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Southern District vs Brisbane Capitals Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 83-89
13-21 25-19 19-26 26-23
Position#1
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Position#4
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game83.0
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Southern District v Brisbane Capitals
10 May 2025
SOUT83
BRIS89
05 Jul 2024
SOUT83
BRIS78
05 May 2024
SOUT69
BRIS74
07 Jul 2023
SOUT101
BRIS94
05 Jun 2022
SOUT86
BRIS110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern District winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Capitals winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern DistrictAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darwin Salties
#2
L
92-106
92
106
-14
H15/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
W
114-113 OT
114
113
+1
A22/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
99-89
99
89
+10
H28/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H05/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
L
97-105
97
105
-8
A12/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
85-112
85
112
-27
A13/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
93-69
93
69
+24
A20/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A27/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
110-109
110
109
+1
A02/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A03/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
25-26
10-30
29-28
30-30
22-19
31-25
18-27
18-26
26-22
29-17
26-24
26-19
19-13
17-25
21-21
27-21
22-25
26-27
22-32
32-32
17-24
20-33
16-23
32-19
14-14
21-27
26-9
23-23
24-29
22-20
21-28
27-29
22-27
32-27
29-26
9-30
27-17
23-24
21-24
191.9Avg total
94.3Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.0102.0197.0-7.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)95.0102.0197.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)94.397.6191.9-3.350%
Last 5 (5)91.697.0188.6-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.6100.8186.4-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (13)90.989.7180.6+1.254%
vs Weaker (12)93.183.9177.0+9.275%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Logan Thunder
#3
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
H22/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
106-79
106
79
+27
H29/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A05/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
W
105-98
105
98
+7
H06/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H12/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H20/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
103-76
103
76
+27
A27/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A02/08
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A03/08
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A03/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
20-20
17-23
19-16
22-10
26-24
32-18
26-27
19-26
13-19
25-17
21-21
29-23
20-33
25-19
31-23
25-22
24-19
24-14
18-17
27-21
27-19
24-17
20-24
27-23
29-26
22-12
25-15
19-30
28-19
15-19
17-23
18-22
18-22
22-31
22-27
18-20
17-30
14-19
15-14
173.8Avg total
88.7Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.083.0147.0-19.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)64.083.0147.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)88.785.1173.8+3.650%
Last 5 (5)84.886.6171.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.394.4182.7-6.129%
vs Similar ◀ (10)89.387.7177.0+1.660%
vs Weaker (13)93.985.5179.5+8.469%
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
Southern DistrictBrisbane Capitals
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southern DistrictLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darwin Salties
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H15/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A22/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H28/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H05/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A12/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A13/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A20/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A27/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A02/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A03/05
NBL1 North
93.7Avg total
47.0Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.843.088.8+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.242.087.2+3.254%-
Last 30 away (17)46.243.889.9+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)47.046.793.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.448.894.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)47.048.295.2-1.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.541.484.9+2.254%-
vs Weaker (12)47.742.690.2+5.150%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Logan Thunder
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A05/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H06/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H12/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H20/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A27/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A02/08
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A03/08
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A03/05
NBL1 North
88.9Avg total
44.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.444.289.5+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.142.090.1+6.169%-
Last 30 away (17)43.345.889.1-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)44.544.488.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.646.492.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.948.693.4-3.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.542.486.9+2.160%-
vs Weaker (13)46.343.289.5+3.262%-
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ASunshine Coast Phoenix80-95
02/05/25ALogan Thunder110-109
27/07/24AMackay Meteors90-100
20/07/24ALogan Thunder93-69
13/07/24AMackay Meteors85-112
12/07/24ARockhampton Rockets97-105
05/07/24HBrisbane Capitals83-78
28/06/24HTownsville Heat99-89
22/06/24AGold Coast Rollers114-113 OT
15/06/24HDarwin Salties92-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ANorthside Wizards64-83
03/08/24AMackay Meteors80-102
02/08/24AMackay Meteors79-91
27/07/24ADarwin Salties103-76
20/07/24HRockhampton Rockets98-81
12/07/24HNorthside Wizards91-72
06/07/24HGold Coast Rollers105-98
05/07/24ASouthern District78-83
29/06/24HTownsville Heat106-79
22/06/24HLogan Thunder83-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern District
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game95.0-95.0
Allowed / game102.0-102.0
Point differential-7.0--7.0
Avg total197.0-197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game64.0-64.0
Allowed / game83.0-83.0
Point differential-19.0--19.0
Avg total147.0-147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville Heat220100%100.075.5+24.5
2 Mackay Meteors110100%99.079.0+20.0
3 Logan Thunder21150%99.593.5+6.0
4 Sunshine Coast Phoenix21150%84.078.0+6.0
5 Northside Wizards21150%88.082.5+5.5
6 Gold Coast Rollers21150%98.594.5+4.0
7 South West Metro Pirates21150%89.091.5-2.5
8 Ipswich Force21150%82.085.5-3.5
9 Southern District21150%95.0102.0-7.0
10 Cairns Marlins21150%92.5105.0-12.5
11 Brisbane Capitals1010%64.083.0-19.0
12 Rockhampton Rockets2020%73.094.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southern District1325192683
Brisbane Capitals2119262389
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