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Brno vs Decin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-98
22-24 30-21 16-20 21-33
Position#3
Record24-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Decin 🏆
Czech Republic
Position#6
Record18-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game85.8
Czech RepublicNBLNBL - Quarter-finals· Starez Aréna Vodova
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brno v Decin
05 Dec 2026
BRNO v DECI
upcoming
11 May 2026
BRNO98
DECI78
05 May 2026
BRNO75
DECI65
28 Apr 2026
BRNO89
DECI98
27 Apr 2026
BRNO107
DECI94
31 Jan 2026
BRNO76
DECI90
13 Dec 2025
BRNO80
DECI97
15 May 2025
BRNO83
DECI79
10 May 2025
BRNO102
DECI100
03 May 2025
BRNO72
DECI92
02 May 2025
BRNO98
DECI82
01 Feb 2025
BRNO71
DECI75
02 Nov 2024
BRNO85
DECI72
21 Apr 2024
BRNO81
DECI94
20 Apr 2024
BRNO78
DECI91
06 Apr 2024
BRNO77
DECI79
14 Oct 2023
BRNO101
DECI79
19 Mar 2023
BRNO74
DECI87
08 Feb 2023
BRNO86
DECI95
21 Jan 2023
BRNO96
DECI86
05 Dec 2021
BRNO95
DECI96
12 Dec 2020
BRNO94
DECI87
04 Jan 2020
BRNO79
DECI82
13 Feb 2019
BRNO89
DECI70
14 Oct 2018
BRNO77
DECI68
04 Nov 2017
BRNO82
DECI86
27 Sep 2016
BRNO79
DECI90
01 Mar 2016
BRNO72
DECI71
21 Nov 2015
BRNO55
DECI89
11 Feb 2015
BRNO73
DECI79
05 Nov 2014
BRNO74
DECI72
26 Mar 2014
BRNO69
DECI81
14 Dec 2013
BRNO108
DECI87
29 Jan 2011
BRNO64
DECI89
13 Mar 2010
BRNO64
DECI73
18 Nov 2009
BRNO70
DECI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrnoCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#1
L
60-92
60
92
-32
A05/03
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#7
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H14/03
NBL
Opava
#5
W
102-65
102
65
+37
H18/03
NBL
Pardubice
#2
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H21/03
NBL
Decin
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A25/03
NBL
Opava
#5
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A28/03
NBL
NH Ostrava
#11
W
102-77
102
77
+25
A04/04
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H12/04
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
79-106
79
106
-27
H18/04
NBL
Decin
#6
W
107-94
107
94
+13
H27/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-21
14-24
20-27
18-20
27-19
21-21
19-19
23-26
29-14
20-9
27-22
26-20
16-14
13-21
20-15
29-18
25-21
21-21
19-21
16-14
29-21
10-9
12-17
25-19
29-17
29-22
27-16
17-22
30-24
19-25
22-20
13-19
20-35
16-21
17-26
26-24
29-22
29-16
23-29
26-27
167.7Avg total
85.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)85.783.8169.5+1.965%
Season at home (19)90.984.7175.6+6.274%
Season away (18)80.282.8163.1-2.656%
Last 10 (10)85.981.8167.7+4.170%
Last 5 (5)89.686.2175.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.490.5161.9-19.125%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.083.7169.7+2.357%
vs Weaker (8)84.882.2167.0+2.575%
This opponent (Decin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Srsni Pisek
#7
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H18/02
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A05/03
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H14/03
NBL
NH Ostrava
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H21/03
NBL
Brno
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H25/03
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
76-110
76
110
-34
A28/03
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#7
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A05/04
NBL
Opava
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H11/04
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H18/04
NBL
Brno
#3
L
94-107
94
107
-13
A27/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
26-21
13-18
20-18
15-22
18-19
23-23
14-14
22-29
22-23
15-14
17-24
15-25
25-18
17-9
24-25
21-25
21-21
21-19
14-16
16-29
17-26
24-30
19-25
20-20
14-21
15-30
27-20
22-23
13-15
15-24
20-16
26-25
14-20
20-18
25-17
22-29
16-29
29-23
27-26
166.9Avg total
79.3Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)81.885.8167.6-4.049%
Season at home (18)82.980.3163.2+2.667%
Season away (19)80.790.9171.7-10.232%
Last 10 (10)79.387.6166.9-8.330%
Last 5 (5)80.293.2173.4-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.092.7172.7-12.720%
vs Similar ◀ (17)84.781.5166.2+3.265%
vs Weaker (3)81.777.7159.3+4.067%
This opponent (Brno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
BrnoDecin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#1
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A05/03
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H14/03
NBL
Opava
#5
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H18/03
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H21/03
NBL
Decin
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A25/03
NBL
Opava
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A28/03
NBL
NH Ostrava
#11
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A04/04
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H12/04
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H18/04
NBL
Decin
#6
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H27/04
NBL
83.1Avg total
43.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.982.4+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.442.484.8+0.033%-
Last 30 away (15)40.539.580.0+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.783.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.042.490.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.545.079.5-10.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
vs Weaker (8)42.439.081.4+3.450%-
This opponent (Decin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Srsni Pisek
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H18/02
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A05/03
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H14/03
NBL
NH Ostrava
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/03
NBL
Brno
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H25/03
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A28/03
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#7
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A05/04
NBL
Opava
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H11/04
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/04
NBL
Brno
#3
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A27/04
NBL
86.1Avg total
39.4Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.984.5-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.941.483.3+0.544%-
Last 30 away (12)38.847.686.3-8.817%-
Last 10 (10)39.446.786.1-7.310%-
Last 5 (5)36.047.483.4-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.146.787.8-5.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.742.683.4-1.941%-
vs Weaker (3)38.741.380.0-2.733%-
This opponent (Brno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brno: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.7
52.1%
53.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.0
33.6%
32.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws25.517.1
67.1%
69.9%17.1
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decin: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.619.7
46.2%
53.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.4
30.2%
32.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws25.817.5
67.8%
69.9%17.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brno
WLLWWWWWWL
Decin
LWLLLLWLLW
#3
League position
#6
+4.1
Net rating
-9.4
93.6
Offensive rating
87.1
89.5
Defensive rating
96.5
51.4%
Effective FG%
45.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
14.9%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.6%
3-point %
30.2%
72.1%
Assist %
61.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 87.1Defence89.5 · 96.5Shooting51.4% · 45.9%3-point %33.6% · 30.2%Ball care14.9% · 12.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Brno   ■ Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brno wins
5
Decin wins
DateGameScore
27/04/26Brno v Decin107-94
25/03/26Decin v Brno77-81
31/01/26Brno v Decin76-90
13/12/25Brno v Decin80-97
10/12/25Decin v Brno77-73
15/05/25Brno v Decin83-79
13/05/25Decin v Brno82-55
10/05/25Brno v Decin102-100
07/05/25Decin v Brno103-67
06/05/25Decin v Brno73-77
Brnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/26HDecin107-94
18/04/26HNymburk79-106
12/04/26HUsti n. Labem84-88
04/04/26ANH Ostrava102-77
28/03/26AOpava76-66
25/03/26ADecin81-77
21/03/26HPardubice78-68
18/03/26HOpava102-65
14/03/26HSrsni Pisek90-85
05/03/26ANymburk60-92
Decinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/26ABrno94-107
18/04/26HUsti n. Labem85-80
11/04/26HOpava70-78
05/04/26ASrsni Pisek76-91
28/03/26ANymburk76-110
25/03/26HBrno77-81
21/03/26HNH Ostrava81-77
14/03/26HPardubice76-90
05/03/26AUsti n. Labem70-78
18/02/26HSrsni Pisek88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brno
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW65%
HomeWWLLW74%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %65%74%56%
Points / game85.790.980.2
Allowed / game83.884.782.8
Point differential+1.9+6.2-2.6
Avg total169.5175.6163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%47%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Decin
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL49%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayLLLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %49%67%32%
Points / game81.882.980.7
Allowed / game85.880.390.9
Point differential-4.0+2.6-10.2
Avg total167.6163.2171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)67% (9)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nymburk3632489%100.479.3+21.1
2 Pardubice3627975%92.380.6+11.8
3 Brno37241365%85.783.8+1.9
4 Usti n. Labem36211558%87.485.7+1.8
5 Srsni Pisek38201853%88.887.9+0.9
6 Opava36181850%87.985.7+2.2
7 Decin37181949%81.885.8-4.0
8 Olomoucko36142239%77.383.5-6.2
9 USK Prague36122433%80.787.8-7.1
10 Slavia Prague34112332%81.288.0-6.7
11 NH Ostrava38122632%85.793.0-7.3
12 Hradec Kralove3592626%77.285.1-7.9
13 Zlin1010%56.081.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brno2230162189
Decin2421203398
← all games of the day
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