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Bristol Flyers vs Surrey Scorchers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-80
23-20 19-29 8-16 24-15
Position#7
Record11-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#8
Record11-16
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game85.0
United KingdomSLB· SGS WISE Arena (Bristol)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bristol Flyers v Surrey Scorchers
02 Mar 2024
BRIS74
SURR80
11 Feb 2024
BRIS81
SURR94
21 Apr 2023
BRIS87
SURR70
13 Jan 2023
BRIS72
SURR78
09 Dec 2022
BRIS78
SURR60
23 Apr 2022
BRIS95
SURR55
03 Dec 2021
BRIS80
SURR71
23 Oct 2021
BRIS81
SURR82
26 Feb 2021
BRIS89
SURR67
07 Nov 2020
BRIS0
SURR20
17 Apr 2020
BRIS v SURR
upcoming
16 Mar 2019
BRIS80
SURR73
09 Mar 2019
BRIS83
SURR89
23 Feb 2018
BRIS90
SURR100
25 Mar 2017
BRIS74
SURR85
18 Nov 2016
BRIS67
SURR73
01 Oct 2016
BRIS71
SURR79
19 Sep 2015
BRIS68
SURR71
13 Feb 2015
BRIS70
SURR62
21 Nov 2014
BRIS74
SURR91
16 Jan 2014
BRIS91
SURR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bristol Flyers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Surrey Scorchers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bristol FlyersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Leicester Riders
#3
L
74-95
74
95
-21
61avg 73
A05/01
SLB Trophy
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 73
H09/01
ENBL
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
67avg 73
H12/01
SLB Trophy
Manchester Giants
#10
W
105-80
105
80
+25
106avg 73
A14/01
SLB Trophy
London Lions
#2
W
94-72
94
72
+22
91avg 73
H19/01
SLB Trophy
Svendborg
#15
W
86-63
86
63
+23
73avg 73
A24/01
ENBL
Caledonia Gladiators
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
56avg 73
A04/02
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
76-78
76
78
-2
69avg 73
H10/02
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#8
L
81-94
81
94
-13
70avg 73
H11/02
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
93-101
93
101
-8
91avg 73
H17/02
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
17-30
23-19
19-19
29-19
15-26
19-22
20-20
17-23
28-21
17-24
20-16
33-17
35-25
16-27
21-11
19-22
20-19
35-12
20-19
24-14
27-17
20-12
15-20
24-18
11-22
15-19
22-19
14-15
20-18
26-20
16-25
20-19
23-22
20-31
18-22
19-30
34-23
20-30
20-18
167.8Avg total
84.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.281.2161.4-1.042%
Season at home (12)79.879.7159.5+0.250%
Season away (14)80.682.5163.1-1.936%
Last 10 (10)84.683.2167.8+1.430%
Last 5 (5)81.682.8164.4-1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.084.0161.0-7.020%
vs Similar (12)82.880.8163.6+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.179.6162.7+3.546%
This opponent (Surrey Scorchers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Surrey ScorchersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScorchers
Date
Competition
Sheffield Sharks
#9
W
91-71
91
71
+20
92avg 72
H06/01
SLB Trophy
Plymouth City Patriots
#8
W
65-63
65
63
+2
55avg 72
A13/01
SLB Trophy
Caledonia Gladiators
#7
L
74-99
74
99
-25
66avg 72
A18/01
SLB Trophy
Cheshire Phoenix
#1
L
63-105
63
105
-42
51avg 72
H20/01
SLB Trophy
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
77avg 72
H02/02
SLB
Leicester Riders
#6
L
84-104
84
104
-20
77avg 72
H03/02
SLB
Plymouth City Patriots
#10
W
94-92
94
92
+2
96avg 72
H10/02
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#7
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 72
A11/02
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
69avg 72
A15/02
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
80avg 72
H17/02
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
23-20
17-15
21-17
11-17
18-19
21-18
15-9
14-24
21-20
19-36
20-19
16-25
14-30
21-27
12-23
28-13
18-20
23-14
13-28
25-30
15-32
21-25
23-17
25-21
21-22
24-26
24-23
19-20
22-23
31-20
22-18
19-25
17-19
11-22
28-18
31-28
14-18
22-18
22-21
167.0Avg total
81.1Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.985.0166.9-3.141%
Season at home (15)81.483.5164.9-2.147%
Season away (12)82.486.8169.2-4.433%
Last 10 (10)81.185.9167.0-4.860%
Last 5 (5)87.289.2176.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.785.3164.0-6.632%
vs Similar (4)83.890.0173.8-6.225%
vs Weaker (7)87.481.3168.7+6.186%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
Bristol FlyersSurrey Scorchers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leicester Riders
#3
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A05/01
SLB Trophy
Bakken Bears
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H09/01
ENBL
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/01
SLB Trophy
Manchester Giants
#10
W
68-42
68
42
+26
A14/01
SLB Trophy
London Lions
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/01
SLB Trophy
Svendborg
#15
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A24/01
ENBL
Caledonia Gladiators
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A04/02
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H10/02
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/02
SLB
London Lions
#1
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H17/02
SLB
87.1Avg total
44.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.980.6+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.338.278.5+2.246%-
Last 30 away (17)40.941.282.2-0.341%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.787.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.682.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
vs Similar (12)39.240.479.7-1.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.938.981.8+4.062%-
This opponent (Surrey Scorchers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Surrey ScorchersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sheffield Sharks
#9
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H06/01
SLB Trophy
Plymouth City Patriots
#8
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A13/01
SLB Trophy
Caledonia Gladiators
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A18/01
SLB Trophy
Cheshire Phoenix
#1
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H20/01
SLB Trophy
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H02/02
SLB
Leicester Riders
#6
L
40-62
40
62
-22
H03/02
SLB
Plymouth City Patriots
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/02
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/02
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A15/02
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H17/02
SLB
84.6Avg total
40.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.383.7-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.941.985.8+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)38.642.881.4-4.214%-
Last 10 (10)40.144.584.6-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.647.689.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.842.882.7-3.026%-
vs Similar (4)45.047.092.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (7)43.638.381.9+5.357%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.2
48.6%
50.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.2
34.8%
34.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.8
73.8%
74.4%11.8
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Surrey Scorcherstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Surrey Scorchers: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.116.5
47.0%
50.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.6
35.3%
34.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.515.5
72.1%
74.4%15.5
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bristol Flyers
LLLLWWWLLL
Surrey Scorchers
WLWWLWLLWW
#7
League position
#8
+2.0
Net rating
-6.3
106.0
Offensive rating
101.0
104.0
Defensive rating
107.2
49.9%
Effective FG%
49.8%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.8%
3-point %
35.3%
58.9%
Assist %
77.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 101.0Defence104.0 · 107.2Shooting49.9% · 49.8%3-point %34.8% · 35.3%Ball care14.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.9% · 22.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Bristol Flyers   ■ Surrey Scorchers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HLondon Lions93-101
11/02/24HSurrey Scorchers81-94
10/02/24HCheshire Phoenix76-78
04/02/24ACaledonia Gladiators72-78
24/01/24ASvendborg86-63
19/01/24HLondon Lions94-72
14/01/24AManchester Giants105-80
12/01/24HNewcastle Eagles82-84
09/01/24HBakken Bears83-87
05/01/24ALeicester Riders74-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HManchester Giants89-85
15/02/24ACaledonia Gladiators75-84
11/02/24ABristol Flyers94-81
10/02/24HPlymouth City Patriots94-92
03/02/24HLeicester Riders84-104
02/02/24HSheffield Sharks82-75
20/01/24HCheshire Phoenix63-105
18/01/24ACaledonia Gladiators74-99
13/01/24APlymouth City Patriots65-63
06/01/24HSheffield Sharks91-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bristol Flyers
SLB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %42%50%36%
Points / game80.279.880.6
Allowed / game81.279.782.5
Point differential-1.0+0.2-1.9
Avg total161.4159.5163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%7%
Surrey Scorchers
SLB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW41%
HomeLWLWW47%
AwayWWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %41%47%33%
Points / game81.981.482.4
Allowed / game85.083.586.8
Point differential-3.1-2.1-4.4
Avg total166.9164.9169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 London Lions3027390%93.682.2+11.4
2 Cheshire Phoenix2516964%91.487.1+4.3
3 Caledonia Gladiators27161159%86.184.6+1.5
4 Newcastle Eagles25141156%89.888.0+1.9
5 Leicester Riders27151256%91.588.9+2.6
6 Sheffield Sharks26121446%79.779.3+0.5
7 Bristol Flyers26111542%80.281.2-1.0
8 Surrey Scorchers27111641%81.985.0-3.1
9 Manchester Giants2872125%82.692.4-9.8
10 Plymouth City Patriots2752219%79.688.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bristol Flyers231982474
Surrey Scorchers2029161580
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