Brisbane Bullets vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 106-101 (OT)

27-20 20-18 26-32 18-21 15-10

Position#9

Record6-17

FormLLLLW

Points / game83.6

Allowed / game93.0

Brisbane Bullets 🏆

Adelaide

Position#8

Record11-12

FormLWLLL

Points / game88.6

Allowed / game90.3

NBL

Other2022-23

Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane Bullets Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns Taipans

76-85

-9

A14/12

NBL

Adelaide

77-108

108

-31

A17/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

77-104

104

-27

H21/12

NBL

Perth

97-93 OT

H27/12

NBL

Adelaide

84-87

-3

A29/12

NBL

Melbourne United

86-99

-13

H01/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

81-107

107

-26

H05/01

NBL

Sydney

67-116

116

-49

H11/01

NBL

Melbourne United

91-101

101

-10

H14/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

84-79

A16/01

NBL

18-21

12-19

22-20

24-25

12-28

23-26

22-32

20-22

22-20

25-36

14-23

16-25

16-19

25-21

27-18

19-29

27-29

24-25

15-8

18-25

20-22

23-21

21-29

22-27

18-24

19-31

22-30

22-22

21-24

19-35

15-29

12-28

20-34

17-20

28-22

26-25

18-24

30-17

13-22

23-16

179.9Avg total

82.0Scored

97.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	83.6	93.0	176.7	-9.4	26%
Season at home (11)	85.6	97.0	182.6	-11.4	27%
Season away (12)	81.8	89.4	171.2	-7.7	25%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	97.9	179.9	-15.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	100.4	182.2	-18.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	82.5	96.1	178.6	-13.5	17%
vs Similar (6)	88.8	81.5	170.3	+7.3	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

84-102

102

-18

A11/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

108-77

108

+31

H17/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

93-82

+11

H19/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

94-88

H24/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

87-84

H29/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

83-86

-3

A31/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

103-95

103

H06/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

83-85

-2

H08/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

82-98

-16

A12/01

NBL

Perth

97-112

112

-15

A14/01

NBL

18-27

25-29

17-22

24-24

28-12

26-23

32-22

22-20

29-22

12-22

25-22

27-16

26-32

23-15

23-22

22-19

29-27

25-24

8-15

25-18

20-18

20-23

24-13

19-32

23-19

27-28

25-28

28-20

15-19

23-26

25-23

20-17

17-23

19-23

25-23

21-29

17-32

29-35

17-25

34-20

182.3Avg total

91.4Scored

90.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	88.6	90.3	178.9	-1.7	48%
Season at home (12)	88.1	87.8	175.9	+0.2	58%
Season away (11)	89.1	93.0	182.1	-3.9	36%
Last 10 (10)	91.4	90.9	182.3	+0.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	95.2	184.8	-5.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	81.6	85.5	167.1	-3.9	40%
vs Similar (14)	89.5	94.4	183.9	-4.9	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	96.2	79.3	175.5	+16.8	100%

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Brisbane BulletsAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.9	44.1	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	23.4	44.6	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	24.5	43.7	-5.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	25.6	45.0	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.4	23.5	43.9	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.2	20.7	44.8	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.3	44.3	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	22.6	44.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	22.0	44.4	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.1	45.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.8	25.4	47.2	-3.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	25.3	18.2	43.5	+7.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	23.6	45.3	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	25.2	47.3	-3.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	22.2	43.6	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	25.1	46.8	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	24.8	46.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	21.7	24.5	46.2	-2.8	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	23.1	45.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	22.6	44.8	-0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	23.6	46.2	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	24.8	47.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	27.0	50.6	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.2	23.3	43.5	-3.1	10%	-
vs Similar (14)	23.4	23.3	46.7	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	23.7	22.5	46.2	+1.2	67%	-

Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns Taipans

30-40

-10

A14/12

NBL

Adelaide

35-54

-19

A17/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

47-56

-9

H21/12

NBL

Perth

41-40

H27/12

NBL

Adelaide

51-54

-3

A29/12

NBL

Melbourne United

43-43

H01/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

37-55

-18

H05/01

NBL

Sydney

40-59

-19

H11/01

NBL

Melbourne United

37-54

-17

H14/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

48-41

A16/01

NBL

90.5Avg total

40.9Scored

49.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	46.6	89.4	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	48.6	91.9	-5.2	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.3	44.8	87.1	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	49.6	90.5	-8.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	50.4	91.4	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	42.1	48.0	90.1	-5.9	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	45.7	40.8	86.5	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

43-56

-13

A11/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

54-35

+19

H17/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

41-44

-3

H19/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

49-47

H24/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

54-51

H29/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

40-41

-1

A31/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

50-47

H06/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

38-45

-7

H08/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

36-46

-10

A12/01

NBL

Perth

46-67

-21

A14/01

NBL

93.0Avg total

45.1Scored

47.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	45.4	89.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	45.3	88.9	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.1	45.6	90.6	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	47.9	93.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	49.2	91.2	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.5	43.7	84.2	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	45.2	48.7	93.9	-3.5	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	49.0	40.7	89.7	+8.3	100%	-

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	23.3	43.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	26.4	46.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.7	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	18.8	36.2	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.9	40.2	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.5	43.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.4	45.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	79%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	24.4	45.3	-3.5	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	24.7	45.2	-4.2	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	24.1	45.4	-2.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	24.4	44.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.6	44.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.7	25.0	44.7	-5.4	8%	-
vs Similar (6)	25.8	21.8	47.7	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.7	45.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.3	21.8	46.1	+2.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	23.5	45.8	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	21.5	45.7	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	23.6	48.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.8	25.3	48.1	-2.5	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	27.8	19.7	47.5	+8.2	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	45.9	85.8	-6.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	47.2	87.4	-7.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.7	44.7	84.4	-5.0	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	47.7	87.8	-7.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	50.0	90.8	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	39.1	47.2	86.2	-8.1	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.2	40.7	83.8	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	42.6	86.1	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	42.6	86.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.7	42.5	86.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	43.0	89.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	46.0	93.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.1	41.8	82.9	-0.7	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	43.8	44.8	88.6	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	47.2	38.7	85.8	+8.5	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brisbane Bullets wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
29/12/22	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	87-84
17/12/22	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	108-77
11/04/22	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	85-93
03/04/22	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	92-91
11/02/22	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	77-73
01/05/21	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	101-79
11/03/21	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	109-104
15/02/21	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	74-93
13/02/21	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	70-85
25/01/20	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	99-108

Brisbane Bulletslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/23	A	South East Melbourne	84-79
14/01/23	H	Melbourne United	91-101
11/01/23	H	Sydney	67-116
05/01/23	H	Cairns Taipans	81-107
01/01/23	H	Melbourne United	86-99
29/12/22	A	Adelaide	84-87
27/12/22	H	Perth	97-93 OT
21/12/22	H	South East Melbourne	77-104
17/12/22	A	Adelaide	77-108
14/12/22	A	Cairns Taipans	76-85

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/01/23	A	Perth	97-112
12/01/23	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	82-98
08/01/23	H	New Zealand Breakers	83-85
06/01/23	H	Illawarra Hawks	103-95
31/12/22	A	Cairns Taipans	83-86
29/12/22	H	Brisbane Bullets	87-84
24/12/22	H	South East Melbourne	94-88
19/12/22	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	93-82
17/12/22	H	Brisbane Bullets	108-77
11/12/22	A	South East Melbourne	84-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	26%
Home	WLLLL	27%
Away	LLLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	26%	27%	25%
Points / game	83.6	85.6	81.8
Allowed / game	93.0	97.0	89.4
Point differential	-9.4	-11.4	-7.7
Avg total	176.7	182.6	171.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	18%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	100% (1)	40% (5)
Overtime %	13%	18%	8%

Adelaide

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	48%
Home	WWWWL	58%
Away	LLLLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	48%	58%	36%
Points / game	88.6	88.1	89.1
Allowed / game	90.3	87.8	93.0
Point differential	-1.7	+0.2	-3.9
Avg total	178.9	175.9	182.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	25%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	50% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	22	17	5	77%	95.1	85.0	+10.1
2	Cairns Taipans	23	16	7	70%	88.0	84.7	+3.3
3	New Zealand Breakers	23	13	10	57%	86.1	80.7	+5.3
4	Perth	22	12	10	55%	91.4	90.7	+0.7
5	Tasmania JackJumpers	24	13	11	54%	84.8	82.5	+2.2
6	South East Melbourne	25	13	12	52%	90.0	89.2	+0.8
7	Melbourne United	25	13	12	52%	86.0	86.0	+0.0
8	Adelaide	23	11	12	48%	88.6	90.3	-1.7
9	Brisbane Bullets	23	6	17	26%	83.6	93.0	-9.4
10	Illawarra Hawks	24	3	21	12%	81.0	91.6	-10.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Brisbane Bullets	27	20	26	18	15	106
Adelaide	20	18	32	21	10	101

← all games of the day

Brisbane Bullets vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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