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Brixia W vs Derthona Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 55-93
21-34 8-21 11-17 15-21
Position#10
Record3-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game59.3
Allowed / game78.7
Brixia W
Italy
vs
Derthona Basket W 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record10-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game67.7
ItalySerie A1 WRound 21· PalaLeonessa
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brixia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Derthona Basket W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
38-87
38
87
-49
20avg 53
A06/12
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
L
64-75
64
75
-11
45avg 53
H13/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
48avg 53
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
60-87
60
87
-27
52avg 53
A11/01
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
50-110
50
110
-60
no box
H17/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
43-81
43
81
-38
28avg 53
A25/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
81avg 53
H01/02
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
64-70
64
70
-6
49avg 53
A08/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
64-71
64
71
-7
53avg 53
H15/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
L
66-85
66
85
-19
48avg 53
A22/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
15-28
3-20
5-18
9-13
19-19
21-18
15-25
15-27
10-19
18-13
20-18
18-14
7-22
21-27
14-24
18-23
13-36
10-29
9-22
9-24
10-18
10-21
14-18
24-20
20-15
14-14
20-24
20-21
19-19
10-21
15-9
19-18
19-22
13-20
13-11
12-22
12-25
12-21
30-17
140.6Avg total
59.0Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)59.378.7138.1-19.417%
Season at home (9)64.478.9143.3-14.433%
Season away (9)54.278.6132.8-24.30%
Last 10 (10)59.081.6140.6-22.610%
Last 5 (5)63.076.0139.0-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)59.978.2138.1-18.418%
vs Similar (5)73.271.4144.6+1.880%
vs Weaker (2)71.080.0151.0-9.050%
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Derthona Basket WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brixia W
#10
W
87-38
87
38
+49
94avg 65
H06/12
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
84-63
84
63
+21
76avg 65
A14/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
69-49
69
49
+20
62avg 65
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
86-65
86
65
+21
80avg 65
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
51-61
51
61
-10
38avg 65
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
no box
A18/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 65
H24/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
68avg 65
H07/02
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
85-73
85
73
+12
79avg 65
A15/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
57-65
57
65
-8
39avg 65
H21/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
28-15
20-3
18-5
15-13
30-13
19-14
20-23
25-9
8-16
16-15
20-9
24-22
21-21
17-10
24-12
13-14
14-17
10-14
14-16
11-16
14-20
17-16
20-19
27-23
18-16
11-17
17-13
20-20
16-13
19-23
17-14
27-18
22-10
14-31
22-14
13-18
14-16
15-19
15-12
135.0Avg total
72.6Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.867.7139.5+4.256%
Season at home (9)69.063.8132.8+5.256%
Season away (9)74.771.6146.2+3.156%
Last 10 (10)72.662.4135.0+10.270%
Last 5 (5)69.869.6139.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.571.8132.2-11.20%
vs Similar (5)63.463.2126.6+0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.769.6149.4+10.182%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +5.0+5.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +5.0+5.0
Brixia WDerthona Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A06/12
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H13/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A11/01
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
31-59
31
59
-28
H17/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
19-42
19
42
-23
A25/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/02
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A08/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A22/02
Serie A1 W
72.9Avg total
30.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.340.272.5-7.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.939.973.7-6.036%-
Last 30 away (16)31.040.571.5-9.525%-
Last 10 (10)30.342.672.9-12.310%-
Last 5 (5)32.840.873.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)30.540.170.6-9.623%-
vs Similar (5)36.039.875.8-3.860%-
vs Weaker (2)39.041.080.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Derthona Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brixia W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H06/12
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A14/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A18/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H24/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H07/02
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A15/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H21/02
Serie A1 W
70.6Avg total
38.1Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)36.835.472.2+1.452%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.533.769.3+1.855%-
Last 30 away (10)38.237.275.4+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)38.132.570.6+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.070.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.538.065.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (5)32.833.866.6-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.036.777.7+4.373%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brixia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brixia W: 61.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.816.7
44.2%
46.7%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.3
26.5%
30.9%18.9
🏀 Free throws11.98.8
73.9%
72.6%8.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Derthona Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Derthona Basket W: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.1
46.1%
46.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.5
36.5%
30.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.711.1
75.5%
72.6%11.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brixia W
LLLWLLLLLL
Derthona Basket W
LWWWLLWWWW
#10
League position
#4
-20.3
Net rating
+12.6
75.5
Offensive rating
93.4
95.8
Defensive rating
80.8
42.5%
Effective FG%
49.3%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.23
26.5%
3-point %
36.5%
49.1%
Assist %
61.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence75.5 · 93.4Defence95.8 · 80.8Shooting42.5% · 49.3%3-point %26.5% · 36.5%Ball care19.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds21.5% · 31.7%Free throws0.19 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Brixia W   ■ Derthona Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brixia W wins
1
Derthona Basket W wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Derthona Basket W v Brixia W87-38
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26ABattipaglia W66-85
15/02/26HVenezia W64-71
08/02/26ABroni W64-70
01/02/26HSan Martino W78-73
25/01/26ASan Giovanni W43-81
17/01/26HSchio W50-110
11/01/26ASassari W60-87
21/12/25ACampobasso W63-77
13/12/25HRoseto W64-75
06/12/25ADerthona Basket W38-87
Derthona Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HSchio W57-65
15/02/26ARoseto W85-73
07/02/26HSan Martino W72-70
24/01/26HBattipaglia W73-69
18/01/26AVenezia W62-71
10/01/26HCampobasso W51-61
28/12/25ASassari W86-65
21/12/25HSan Giovanni W69-49
14/12/25ABroni W84-63
06/12/25HBrixia W87-38

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game59.364.454.2
Allowed / game78.778.978.6
Point differential-19.4-14.4-24.3
Avg total138.1143.3132.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Derthona Basket W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game71.869.074.7
Allowed / game67.763.871.6
Point differential+4.2+5.2+3.1
Avg total139.5132.8146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%22%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W20200100%82.055.3+26.8
2 Venezia W2016480%74.462.2+12.2
3 Campobasso W1915479%68.659.9+8.6
4 San Giovanni W1911858%64.961.2+3.7
5 Derthona Basket W1810856%71.867.7+4.2
6 Broni W1871139%62.771.3-8.6
7 San Martino W1971237%68.973.4-4.5
8 Roseto W1971237%70.876.3-5.5
9 Sassari W2071335%67.874.7-6.8
10 Brixia W1831517%59.378.7-19.4
11 Battipaglia W2021810%63.676.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brixia W218111555
Derthona Basket W3421172193
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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