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Svendborg vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 63-86
14-24 17-27 12-20 20-15
Position#15
Record1-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeENBL· Rise Sparekasse Arena
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bristol Flyers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
L
61-122
61
122
-61
no box
A03/12
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
79-103
79
103
-24
65avg 76
H06/12
ENBL
Horsens
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
68avg 76
A11/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
78-64
78
64
+14
no box
H14/12
Basketligaen
Juventus
#2
L
92-110
92
110
-18
80avg 76
A20/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
115-77
115
77
+38
111avg 76
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-110
77
110
-33
61avg 76
A06/01
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
41-83
41
83
-42
21avg 76
A09/01
ENBL
Vaerlose
#7
W
98-76
98
76
+22
97avg 76
H15/01
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
80avg 76
H17/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-32
24-33
15-35
13-22
22-31
20-20
12-30
25-22
14-13
27-17
14-12
26-33
23-17
18-19
14-17
23-11
24-22
20-32
25-30
23-26
25-20
26-15
35-27
29-15
33-25
8-31
23-25
13-29
12-28
18-17
5-18
6-20
25-17
23-17
31-24
19-18
22-20
21-18
19-16
21-23
170.2Avg total
80.5Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.892.0161.8-22.217%
Season at home (3)74.794.0168.7-19.333%
Season away (3)65.090.0155.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)80.589.7170.2-9.250%
Last 5 (5)82.884.6167.4-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.593.1169.6-16.631%
vs Similar (4)86.884.2171.0+2.550%
vs Weaker (9)97.972.4170.3+25.4100%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
82avg 73
A08/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
80-103
80
103
-23
68avg 73
A14/12
SLB
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
72-79
72
79
-7
60avg 73
A19/12
ENBL
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
66-76 OT
66
76
-10
no box
A22/12
SLB
Leicester Riders
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
78avg 73
A28/12
SLB
Leicester Riders
#3
L
74-95
74
95
-21
61avg 73
A05/01
SLB Trophy
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 73
H09/01
ENBL
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
67avg 73
H12/01
SLB Trophy
Manchester Giants
#10
W
105-80
105
80
+25
106avg 73
A14/01
SLB Trophy
London Lions
#2
W
94-72
94
72
+22
91avg 73
H19/01
SLB Trophy
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
26-24
17-15
26-10
19-35
18-27
16-16
27-25
13-16
15-21
21-24
23-18
11-15
20-12
11-19
20-16
17-15
16-23
31-22
23-21
15-27
17-30
23-19
19-19
29-19
15-26
19-22
20-20
17-23
28-21
17-24
20-16
33-17
35-25
16-27
21-11
19-22
20-19
35-12
20-19
166.0Avg total
83.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.576.0158.5+6.550%
Season at home (3)75.373.0148.3+2.333%
Season away (3)89.779.0168.7+10.767%
Last 10 (10)83.282.8166.0+0.440%
Last 5 (5)87.683.6171.2+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.084.8159.8-9.825%
vs Similar (13)81.880.6162.4+1.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.278.0162.2+6.254%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
SvendborgBristol Flyers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
L
33-65
33
65
-32
A03/12
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H06/12
ENBL
Horsens
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A11/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H14/12
Basketligaen
Juventus
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A20/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A06/01
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A09/01
ENBL
Vaerlose
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/01
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H17/01
ENBL
85.8Avg total
41.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.484.8-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.941.786.6+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)37.445.382.7-7.929%-
Last 10 (10)41.444.485.8-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.684.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.647.185.8-8.531%-
vs Similar (4)41.845.287.0-3.525%-
vs Weaker (9)46.436.082.4+10.489%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A08/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A14/12
SLB
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A19/12
ENBL
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A22/12
SLB
Leicester Riders
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A28/12
SLB
Leicester Riders
#3
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A05/01
SLB Trophy
Bakken Bears
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H09/01
ENBL
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/01
SLB Trophy
Manchester Giants
#10
W
68-42
68
42
+26
A14/01
SLB Trophy
London Lions
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/01
SLB Trophy
84.2Avg total
40.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.679.5+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.037.276.2+1.842%-
Last 30 away (18)40.541.381.8-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.984.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.645.891.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.540.275.8-4.80%-
vs Similar (13)39.240.279.4-0.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.938.980.8+3.062%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.8
48.4%
53.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.6
32.8%
33.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.4
73.3%
72.2%15.4
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.822.6
49.3%
53.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.7
33.2%
33.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws14.711.1
75.5%
72.2%11.1
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
WWLLWLWWLL
Bristol Flyers
WWLLLWLLLW
#15
League position
#10
-1.7
Net rating
+2.7
102.4
Offensive rating
106.5
104.1
Defensive rating
103.8
48.7%
Effective FG%
49.5%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.2%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.8%
3-point %
33.2%
47.6%
Assist %
54.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 106.5Defence104.1 · 103.8Shooting48.7% · 49.5%3-point %32.8% · 33.2%Ball care17.2% · 16.2%Off. rebounds26.7% · 33.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Svendborg   ■ Bristol Flyers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Svendborg wins
0
Bristol Flyers wins
No previous meetings.
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HSpartak Pleven83-77
15/01/24HVaerlose98-76
09/01/24ATartu Ulikool41-83
06/01/24ABakken Bears77-110
30/12/23HHolbaek-Stenhus115-77
20/12/23AJuventus92-110
14/12/23HCopenhagen78-64
11/12/23AHorsens81-75
06/12/23HBakken Bears79-103
03/12/23ABakken Bears61-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HLondon Lions94-72
14/01/24AManchester Giants105-80
12/01/24HNewcastle Eagles82-84
09/01/24HBakken Bears83-87
05/01/24ALeicester Riders74-95
28/12/23ALeicester Riders87-81
22/12/23ASheffield Sharks66-76 OT
19/12/23ATartu Ulikool72-79
14/12/23AManchester Giants80-103
08/12/23ANewcastle Eagles89-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game69.874.765.0
Allowed / game92.094.090.0
Point differential-22.2-19.3-25.0
Avg total161.8168.7155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bristol Flyers
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game82.575.389.7
Allowed / game76.073.079.0
Point differential+6.5+2.3+10.7
Avg total158.5148.3168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus660100%92.273.5+18.7
2 Voluntari65183%83.272.0+11.2
3 Bakken Bears54180%92.480.2+12.2
4 Siauliai54180%94.686.8+7.8
5 Zielona Gora54180%95.090.0+5.0
6 Liege64267%91.781.7+10.0
7 Newcastle Eagles53260%89.085.0+4.0
8 Tartu Ulikool74357%78.775.6+3.1
9 Bristol Flyers63350%82.576.0+6.5
10 Lublin63350%89.789.8-0.2
11 Keila KK62433%84.290.7-6.5
12 Zwolle41325%66.877.8-11.0
13 Spartak Pleven61517%79.088.3-9.3
14 Brno61517%75.385.0-9.7
15 Svendborg61517%69.892.0-22.2
16 Valmiera Glass Via7070%80.396.6-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg1417122063
Bristol Flyers2427201586
← all games of the day
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