Brisbane Capitals vs Southern District Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 May 2025

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 114-107

32-32 21-24 34-30 27-21

Position#4

Record4-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game92.2

Allowed / game79.4

Brisbane Capitals 🏆

Southern District

Position#1

Record2-2

FormLWLLW

Points / game89.0

Allowed / game93.0

NBL1 North

Other2025

Meetings · Brisbane Capitals v Southern District

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Capitals winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Southern District winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane Capitals Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Northside Wizards

#13

91-72

+19

H12/07

NBL1 North

Rockhampton Rockets

98-81

+17

H20/07

NBL1 North

Darwin Salties

103-76

103

+27

A27/07

NBL1 North

Mackay Meteors

79-91

-12

A02/08

NBL1 North

Mackay Meteors

80-102

102

-22

A03/08

NBL1 North

Northside Wizards

64-83

-19

A03/05

NBL1 North

Southern District

89-83

A10/05

NBL1 North

Townsville Heat

#11

82-71

+11

A16/05

NBL1 North

Cairns Marlins

#12

111-75

111

+36

A17/05

NBL1 North

South West Metro Pirates

115-85

115

+30

A24/05

NBL1 North

25-22

24-19

24-14

18-17

27-21

27-19

24-17

20-24

27-23

29-26

22-12

25-15

19-30

28-19

15-19

17-23

18-22

22-31

22-27

18-20

17-30

14-19

15-14

21-13

19-25

26-19

23-26

9-22

23-15

31-19

19-15

22-16

28-19

30-16

31-24

35-18

25-20

24-27

31-20

173.1Avg total

91.2Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	92.2	79.4	171.6	+12.8	80%
Season at home	no games
Season away (5)	92.2	79.4	171.6	+12.8	80%
Last 10 (10)	91.2	81.9	173.1	+9.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	92.2	79.4	171.6	+12.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	87.3	91.2	178.5	-3.8	33%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	88.2	86.8	175.0	+1.4	60%
vs Weaker (14)	94.2	84.0	178.2	+10.2	71%

This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern District Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville Heat

#11

99-89

+10

H28/06

NBL1 North

Brisbane Capitals

83-78

H05/07

NBL1 North

Rockhampton Rockets

97-105

105

-8

A12/07

NBL1 North

Mackay Meteors

85-112

112

-27

A13/07

NBL1 North

Logan Thunder

93-69

+24

A20/07

NBL1 North

Mackay Meteors

90-100

100

-10

A27/07

NBL1 North

Logan Thunder

#10

110-109

110

109

A02/05

NBL1 North

Sunshine Coast Phoenix

80-95

-15

A03/05

NBL1 North

Brisbane Capitals

83-89

-6

H10/05

NBL1 North

Northside Wizards

83-79

H17/05

NBL1 North

18-26

26-22

29-17

26-24

26-19

19-13

17-25

21-21

27-21

22-25

26-27

22-32

32-32

17-24

20-33

16-23

32-19

14-14

21-27

26-9

23-23

24-29

22-20

21-28

27-29

22-27

32-27

29-26

9-30

27-17

23-24

21-24

13-21

25-19

19-26

26-23

15-30

24-17

21-17

23-15

182.8Avg total

90.3Scored

92.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	89.0	93.0	182.0	-4.0	50%
Season at home (2)	83.0	84.0	167.0	-1.0	50%
Season away (2)	95.0	102.0	197.0	-7.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	90.3	92.5	182.8	-2.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	94.4	183.6	-5.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	85.6	100.8	186.4	-15.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	90.3	86.5	176.8	+3.8	62%
vs Weaker (12)	93.1	83.9	177.0	+9.2	75%

This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Brisbane CapitalsSouthern District

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	23.5	20.3	43.8	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (19)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.7	42.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.2	26.0	48.2	-3.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.6	70%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.1	18.9	40.9	+3.2	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	23.0	45.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	23.1	44.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.8	22.9	46.7	+0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	25.0	47.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	26.6	44.0	-9.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.0	26.4	50.4	-2.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.8	22.7	43.5	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.4	21.8	45.2	+1.6	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.7	44.5	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	23.4	21.8	45.2	+1.5	55%	-
Last 30 away (19)	22.5	21.6	44.1	+0.9	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	21.4	45.2	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.8	20.8	43.7	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.2	20.1	42.3	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.3	23.1	46.4	+0.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	20.3	43.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	19.1	42.5	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	21.4	44.7	+1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.7	42.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.8	46.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.5	19.2	41.8	+3.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (12)	24.2	20.8	45.0	+3.5	67%	-

Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Northside Wizards

#13

49-41

H12/07

NBL1 North

Rockhampton Rockets

54-40

+14

H20/07

NBL1 North

Darwin Salties

56-49

A27/07

NBL1 North

Mackay Meteors

47-49

-2

A02/08

NBL1 North

Mackay Meteors

36-44

-8

A03/08

NBL1 North

Northside Wizards

35-50

-15

A03/05

NBL1 North

Southern District

40-38

A10/05

NBL1 North

Townsville Heat

#11

32-37

-5

A16/05

NBL1 North

Cairns Marlins

#12

50-35

+15

A17/05

NBL1 North

South West Metro Pirates

60-38

+22

A24/05

NBL1 North

88.0Avg total

45.9Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	42.6	87.4	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	46.9	42.1	89.0	+4.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (19)	43.5	42.9	86.4	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	42.1	88.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	39.6	83.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	45.0	46.8	91.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	43.7	41.0	84.7	+2.7	70%	-
vs Weaker (14)	45.4	42.0	87.4	+3.4	57%	-

This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern DistrictLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville Heat

#11

44-48

-4

H28/06

NBL1 North

Brisbane Capitals

45-32

+13

H05/07

NBL1 North

Rockhampton Rockets

49-46

A12/07

NBL1 North

Mackay Meteors

49-56

-7

A13/07

NBL1 North

Logan Thunder

46-33

+13

A20/07

NBL1 North

Mackay Meteors

47-52

-5

A27/07

NBL1 North

Logan Thunder

#10

49-56

-7

A02/05

NBL1 North

Sunshine Coast Phoenix

36-47

-11

A03/05

NBL1 North

Brisbane Capitals

38-40

-2

H10/05

NBL1 North

Northside Wizards

39-47

-8

H17/05

NBL1 North

89.9Avg total

44.2Scored

45.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	43.2	88.9	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	42.2	86.5	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.1	44.3	91.3	+2.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	45.7	89.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	48.4	90.2	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	47.0	48.2	95.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	43.4	41.9	85.3	+1.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (12)	47.7	42.6	90.2	+5.1	50%	-

This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.5	43.4	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	25.5	20.5	46.1	+5.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (19)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.3	42.5	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	20.0	45.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.7	21.8	44.5	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	24.4	19.9	44.3	+4.4	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	23.9	47.4	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	24.3	47.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.8	46.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	25.0	43.4	-6.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.9	24.2	46.1	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.3	20.5	42.8	+1.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.8	23.6	46.5	-0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (19)	21.5	21.4	42.8	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.8	43.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.0	22.9	43.9	-1.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.3	21.8	45.1	+1.5	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	19.1	42.1	+3.8	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	23.6	46.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.5	45.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.2	47.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	27.6	47.8	-7.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	25.0	20.4	45.4	+4.6	77%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.8	42.7	87.6	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	48.4	44.2	92.5	+4.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (19)	42.8	41.9	84.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	39.8	85.1	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	39.8	88.6	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.2	41.8	82.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	43.7	44.7	88.4	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	47.6	41.7	89.4	+5.9	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	44.2	88.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	40.9	83.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.6	47.5	94.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	46.8	92.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	46.0	93.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.6	52.6	91.2	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	46.9	44.5	91.5	+2.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (12)	44.3	40.3	84.7	+4.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brisbane Capitals wins

Southern District wins

Date	Game	Score
10/05/25	Southern District v Brisbane Capitals	83-89
05/07/24	Southern District v Brisbane Capitals	83-78
08/06/24	Brisbane Capitals v Southern District	103-90
05/05/24	Southern District v Brisbane Capitals	69-74
07/07/23	Southern District v Brisbane Capitals	101-94
14/05/23	Brisbane Capitals v Southern District	90-96
18/06/22	Brisbane Capitals v Southern District	102-77
05/06/22	Southern District v Brisbane Capitals	86-110
22/05/21	Brisbane Capitals v Southern District	86-70

Brisbane Capitalslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/05/25	A	South West Metro Pirates	115-85
17/05/25	A	Cairns Marlins	111-75
16/05/25	A	Townsville Heat	82-71
10/05/25	A	Southern District	89-83
03/05/25	A	Northside Wizards	64-83
03/08/24	A	Mackay Meteors	80-102
02/08/24	A	Mackay Meteors	79-91
27/07/24	A	Darwin Salties	103-76
20/07/24	H	Rockhampton Rockets	98-81
12/07/24	H	Northside Wizards	91-72

Southern Districtlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/05/25	H	Northside Wizards	83-79
10/05/25	H	Brisbane Capitals	83-89
03/05/25	A	Sunshine Coast Phoenix	80-95
02/05/25	A	Logan Thunder	110-109
27/07/24	A	Mackay Meteors	90-100
20/07/24	A	Logan Thunder	93-69
13/07/24	A	Mackay Meteors	85-112
12/07/24	A	Rockhampton Rockets	97-105
05/07/24	H	Brisbane Capitals	83-78
28/06/24	H	Townsville Heat	99-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Capitals

NBL1 North 2025

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	80%
Home	-	-
Away	LWWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	-	5
Win %	80%	-	80%
Points / game	92.2	-	92.2
Allowed / game	79.4	-	79.4
Point differential	+12.8	-	+12.8
Avg total	171.6	-	171.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	-	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Southern District

NBL1 North 2025

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLW	50%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	89.0	83.0	95.0
Allowed / game	93.0	84.0	102.0
Point differential	-4.0	-1.0	-7.0
Avg total	182.0	167.0	197.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brisbane Capitals	5	4	1	80%	92.2	79.4	+12.8
2	Sunshine Coast Phoenix	4	3	1	75%	95.5	83.0	+12.5
3	Mackay Meteors	5	3	2	60%	98.8	96.6	+2.2
4	Ipswich Force	5	3	2	60%	84.4	86.8	-2.4
5	Townsville Heat	6	3	3	50%	89.5	83.5	+6.0
6	Northside Wizards	6	3	3	50%	88.0	85.8	+2.2
7	Rockhampton Rockets	4	2	2	50%	89.5	91.8	-2.2
8	Southern District	4	2	2	50%	89.0	93.0	-4.0
9	Gold Coast Rollers	5	2	3	40%	94.4	97.2	-2.8
10	Cairns Marlins	5	2	3	40%	86.0	103.0	-17.0
11	South West Metro Pirates	4	1	3	25%	87.2	97.8	-10.5
12	Logan Thunder	5	1	4	20%	90.8	90.0	+0.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brisbane Capitals	32	21	34	27	114
Southern District	32	24	30	21	107

← all games of the day

Brisbane Capitals vs Southern District Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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