PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brillantes vs Toros de Aragua Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 84-64
27-16 13-10 20-25 24-13
Position#6
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#20
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game79.4
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Pedro Elías Belisario Aponte (Maracaibo)
Other2023
Meetings · Brillantes v Toros de Aragua
10 May 2025
BRIL84
TORO65
23 Apr 2025
BRIL79
TORO96
22 Apr 2025
BRIL87
TORO67
13 Jul 2024
BRIL75
TORO63
09 May 2024
BRIL97
TORO58
04 Apr 2023
BRIL84
TORO64
06 Aug 2022
BRIL86
TORO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brillantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrillantesVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrillantes
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
H28/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
H29/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
64-82
64
82
-18
no box
A02/10
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
90-92
90
92
-2
55avg 70
A19/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
84-66
84
66
+18
48avg 70
A20/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
92-76
92
76
+16
88avg 70
H25/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
90-88
90
88
+2
83avg 70
H26/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
74-63
74
63
+11
74avg 70
A29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
83-85
83
85
-2
72avg 70
A30/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
68avg 70
H02/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
18-22
22-28
30-22
25-14
21-33
25-20
21-19
12-16
12-19
20-28
20-19
18-16
22-33
22-21
28-22
19-17
26-15
16-11
23-23
18-20
26-17
13-20
35-19
19-22
28-22
23-18
20-26
16-21
23-14
26-19
9-9
27-17
13-21
21-23
22-24
23-10
20-22
13-20
22-24
163.2Avg total
83.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.478.0162.4+6.471%
Season at home (3)86.780.0166.7+6.7100%
Season away (4)82.876.5159.2+6.250%
Last 10 (10)83.280.0163.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)83.477.6161.0+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.088.0178.0+2.0100%
vs Similar (23)82.179.4161.5+2.765%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.776.8162.5+8.867%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
H30/08
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#9
L
77-98
77
98
-21
no box
A01/09
Superliga
Broncos
#8
L
62-73
62
73
-11
no box
A02/09
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
H19/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 57
H22/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
79-93
79
93
-14
69avg 57
H23/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
56-64
56
64
-8
47avg 57
A26/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
72-83
72
83
-11
59avg 57
A30/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
46avg 57
H01/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
73-77
73
77
-4
58avg 57
A03/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
15-13
16-26
21-20
24-33
12-24
21-19
20-22
14-24
15-21
13-19
20-9
18-12
12-17
23-29
22-12
24-19
20-28
16-26
15-14
16-26
17-21
20-28
26-18
14-15
17-18
9-17
16-14
24-14
12-19
13-21
23-29
13-15
15-29
15-20
20-18
22-21
21-18
15-24
15-14
151.0Avg total
70.2Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.479.4149.9-9.014%
Season at home (4)73.083.0156.0-10.025%
Season away (3)67.074.7141.7-7.70%
Last 10 (10)70.280.8151.0-10.610%
Last 5 (5)68.679.8148.4-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)67.980.6148.5-12.77%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)73.576.5150.0-3.050%
This opponent (Brillantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
BrillantesToros de Aragua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrillantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H28/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H29/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A02/10
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A19/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A20/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H25/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H26/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A30/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H02/04
Superliga
78.6Avg total
40.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.877.7+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.237.677.8+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)39.638.177.7+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.578.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.279.8+5.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.044.091.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (23)39.237.276.4+2.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.539.280.7+2.367%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/08
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#9
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A01/09
Superliga
Broncos
#8
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A02/09
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H19/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H22/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H23/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A30/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H01/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/04
Superliga
75.2Avg total
34.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.740.072.7-7.221%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.441.475.7-7.014%-
Last 30 away (15)31.238.769.9-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)34.340.975.2-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.273.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)32.740.673.3-7.915%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)33.031.064.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Brillantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brillantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brillantes: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.3
49.8%
50.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.4%
31.3%28.7
🏀 Free throws17.913.1
73.6%
65.6%13.1
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.819.8
45.2%
50.8%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.56.0
32.4%
31.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.811.2
53.6%
65.6%11.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brillantes
WLWWWWLLWL
Toros de Aragua
LLLLLLWLLL
#6
League position
#20
+4.8
Net rating
-15.1
102.5
Offensive rating
90.1
97.7
Defensive rating
105.1
51.7%
Effective FG%
46.3%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
19.9%
Turnover %
23.7%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.4%
3-point %
32.4%
58.4%
Assist %
40.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 90.1Defence97.7 · 105.1Shooting51.7% · 46.3%3-point %36.4% · 32.4%Ball care19.9% · 23.7%Off. rebounds29.5% · 33.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Brillantes   ■ Toros de Aragua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brillantes wins
0
Toros de Aragua wins
DateGameScore
06/08/22Brillantes v Toros de Aragua86-68
Brillanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HHeroes de Falcon78-76
30/03/23ACentauros83-85
29/03/23AGuaros de Lara74-63
26/03/23HBroncos90-88
25/03/23HTrotamundos92-76
20/03/23AGaiteros del Zulia84-66
19/03/23AGaiteros del Zulia90-92
02/10/22ATrotamundos64-82
29/09/22HTrotamundos92-86
28/09/22HTrotamundos85-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia73-77
01/04/23HTrotamundos63-82
30/03/23AFrontinos72-83
26/03/23ACentauros56-64
23/03/23HHeroes de Falcon79-93
22/03/23HGuaros de Lara75-87
19/03/23HFrontinos75-70
02/09/22ABroncos62-73
01/09/22APiratas de La Guaira77-98
30/08/22HHeroes de Falcon70-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brillantes
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game84.486.782.8
Allowed / game78.080.076.5
Point differential+6.4+6.7+6.2
Avg total162.4166.7159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game70.473.067.0
Allowed / game79.483.074.7
Point differential-9.0-10.0-7.7
Avg total149.9156.0141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Piratas de La Guaira660100%86.073.3+12.7
2 Gladiadores76186%81.172.3+8.9
3 Broncos86275%89.172.8+16.4
4 Cocodrilos86275%75.268.2+7.0
5 Guaiqueries75271%94.084.0+10.0
6 Brillantes75271%84.478.0+6.4
7 Trotamundos75271%78.475.1+3.3
8 Guaros de Lara75271%77.776.4+1.3
9 Gaiteros del Zulia85362%77.179.0-1.9
10 Panteras94544%73.172.1+1.0
11 Heroes de Falcon73443%84.782.7+2.0
12 Centauros73443%71.973.7-1.9
13 Gigantes73443%78.982.4-3.6
14 Marinos62433%82.290.0-7.8
15 Frontinos72529%77.087.3-10.3
16 Diablos61517%72.086.3-14.3
17 Spartans71614%67.674.3-6.7
18 Llaneros71614%72.781.1-8.4
19 Toros de Aragua71614%70.479.4-9.0
20 Cangrejeros71614%76.386.0-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brillantes2713202484
Toros de Aragua1610251364
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.