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.9 | 35.0 | 73.9 | +3.9 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.0 | 31.6 | 68.6 | +5.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (13) | 33.8 | 37.8 | 71.5 | -4.0 | 38% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 39.0 | 34.4 | 73.4 | +4.6 | 79% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Montana State | 86-71 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Queens Royals | 98-82 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Nebraska O. | 108-67 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Ohio State | 94-83 |
| 19/03/26 | H | Texas | 71-79 |
| 12/03/26 | A | Houston | 66-73 |
| 11/03/26 | A | West Virginia | 68-48 |
| 10/03/26 | H | Kansas State | 105-91 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Texas Tech | 82-76 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Cincinnati | 68-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Northern New Mexico | 102-52 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Arizona State | 63-90 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Colorado College | 117-64 |
| 09/03/26 | A | Montana | 89-95 |
| 03/03/26 | H | Montana | 85-57 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Idaho | 76-67 |
| 27/02/26 | A | East. Washington | 72-82 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Northern Arizona | 78-77 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Portland State | 77-65 |
| 13/02/26 | H | Sacramento State | 95-79 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 96.5 | 96.5 | - |
| Allowed / game | 75.8 | 75.8 | - |
| Point differential | +20.8 | +20.8 | - |
| Avg total | 172.2 | 172.2 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLW | 67% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 94.0 | 109.5 | 63.0 |
| Allowed / game | 68.7 | 58.0 | 90.0 |
| Point differential | +25.3 | +51.5 | -27.0 |
| Avg total | 162.7 | 167.5 | 153.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Baylor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.3 | 59.7 | +35.7 |
| 2 |  West Virginia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.7 | 53.3 | +32.3 |
| 3 |  Kansas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 59.7 | +31.3 |
| 4 |  TCU | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 67.2 | +27.8 |
| 5 |  Arizona State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 85.5 | 63.2 | +22.2 |
| 6 | Brigham Young | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 96.5 | 75.8 | +20.8 |
| 7 |  Texas Tech | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 78.7 | 59.3 | +19.3 |
| 8 |  Utah Utes | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 72.7 | 61.3 | +11.3 |
| 9 |  UCF Knights | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 85.8 | 77.2 | +8.5 |
| 10 |  Arizona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 87.2 | 74.0 | +13.2 |
| 11 |  Houston | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 84.7 | 62.3 | +22.3 |
| 12 |  Oklahoma State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.7 | 72.0 | +20.7 |
| 13 |  Iowa State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.0 | 61.3 | +19.7 |
| 14 |  Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 73.7 | 60.0 | +13.7 |
| 15 |  Colorado | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.0 | 70.3 | +10.7 |
| 16 |  Kansas State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 83.3 | 76.0 | +7.3 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Colorado | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 94.0 | 68.7 | +25.3 |
| 2 |  Idaho | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 86.5 | 71.5 | +15.0 |
| 3 |  Sacramento State | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 83.5 | 78.5 | +5.0 |
| 4 |  Montana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.3 | 63.3 | +14.0 |
| 5 |  Portland State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 80.7 | 75.0 | +5.7 |
| 6 |  Montana State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.0 | 80.0 | -4.0 |
| 7 |  East. Washington | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 80.5 | 83.5 | -3.0 |
| 8 |  Northern Arizona | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 69.5 | 87.8 | -18.2 |
| 9 |  Weber State | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 72.7 | 96.0 | -23.3 |
| 10 |  Idaho State | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 67.3 | 92.0 | -24.7 |
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