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Brillantes vs Toros de Aragua Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 84-65
18-24 24-16 16-12 26-13
Position#9
Record12-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#11
Record10-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game80.0
VenezuelaSuperligaSuperliga - Final· Garcia D.
Other2025Neutral venue
Meetings · Brillantes v Toros de Aragua
10 May 2025
BRIL84
TORO65
23 Apr 2025
BRIL79
TORO96
22 Apr 2025
BRIL87
TORO67
13 Jul 2024
BRIL75
TORO63
09 May 2024
BRIL97
TORO58
04 Apr 2023
BRIL84
TORO64
06 Aug 2022
BRIL86
TORO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brillantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrillantesVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrillantes
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
70avg 75
A16/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 75
A17/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 75
A20/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
W
87-67
87
67
+20
80avg 75
H22/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
L
79-96
79
96
-17
71avg 75
H23/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 75
A27/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
100-90
100
90
+10
95avg 75
A28/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
56avg 75
A02/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
111-67
111
67
+44
122avg 75
H05/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
115-90
115
90
+25
120avg 75
H06/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
19-17
16-20
22-19
20-14
17-26
24-15
21-30
23-20
20-18
16-24
18-20
26-26
17-11
27-15
17-15
23-18
18-24
9-24
29-30
23-21
25-20
21-23
16-23
26-21
24-22
26-16
24-31
5-19
20-15
23-29
20-19
30-23
39-12
20-21
22-11
29-21
27-28
32-27
27-14
171.4Avg total
88.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.479.7162.0+2.750%
Season at home (12)84.878.6163.4+6.258%
Season away (12)79.980.8160.7-0.842%
Last 10 (10)88.383.1171.4+5.240%
Last 5 (5)95.883.2179.0+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.482.4153.8-11.00%
vs Similar (8)84.082.8166.8+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.879.7166.5+7.165%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#14
W
88-80
88
80
+8
87avg 67
A15/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
65-77
65
77
-12
60avg 67
A17/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
72-66
72
66
+6
78avg 67
H19/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
62-56
62
56
+6
51avg 67
H20/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
67-87
67
87
-20
68avg 67
A22/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
W
96-79
96
79
+17
105avg 67
A23/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
72-85
72
85
-13
69avg 67
A25/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
87avg 67
H30/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
W
92-88
92
88
+4
77avg 67
H04/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
67-91
67
91
-24
61avg 67
H06/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
22-21
17-16
27-20
14-23
20-24
20-13
11-17
29-22
13-11
24-23
6-10
22-18
19-23
21-15
0-0
26-26
11-17
15-27
15-17
18-23
24-18
24-9
30-29
17-18
13-19
15-29
27-19
23-18
20-25
18-21
16-13
20-24
27-22
21-14
24-28
17-28
19-31
15-17
16-15
157.8Avg total
77.4Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.980.0154.8-5.142%
Season at home (12)75.877.4153.2-1.650%
Season away (12)73.982.5156.4-8.633%
Last 10 (10)77.480.4157.8-3.050%
Last 5 (5)84.087.6171.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.984.9157.7-12.019%
vs Similar (9)79.074.1153.1+4.978%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brillantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
BrillantesToros de Aragua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrillantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A17/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H22/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A27/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A02/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
69-35
69
35
+34
H05/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H06/05
Superliga
85.8Avg total
45.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.284.1+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.240.783.9+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)42.641.684.2+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.340.585.8+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)49.640.490.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.042.478.4-6.420%-
vs Similar (8)41.943.585.4-1.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.439.785.1+5.776%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A17/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H19/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H20/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A25/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H04/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H06/05
Superliga
83.0Avg total
39.6Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.542.078.5-5.531%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.841.078.8-3.242%-
Last 30 away (17)35.642.778.4-7.124%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.483.0-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.284.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.243.477.7-9.125%-
vs Similar (9)41.638.980.4+2.744%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brillantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brillantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brillantes: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.9
53.5%
50.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.6
39.1%
32.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.514.9
69.3%
67.2%14.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.4
50.4%
50.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.28.2
38.7%
32.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.815.0
75.8%
67.2%15.0
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brillantes
WWLWLLWLLL
Toros de Aragua
LWLLWLWWLW
#9
League position
#11
+6.7
Net rating
-4.8
117.2
Offensive rating
105.3
110.5
Defensive rating
110.1
55.8%
Effective FG%
53.2%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
20.1%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.1%
3-point %
38.7%
68.2%
Assist %
71.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 105.3Defence110.5 · 110.1Shooting55.8% · 53.2%3-point %39.1% · 38.7%Ball care16.0% · 20.1%Off. rebounds30.6% · 27.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Brillantes   ■ Toros de Aragua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brillantes wins
3
Toros de Aragua wins
Brillanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/25HFrontinos115-90
05/05/25HFrontinos111-67
02/05/25AGaiteros del Zulia68-82
28/04/25ALlaneros100-90
27/04/25ALlaneros85-87
23/04/25HToros de Aragua79-96
22/04/25HToros de Aragua87-67
20/04/25AGaiteros del Zulia77-82
17/04/25ATrotamundos82-85
16/04/25ATrotamundos79-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/25HTrotamundos67-91
04/05/25HPioneros92-88
30/04/25HLlaneros93-95 OT
25/04/25ATrotamundos72-85
23/04/25ABrillantes96-79
22/04/25ABrillantes67-87
20/04/25HFrontinos62-56
19/04/25HFrontinos72-66
17/04/25APioneros65-77
15/04/25ALlaneros88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brillantes
Superliga 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWWLWW58%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%58%42%
Points / game82.484.879.9
Allowed / game79.778.680.8
Point differential+2.7+6.2-0.8
Avg total162.0163.4160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game74.975.873.9
Allowed / game80.077.482.5
Point differential-5.1-1.6-8.6
Avg total154.8153.2156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %12%17%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gaiteros del Zulia2219386%84.369.5+14.8
2 Marinos2415962%81.078.0+3.0
3 Pioneros2415962%80.379.0+1.2
4 Trotamundos2415962%79.778.7+1.0
5 Spartans24141058%80.577.7+2.8
6 Brillantes24121250%82.479.7+2.7
7 Gladiadores24121250%86.985.6+1.3
8 Cocodrilos24121250%78.977.7+1.2
9 Guaiqueries22111150%80.079.4+0.6
10 Piratas de La Guaira22111150%83.985.3-1.5
11 Toros de Aragua24101442%74.980.0-5.1
12 Panteras2471729%77.184.7-7.6
13 Frontinos2461825%70.678.9-8.3
14 Llaneros2251723%73.078.6-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brillantes1824162684
Toros de Aragua2416121365
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