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Derthona Basket W vs Brixia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-38
21-15 28-15 20-3 18-5
Position#4
Record3-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#10
Record2-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game59.8
Allowed / game75.1
ItalySerie A1 WRound 10· Palaoltrepo
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Derthona Basket W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brixia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Derthona Basket WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
San Giovanni W
#4
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
no box
H05/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#6
L
59-71
59
71
-12
no box
A14/02
Coppa Italia Women
San Giovanni W
#5
L
56-65
56
65
-9
42avg 62
A05/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
57avg 62
H11/10
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
57-61
57
61
-4
46avg 62
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
57-72
57
72
-15
44avg 62
H26/10
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 62
A02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
91-84
91
84
+7
92avg 62
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 62
H29/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 62
A03/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
24-18
12-23
21-6
22-17
13-24
17-15
7-15
22-18
11-13
14-18
9-16
16-14
7-26
17-16
29-17
14-25
19-15
9-9
15-12
14-16
10-23
12-23
21-10
25-21
22-19
20-21
18-22
13-26
23-18
24-27
31-13
20-19
21-21
20-16
25-21
16-22
18-21
17-22
15-14
145.5Avg total
71.0Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.974.2145.1-3.438%
Season at home (3)70.774.0144.7-3.333%
Season away (5)71.074.4145.4-3.440%
Last 10 (10)71.074.5145.5-3.540%
Last 5 (5)77.079.0156.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.575.5137.0-14.00%
vs Similar (3)65.768.7134.3-3.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)78.077.6155.6+0.460%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#9
W
77-64
77
64
+13
74avg 57
H05/04
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#9
W
82-73
82
73
+9
72avg 57
A09/04
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
37-87
37
87
-50
16avg 57
H05/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
65-81
65
81
-16
62avg 57
H19/10
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
39-89
39
89
-50
21avg 57
A25/10
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
60-79
60
79
-19
50avg 57
H02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
60-62
60
62
-2
48avg 57
A08/11
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 57
H23/11
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
55-69
55
69
-14
44avg 57
A30/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
71avg 57
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
22-16
22-21
19-10
21-16
19-22
19-21
23-14
9-23
10-18
11-22
7-24
10-19
23-13
14-27
18-22
14-24
7-25
12-25
6-15
18-23
15-19
20-18
7-19
12-13
12-15
23-16
13-18
29-17
17-11
21-16
20-19
4-19
19-11
16-29
16-10
20-19
17-29
22-15
16-8
137.5Avg total
63.7Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)59.875.1134.9-15.425%
Season at home (5)64.876.2141.0-11.440%
Season away (3)51.373.3124.7-22.00%
Last 10 (10)63.773.8137.5-10.140%
Last 5 (5)67.468.8136.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)61.878.4140.2-16.616%
vs Similar (6)72.068.3140.3+3.783%
vs Weaker (4)72.571.2143.8+1.250%
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
Derthona Basket WBrixia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Derthona Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Giovanni W
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H05/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A14/02
Coppa Italia Women
San Giovanni W
#5
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A05/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H11/10
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H26/10
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A03/12
Serie A1 W
74.4Avg total
34.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)35.638.073.6-2.436%-
Last 30 at home (5)34.835.870.6-1.040%-
Last 30 away (6)36.339.876.2-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)34.440.074.4-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.277.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.041.070.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (3)34.737.772.3-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)36.441.077.4-4.640%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H05/04
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A09/04
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
19-41
19
41
-22
H05/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H19/10
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A25/10
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A08/11
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H23/11
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A30/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H03/12
Serie A1 W
68.1Avg total
31.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.739.473.1-5.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.138.272.3-4.144%-
Last 30 away (14)33.340.874.1-7.529%-
Last 10 (10)31.236.968.1-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.267.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)31.240.071.2-8.826%-
vs Similar (6)37.237.875.0-0.767%-
vs Weaker (4)39.038.077.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Derthona Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Derthona Basket W: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.817.8
42.5%
46.7%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.9
31.0%
30.9%23.6
🏀 Free throws14.510.2
70.7%
72.6%10.2
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brixia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brixia W: 63.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.1
45.0%
46.7%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.76.9
26.8%
30.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws13.710.4
75.9%
72.6%10.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Derthona Basket W
LWWWLLLLLW
Brixia W
WLWLLLLLWW
#4
League position
#10
-6.6
Net rating
-12.9
94.4
Offensive rating
85.6
101.0
Defensive rating
98.5
44.0%
Effective FG%
43.0%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
18.3%
Turnover %
21.7%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.0%
3-point %
26.8%
68.8%
Assist %
62.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.4 · 85.6Defence101.0 · 98.5Shooting44.0% · 43.0%3-point %31.0% · 26.8%Ball care18.3% · 21.7%Off. rebounds32.8% · 23.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Derthona Basket W   ■ Brixia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Derthona Basket W wins
0
Brixia W wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25ASchio W66-79
29/11/25HRoseto W86-77
23/11/25ASan Martino W91-84
02/11/25ABattipaglia W85-83
26/10/25HVenezia W57-72
19/10/25ACampobasso W57-61
11/10/25HSassari W69-73
05/10/25ASan Giovanni W56-65
14/02/25AVenezia W59-71
05/01/25HSan Giovanni W84-80 OT
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25HBattipaglia W75-71
30/11/25AVenezia W55-69
23/11/25HBroni W87-63
08/11/25ASan Martino W60-62
02/11/25HSan Giovanni W60-79
25/10/25ASchio W39-89
19/10/25HSassari W65-81
05/10/25HCampobasso W37-87
09/04/25ASassari W82-73
05/04/25HSassari W77-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Derthona Basket W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL38%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game70.970.771.0
Allowed / game74.274.074.4
Point differential-3.4-3.3-3.4
Avg total145.1144.7145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW25%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%40%0%
Points / game59.864.851.3
Allowed / game75.176.273.3
Point differential-15.4-11.4-22.0
Avg total134.9141.0124.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W880100%80.854.2+26.5
2 Venezia W98189%74.658.8+15.8
3 Campobasso W86275%72.861.0+11.8
4 San Giovanni W85362%69.462.5+6.9
5 Sassari W95456%68.874.1-5.3
6 Derthona Basket W83538%70.974.2-3.4
7 Broni W83538%64.274.1-9.9
8 Roseto W82625%68.476.4-8.0
9 San Martino W82625%65.975.6-9.8
10 Brixia W82625%59.875.1-15.4
11 Battipaglia W81712%64.975.4-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Derthona Basket W2128201887
Brixia W15153538
← all games of the day
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