Brigham Young faces the Queens Royals on 10 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup where the model designates Brigham Young as the clear favourite, assigning them a 98% chance of victory largely because of their undefeated 2-0 record, 101.0 points per game and 75.0 allowed per game, placing them 57th in the league. Queens, meanwhile, sit 166th with a 2-1 record, 89.0 points per game and 103.7 allowed per game. Brigham Young has won both of its home contests, averaging 101.0 points and conceding 75.0, and has won three of its last five games, including a 108-67 win over Nebraska O. and a 94-83 win over Ohio State, though they suffered a 71-79 loss to Texas. Queens' road record is 1-1, with an 82.0 points per game and 106.5 allowed per game, and they have won three of their last five, notably a 96-95 win over Loyola Marymount and a 103-98 home win over Winthrop, but fell 68-118 to Oklahoma State. The only prior meeting ended 99-55 in favour of Brigham Young. Pythia projects a 100-76 score, a total of 175.8 points, and an overtime probability of 1%; the home team covers the spread with a 98% probability. The game ends with Brigham Young's decisive 100-76 victory.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Brigham Young winWon
97.5%fair 1.03
Best odds1.01
Implied94.2%
Edge+3.3pp
Queens Royals winLost
2.5%fair 40.42
Best odds65.00
Implied5.8%
Edge-3.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Brigham Young) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 178.5Actual: Over 178.5
Over 178.5
43.2%
@ 1.80-12.1pp
Under 178.5
56.8%
@ 2.30+12.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.80
WilliamHill
1.73
Marathon Be
1.67
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.55
Under
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.15
WilliamHill
2.00
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 183.5 · main lineActual: Under 183.5
Over 183.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under 183.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Bet365
2.05
Marathon Be
1.96
SBO
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
WilliamHill
1.80
SBO
1.78
Marathon Be
1.74
Bet365
1.71
Over/Under 188.5Actual: Under 188.5
Over 188.5
no forecast
@ 2.77
Under 188.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.77
Bet365
2.72
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
📊 3. Team Totals
Brigham Young total 99.5Actual: Brigham Young under 99.5
Over 99.5
50.8%
@ 1.37-16.8pp
Under 99.5
49.2%
@ 3.20+16.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.30
Under
1xBet
3.20
Bet365
2.85
Betano
2.70
Brigham Young total 103.5 · main lineActual: Brigham Young under 103.5
Over 103.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 103.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.00
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Brigham Young total 107.5Actual: Brigham Young under 107.5
Over 107.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under 107.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.08
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.50
Queens Royals total 72Actual: Queens Royals over 72
Over 72
66.4%
Under 72
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Royals total 76 · main lineActual: Queens Royals over 76
Over 76
50.1%
@ 1.85+0.1pp
Under 76
49.9%
@ 1.85-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Queens Royals total 80Actual: Queens Royals over 80
Over 80
33.9%
Under 80
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Brigham Young -33.5Actual: Queens Royals +33.5
BRIG -33.5
no forecast
@ 2.77
QUEE +33.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
Best 5 market prices
BRIG
Betano
2.77
Bet365
2.50
QUEE
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.38
Spread Brigham Young -30.5 · main lineActual: Queens Royals +30.5
BRIG -30.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
QUEE +30.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Best 5 market prices
BRIG
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.05
1xBet
1.83
QUEE
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.71
Marathon Be
1.69
Betano
1.57
Spread Brigham Young -27.5Actual: Queens Royals +27.5
BRIG -27.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
QUEE +27.5
no forecast
@ 2.21
Best 5 market prices
BRIG
Betano
1.87
BetVictor
1.78
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Be
1.68
QUEE
Pinnacle
2.21
Bet365
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.89
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Brigham YoungQueens Royals
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Brigham YoungLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#92
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H25/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H08/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H10/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A11/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H19/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#171
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#235
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H07/11
NCAA
77.5Avg total
37.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 89.5
Last 30 (30)
38.3
38.0
76.3
+0.2
50%
7%
Last 30 at home (19)
39.4
37.4
76.8
+1.9
58%
11%
Last 30 away (11)
36.4
39.1
75.5
-2.7
36%
0%
Last 10 (10)
37.2
40.3
77.5
-3.1
40%
10%
Last 5 (5)
39.8
34.6
74.4
+5.2
60%
0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)
35.4
38.0
73.4
-2.6
40%
0%
vs Similar (11)
32.9
39.0
71.9
-6.1
18%
0%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)
43.5
37.3
80.8
+6.2
79%
14%
This opponent (Queens Royals) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Queens RoyalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Georgia
#243
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A28/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H07/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A08/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A20/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#338
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H02/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#242
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A05/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#7
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A07/11
NCAA
79.7Avg total
39.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 89.5
Last 30 (30)
40.8
40.2
81.1
+0.6
53%
33%
Last 30 at home (13)
47.0
38.3
85.3
+8.7
85%
46%
Last 30 away (17)
36.1
41.7
77.8
-5.6
29%
24%
Last 10 (10)
39.0
40.7
79.7
-1.7
40%
30%
Last 5 (5)
39.8
44.4
84.2
-4.6
20%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)
40.1
44.5
84.6
-4.4
30%
40%
vs Similar (13)
40.0
39.5
79.5
+0.5
54%
38%
vs Weaker (7)
43.4
35.4
78.9
+8.0
86%
14%
This opponent (Brigham Young) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Brigham Young win
BRIG win
no forecast
@ 1.05
QUEE win
no forecast
@ 11.50
1st half Spread Brigham Young -15.5 · main lineActual: Queens Royals +15.5
BRIG -15.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
QUEE +15.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 89.5 · main lineActual: Over 89.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Brigham Young 1st half total 50.5 · main lineActual: Brigham Young over 50.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.02
Queens Royals 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Queens Royals over 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: BRIG + total 88.5
BRIG & over
no forecast
@ 2.05
BRIG & under
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half: Draw + total 88.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 41.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 41.00
1st half: QUEE + total 88.5
QUEE & over
no forecast
@ 21.00
QUEE & under
no forecast
@ 19.00
1st half Over/Under 88Actual: Over 88
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 91Actual: Over 91
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread Brigham Young -16.5Actual: Queens Royals +16.5
BRIG -16.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
QUEE +16.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Brigham Young -14.5Actual: Queens Royals +14.5
BRIG -14.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
QUEE +14.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 86.5Actual: Over 86.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Over/Under 92.5Actual: Over 92.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Brigham Young -17.5Actual: Queens Royals +17.5
BRIG -17.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
QUEE +17.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Brigham Young (regulation)
BRIG
no forecast
@ 1.06
Draw
no forecast
@ 41.00
QUEE
no forecast
@ 12.00
Brigham YoungLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#92
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H25/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H08/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H10/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A11/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H19/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#171
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#235
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H07/11
NCAA
82.5Avg total
44.5Scored
38.0Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 93.5
Last 30 (30)
45.8
38.6
84.4
+7.3
73%
23%
Last 30 at home (19)
48.3
36.7
85.1
+11.6
89%
26%
Last 30 away (11)
41.5
41.7
83.3
-0.2
45%
18%
Last 10 (10)
44.5
38.0
82.5
+6.5
80%
30%
Last 5 (5)
41.6
35.4
77.0
+6.2
80%
20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)
37.0
38.0
75.0
-1.0
40%
20%
vs Similar (11)
44.0
36.8
80.8
+7.2
82%
9%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)
50.4
40.1
90.6
+10.3
79%
36%
This opponent (Queens Royals) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Queens RoyalsLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Georgia
#243
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A26/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A28/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A08/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A08/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A20/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#338
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H02/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#242
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A05/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#7
L
37-66
37
66
-29
A07/11
NCAA
94.0Avg total
45.7Scored
48.3Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 93.5
Last 30 (30)
44.6
44.6
89.1
+0.0
50%
37%
Last 30 at home (13)
45.2
42.9
88.1
+2.2
54%
38%
Last 30 away (17)
44.1
45.8
89.9
-1.7
47%
35%
Last 10 (10)
45.7
48.3
94.0
-2.6
50%
60%
Last 5 (5)
44.2
55.0
99.2
-10.8
40%
80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)
44.5
52.2
96.7
-7.7
30%
60%
vs Similar (13)
42.2
41.2
83.4
+0.9
46%
15%
vs Weaker (7)
49.1
39.9
89.0
+9.3
86%
43%
This opponent (Brigham Young) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Brigham Young win
BRIG win
no forecast
@ 1.06
QUEE win
no forecast
@ 9.25
2nd half Spread Brigham Young -12.5 · main lineActual: Queens Royals +12.5
BRIG -12.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
QUEE +12.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
2nd half Over/Under 93.5 · main lineActual: Under 93.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Brigham Young 2nd half total 53.5 · main lineActual: Brigham Young under 53.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Queens Royals 2nd half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Queens Royals over 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
2nd half Spread Brigham Young -13.5Actual: Queens Royals +13.5
BRIG -13.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
QUEE +13.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half Spread Brigham Young -11.5Actual: Queens Royals +11.5
BRIG -11.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
QUEE +11.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Brigham Young (regulation)
BRIG
no forecast
@ 1.07
Draw
no forecast
@ 32.00
QUEE
no forecast
@ 8.50
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Brigham Young (regulation)
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
Brigham Young win
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Queens Royals over 59.5
95.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Queens Royals over 60.5
94.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Queens Royals over 58.5
96.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Queens Royals over 61.5
92.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Queens Royals under 81.5
70.9%
1.34
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.35
1xBet
1.29
-
-
+1.9pp
Lost
Brigham Young over 83.5
94.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Queens Royals over 62.5
91.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Brigham Young over 84.5
93.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
Queens Royals over 63.5
89.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
Queens Royals under 82.5
74.2%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Queens Royals over 65.5
85.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+0.0pp
Won
Queens Royals over 66.5
83.1%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Brigham Young over 85.5
92.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Won
Queens Royals over 67.5
80.5%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-0.5pp
Won
Queens Royals over 64.5
87.7%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
Brigham Young over 86.5
90.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
Queens Royals over 69.5
74.5%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
1xBet
1.22
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
Brigham Young -8.5
90.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Won
Over 155.5
89.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
Queens Royals over 68.5
77.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
Brigham Young over 87.5
89.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
Queens Royals over 70.5
71.2%
1.26
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-2.3pp
Won
Over 156.5
88.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.0pp
Won
Brigham Young over 88.5
87.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Won
Over 157.5
87.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
Brigham Young over 89.5
84.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-4.7pp
Won
Brigham Young over 90.5
82.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-5.9pp
Won
Over 160.5
82.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-6.1pp
Won
Over 161.5
81.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-7.4pp
Won
Brigham Young -13.5
81.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-7.5pp
Won
Brigham Young over 91.5
79.7%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-8.3pp
Won
Over 162.5
79.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-8.4pp
Won
Brigham Young over 92.5
76.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-9.4pp
Won
Over 165.5
73.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-10.0pp
Won
Over 166.5
71.8%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-11.3pp
Won
Brigham Young over 93.5
73.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-12.0pp
Won
Brigham Young over 94.5
70.1%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-12.2pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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