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Brisbane Capitals vs Ipswich Force Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 125-130 (OT)
28-34 37-23 32-29 18-29 10-15
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game93.1
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Brisbane Capitals v Ipswich Force
05 Jul 2025
BRIS125
IPSW130
08 Jul 2023
BRIS103
IPSW105
04 Jul 2021
BRIS87
IPSW90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Capitals winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ipswich Force winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A03/08
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A03/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A10/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A16/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
111-75
111
75
+36
A17/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
115-85
115
85
+30
A24/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
114-107
114
107
+7
H31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H08/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
92-103
92
103
-11
H20/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
114-79
114
79
+35
H28/06
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
18-22
22-31
22-27
18-20
17-30
14-19
15-14
21-13
19-25
26-19
23-26
9-22
23-15
31-19
19-15
22-16
28-19
30-16
31-24
35-18
25-20
24-27
31-20
32-32
21-24
34-30
27-21
25-27
23-19
24-14
27-30
33-17
28-30
14-30
17-26
20-15
34-20
31-21
29-23
183.8Avg total
96.0Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)97.886.2184.0+11.678%
Season at home (4)104.894.8199.5+10.075%
Season away (5)92.279.4171.6+12.880%
Last 10 (10)96.087.8183.8+8.270%
Last 5 (5)106.892.8199.6+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.288.4172.6-4.240%
vs Similar (9)94.085.4179.4+8.678%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)94.485.6179.9+8.869%
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich ForceAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A01/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H10/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H17/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H24/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A30/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
116-127 OT
116
127
-11
A31/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A07/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H14/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
98-86
98
86
+12
A27/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A28/06
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
20-28
28-16
15-29
19-18
24-16
20-18
13-21
20-18
29-30
23-19
21-19
28-26
24-25
6-22
24-7
17-22
32-16
16-26
18-33
28-25
24-21
25-32
27-26
14-22
29-20
25-33
28-16
26-25
20-19
22-27
19-19
28-26
25-17
18-21
27-22
22-37
16-23
30-14
19-29
183.7Avg total
90.6Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.693.1183.7-2.550%
Season at home (4)84.582.2166.8+2.275%
Season away (6)94.7100.3195.0-5.733%
Last 10 (10)90.693.1183.7-2.550%
Last 5 (5)96.899.4196.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)89.195.4184.4-6.336%
vs Similar (14)93.195.9188.9-2.836%
vs Weaker (2)85.581.5167.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
Brisbane CapitalsIpswich Force
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A03/08
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A03/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A10/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A16/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A17/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
60-38
60
38
+22
A24/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H20/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H28/06
NBL1 North
89.5Avg total
46.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.042.788.8+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.742.592.2+7.277%-
Last 30 away (17)43.242.986.2+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)46.942.689.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)55.244.499.6+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.446.892.2-1.440%-
vs Similar (9)45.640.886.3+4.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.542.689.1+3.962%-
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A01/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H17/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H24/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A30/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A31/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H14/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A27/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A28/06
NBL1 North
92.9Avg total
47.0Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.748.194.8-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.747.195.8+1.675%-
Last 30 away (18)45.448.794.2-3.339%-
Last 10 (10)47.045.992.9+1.180%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.093.4-0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)47.848.896.6-1.043%-
vs Similar (14)46.448.094.4-1.664%-
vs Weaker (2)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brisbane Capitals wins
3
Ipswich Force wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25HSunshine Coast Phoenix114-79
20/06/25HMackay Meteors92-103
08/06/25HRockhampton Rockets99-90
31/05/25HSouthern District114-107
24/05/25ASouth West Metro Pirates115-85
17/05/25ACairns Marlins111-75
16/05/25ATownsville Heat82-71
10/05/25ASouthern District89-83
03/05/25ANorthside Wizards64-83
03/08/24AMackay Meteors80-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25ARockhampton Rockets87-103
27/06/25AMackay Meteors98-86
14/06/25HLogan Thunder87-90
07/06/25ASouth West Metro Pirates96-91
31/05/25ALogan Thunder116-127 OT
30/05/25ANorthside Wizards83-97
24/05/25HTownsville Heat82-80
17/05/25HSouth West Metro Pirates93-86
10/05/25HSunshine Coast Phoenix76-73
01/05/25AGold Coast Rollers88-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game97.8104.892.2
Allowed / game86.294.879.4
Point differential+11.6+10.0+12.8
Avg total184.0199.5171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%25%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ipswich Force
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game90.684.594.7
Allowed / game93.182.2100.3
Point differential-2.5+2.2-5.7
Avg total183.7166.8195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brisbane Capitals97278%97.886.2+11.6
2 Sunshine Coast Phoenix107370%91.484.9+6.5
3 Mackay Meteors117464%97.094.6+2.4
4 Logan Thunder95456%97.192.8+4.3
5 Northside Wizards116555%87.586.6+0.9
6 Gold Coast Rollers105550%97.694.9+2.7
7 Ipswich Force105550%90.693.1-2.5
8 Southern District115645%92.696.7-4.1
9 Rockhampton Rockets104640%93.495.7-2.3
10 South West Metro Pirates104640%90.293.9-3.7
11 Townsville Heat124833%87.488.2-0.8
12 Cairns Marlins92722%86.3100.9-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Brisbane Capitals2837321810125
Ipswich Force3423292915130
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