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Brisbane Bullets vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 86-97
20-15 25-23 20-30 21-29
Position#10
Record6-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game95.3
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
vs
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
Position#3
Record18-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game85.4
AustraliaNBLRound 15· Brisbane Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide
06 Feb 2027
BRIS v ADEL
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
BRIS v ADEL
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
BRIS74
ADEL107
04 Jan 2026
BRIS86
ADEL97
06 Dec 2024
BRIS102
ADEL83
09 Feb 2024
BRIS102
ADEL84
29 Sep 2023
BRIS86
ADEL71
19 Jan 2023
BRIS106
ADEL101
03 Apr 2022
BRIS92
ADEL91
12 Mar 2022
BRIS v ADEL
upcoming
11 Feb 2022
BRIS77
ADEL73
11 Mar 2021
BRIS109
ADEL104
13 Feb 2021
BRIS70
ADEL85
22 Nov 2019
BRIS106
ADEL104
15 Dec 2018
BRIS91
ADEL101
01 Nov 2018
BRIS108
ADEL98
27 Jan 2018
BRIS95
ADEL90
07 Jan 2018
BRIS84
ADEL95
24 Nov 2016
BRIS83
ADEL101
16 Oct 2016
BRIS93
ADEL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
93-99
93
99
-6
79avg 75
A15/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-103
76
103
-27
76avg 75
H20/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
65-90
65
90
-25
50avg 75
A05/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
85-100
85
100
-15
71avg 75
A11/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
62-86
62
86
-24
45avg 75
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
78-107
78
107
-29
65avg 75
A20/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-85
99
85
+14
99avg 75
H22/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
80avg 75
H27/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
70-95
70
95
-25
62avg 75
A30/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
75-95
75
95
-20
68avg 75
H01/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
14-23
16-25
39-27
19-27
21-29
21-18
15-29
20-23
13-27
12-27
20-13
33-23
17-26
18-22
17-29
13-22
21-27
15-16
13-21
17-22
21-33
12-25
28-27
26-20
30-21
23-22
20-22
26-28
19-31
26-21
16-12
15-24
15-27
19-26
21-18
16-25
28-15
11-31
20-24
174.2Avg total
79.0Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.995.3180.2-10.426%
Season at home (11)84.596.6181.1-12.218%
Season away (12)85.294.1179.3-8.833%
Last 10 (10)79.095.2174.2-16.210%
Last 5 (5)81.894.8176.6-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)84.098.8182.9-14.821%
vs Similar (6)91.392.5183.8-1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
97-85
97
85
+12
87avg 88
H19/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
94-81
94
81
+13
92avg 88
A22/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
90-65
90
65
+25
92avg 88
H05/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
95-94
95
94
+1
94avg 88
A07/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
114-105 OT
114
105
+9
110avg 88
H12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
86avg 88
A17/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
81avg 88
A20/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
93-73
93
73
+20
87avg 88
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
95-84
95
84
+11
92avg 88
H28/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 88
H02/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
23-27
27-15
26-21
19-23
18-20
30-21
27-17
23-20
27-13
27-12
13-20
22-25
18-25
20-28
35-16
27-22
32-26
22-19
14-28
29-23
27-20
9-23
20-19
21-21
20-18
19-20
24-19
23-21
27-21
23-19
20-12
20-29
26-20
29-9
20-26
19-26
16-15
21-18
29-20
178.1Avg total
94.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)92.585.4177.9+7.182%
Season at home (13)92.985.9178.8+7.085%
Season away (9)91.984.6176.4+7.378%
Last 10 (10)94.084.1178.1+9.990%
Last 5 (5)90.082.2172.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)91.791.7183.4+0.050%
vs Similar (10)93.288.2181.4+5.070%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)94.681.0175.6+13.6100%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
Brisbane BulletsAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A15/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H20/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A05/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A11/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A20/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H22/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H27/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A30/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H01/01
NBL
90.5Avg total
40.8Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.151.494.5-8.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.253.496.6-10.229%-
Last 30 away (16)43.049.692.6-6.631%-
Last 10 (10)40.849.790.5-8.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.649.291.8-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)42.252.394.5-10.029%-
vs Similar (6)46.547.894.3-1.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H19/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H05/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A07/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A17/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A20/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H28/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H02/01
NBL
89.5Avg total
45.8Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.642.990.5+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.542.990.5+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)47.742.990.5+4.860%-
Last 10 (10)45.843.789.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.888.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)46.644.090.6+2.650%-
vs Similar (10)47.543.591.0+4.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.741.289.9+7.580%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.4
48.1%
54.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.9
29.0%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.813.7
72.9%
74.8%13.7
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.624.5
51.5%
54.6%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.6
39.0%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.015.9
79.5%
74.8%15.9
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
LLLWLLLLLL
Adelaide
WWWWLWWWWW
#10
League position
#3
-20.3
Net rating
+13.4
96.0
Offensive rating
118.8
116.2
Defensive rating
105.3
46.3%
Effective FG%
53.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
20.2%
Turnover %
11.7%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.0%
3-point %
39.0%
61.1%
Assist %
66.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 118.8Defence116.2 · 105.3Shooting46.3% · 53.9%3-point %29.0% · 39.0%Ball care20.2% · 11.7%Off. rebounds30.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brisbane Bullets wins
4
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
05/12/25Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets90-65
28/09/25Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets87-80
31/01/25Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets89-92
24/12/24Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets90-111
06/12/24Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide102-83
09/02/24Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide102-84
24/12/23Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets95-88
29/09/23Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide86-71
19/01/23Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide106-101 OT
29/12/22Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets87-84
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26HPerth75-95
30/12/25ASydney70-95
27/12/25HMelbourne United87-92
22/12/25HNew Zealand Breakers99-85
20/12/25ASouth East Melbourne78-107
14/12/25HPerth62-86
11/12/25AIllawarra Hawks85-100
05/12/25AAdelaide65-90
20/11/25HSouth East Melbourne76-103
15/11/25AMelbourne United93-99
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26HSydney85-79
28/12/25HPerth95-84
24/12/25HCairns Taipans93-73
20/12/25AIllawarra Hawks84-78
17/12/25ASydney93-97 OT
12/12/25HMelbourne United114-105 OT
07/12/25APerth95-94
05/12/25HBrisbane Bullets90-65
22/11/25ASouth East Melbourne94-81
19/11/25HIllawarra Hawks97-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL26%
HomeLLWLL18%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %26%18%33%
Points / game84.984.585.2
Allowed / game95.396.694.1
Point differential-10.4-12.2-8.8
Avg total180.2181.1179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %82%85%78%
Points / game92.592.991.9
Allowed / game85.485.984.6
Point differential+7.1+7.0+7.3
Avg total177.9178.8176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %14%15%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2218482%92.585.4+7.1
2 South East Melbourne2114767%96.588.3+8.2
3 Melbourne United2315865%93.888.7+5.2
4 Sydney2113862%93.985.0+8.9
5 Perth23131057%89.186.3+2.7
6 Tasmania JackJumpers24111346%85.885.4+0.4
7 Illawarra Hawks2181338%89.095.6-6.6
8 New Zealand Breakers2281436%88.689.4-0.8
9 Brisbane Bullets2361726%84.995.3-10.4
10 Cairns Taipans2251723%82.096.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets2025202186
Adelaide1523302997
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