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Brixia W vs Virtus Bologna W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 34-70
10-21 9-23 7-14 8-12
Position#10
Record5-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game70.5
Brixia W
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna W 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record10-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game63.6
ItalySerie A1 WRound 15· PalaLeonessa
Women2023-24
Meetings · Brixia W v Virtus Bologna W
21 Jan 2024
BRIX34
VIRT70
28 Dec 2022
BRIX69
VIRT88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brixia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ragusa W
#6
L
58-74
58
74
-16
50avg 56
H19/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#2
L
67-73
67
73
-6
61avg 56
A25/11
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
64-82
64
82
-18
52avg 56
H02/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
73avg 56
A10/12
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
W
74-62
74
62
+12
62avg 56
H17/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
65-68
65
68
-3
64avg 56
A23/12
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
W
75-51
75
51
+24
64avg 56
A29/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#8
W
72-68
72
68
+4
69avg 56
A04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#3
L
44-75
44
75
-31
34avg 56
A07/01
Coppa Italia Women
Faenza W
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
78avg 56
A14/01
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
16-16
18-21
10-17
23-26
13-11
8-15
23-21
11-24
21-17
13-12
19-29
10-21
27-20
17-20
21-17
17-17
24-21
13-12
20-12
23-13
13-26
9-12
20-17
13-8
18-16
20-19
24-8
21-18
13-19
20-14
18-17
14-22
7-19
12-23
11-11
20-22
20-12
27-20
19-16
138.1Avg total
68.0Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)66.270.5136.6-4.338%
Season at home (6)60.071.7131.7-11.733%
Season away (7)71.469.4140.9+2.043%
Last 10 (10)68.070.1138.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)68.466.4134.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)58.777.1135.9-18.45%
vs Similar (6)69.770.2139.8-0.550%
vs Weaker (2)77.060.0137.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Bologna WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Polkowice W
#11
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
65avg 66
A06/12
Euroleague Women
Sassari W
#7
L
69-74
69
74
-5
63avg 66
A09/12
Serie A1 W
UNI Gyor W
#16
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 66
H13/12
Euroleague Women
San Giovanni W
#4
W
71-67
71
67
+4
69avg 66
H16/12
Serie A1 W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#9
W
62-58
62
58
+4
57avg 66
A20/12
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#2
W
79-76
79
76
+3
78avg 66
A27/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
60avg 66
H07/01
Coppa Italia Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#5
W
65-62
65
62
+3
49avg 66
H10/01
Euroleague Women
Ragusa W
#6
W
69-60
69
60
+9
71avg 66
A14/01
Serie A1 W
CBK Mersin W
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
55avg 66
A17/01
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
13-15
14-14
20-16
22-13
19-23
13-18
15-20
28-17
18-23
18-13
12-17
27-16
11-22
17-15
16-14
13-17
15-9
9-17
25-15
30-15
14-32
15-14
20-15
16-19
18-19
18-25
15-13
22-16
16-20
15-14
12-12
17-21
24-17
18-8
10-14
19-23
13-13
15-15
14-13
138.5Avg total
69.7Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.263.6136.8+9.677%
Season at home (6)77.563.7141.2+13.883%
Season away (7)69.663.6133.1+6.071%
Last 10 (10)69.768.8138.5+0.960%
Last 5 (5)68.267.6135.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.090.0159.0-21.00%
vs Similar (12)72.873.8146.6-1.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)73.563.3136.9+10.280%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Brixia WVirtus Bologna W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ragusa W
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H19/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A25/11
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H02/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/12
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H17/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A23/12
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A29/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#3
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A07/01
Coppa Italia Women
Faenza W
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/01
Serie A1 W
70.6Avg total
33.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.739.169.8-8.427%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.338.769.0-8.431%-
Last 30 away (17)31.039.470.4-8.424%-
Last 10 (10)33.836.870.6-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.067.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)29.141.470.5-12.314%-
vs Similar (6)34.733.868.5+0.867%-
vs Weaker (2)34.031.065.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Bologna WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polkowice W
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A06/12
Euroleague Women
Sassari W
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A09/12
Serie A1 W
UNI Gyor W
#16
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H13/12
Euroleague Women
San Giovanni W
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H16/12
Serie A1 W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#9
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A20/12
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A27/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H07/01
Coppa Italia Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/01
Euroleague Women
Ragusa W
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/01
Serie A1 W
CBK Mersin W
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/01
Euroleague Women
75.1Avg total
37.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.873.6+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.436.676.0+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)36.435.271.6+1.256%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.475.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.076.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.050.075.0-25.00%-
vs Similar (12)36.838.975.7-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.532.371.8+7.180%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brixia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brixia W: 66.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.815.6
42.4%
45.7%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.6
35.0%
32.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws12.09.6
80.0%
74.9%9.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bologna Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna W: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.3
49.2%
45.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.8
37.1%
32.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws12.18.7
71.9%
74.9%8.7
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brixia W
WLWWLWLLLL
Virtus Bologna W
LWWLWWWWLL
#10
League position
#3
-4.0
Net rating
+1.0
92.0
Offensive rating
98.7
96.0
Defensive rating
97.7
46.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
22.0%
Turnover %
19.6%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.0%
3-point %
37.1%
63.6%
Assist %
65.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 98.7Defence96.0 · 97.7Shooting46.4% · 51.5%3-point %35.0% · 37.1%Ball care22.0% · 19.6%Off. rebounds27.4% · 22.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Brixia W   ■ Virtus Bologna W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brixia W wins
3
Virtus Bologna W wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Virtus Bologna W v Brixia W77-53
26/03/23Virtus Bologna W v Brixia W90-51
28/12/22Brixia W v Virtus Bologna W69-88
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AFaenza W86-70
07/01/24AVenezia W44-75
04/01/24ASassari W72-68
29/12/23ABattipaglia W75-51
23/12/23ASan Giovanni W65-68
17/12/23HOxygen Roma W74-62
10/12/23ACampobasso W75-78
02/12/23HSassari W64-82
25/11/23ASchio W67-73
19/11/23HRagusa W58-74
Virtus Bologna Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24ACBK Mersin W61-64
14/01/24ARagusa W69-60
10/01/24HESB Villeneuve W65-62
07/01/24HRagusa W67-76
27/12/23ASchio W79-76
20/12/23APerfumerias Avenida W62-58
16/12/23HSan Giovanni W71-67
13/12/23HUNI Gyor W76-70
09/12/23ASassari W69-74
06/12/23APolkowice W78-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW38%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game66.260.071.4
Allowed / game70.571.769.4
Point differential-4.3-11.7+2.0
Avg total136.6131.7140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%17%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW77%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%83%71%
Points / game73.277.569.6
Allowed / game63.663.763.6
Point differential+9.6+13.8+6.0
Avg total136.8141.2133.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia W13130100%76.958.2+18.7
2 Schio W1310377%78.963.8+15.1
3 Virtus Bologna W1310377%73.263.6+9.6
4 Campobasso W1310377%64.259.3+4.8
5 San Giovanni W149564%67.163.9+3.2
6 San Martino W138562%73.868.9+4.9
7 Ragusa W137654%71.567.7+3.8
8 Sassari W146843%69.975.1-5.1
9 Brixia W135838%66.270.5-4.3
10 Oxygen Roma W124833%70.972.4-1.5
11 Faenza W1321115%63.573.4-9.8
12 Sanga Milano W1421214%61.478.9-17.4
13 Battipaglia W140140%60.179.3-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brixia W1097834
Virtus Bologna W2123141270
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