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Brno vs Decin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 101-79
31-25 28-28 23-19 19-7
Position#5
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game81.2
Brno 🏆
Czech Republic
vs
Position#2
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game82.8
Czech RepublicNBLRound 7· SH Vodova
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brno v Decin
05 Dec 2026
BRNO v DECI
upcoming
11 May 2026
BRNO98
DECI78
05 May 2026
BRNO75
DECI65
28 Apr 2026
BRNO89
DECI98
27 Apr 2026
BRNO107
DECI94
31 Jan 2026
BRNO76
DECI90
13 Dec 2025
BRNO80
DECI97
15 May 2025
BRNO83
DECI79
10 May 2025
BRNO102
DECI100
03 May 2025
BRNO72
DECI92
02 May 2025
BRNO98
DECI82
01 Feb 2025
BRNO71
DECI75
02 Nov 2024
BRNO85
DECI72
21 Apr 2024
BRNO81
DECI94
20 Apr 2024
BRNO78
DECI91
06 Apr 2024
BRNO77
DECI79
14 Oct 2023
BRNO101
DECI79
19 Mar 2023
BRNO74
DECI87
08 Feb 2023
BRNO86
DECI95
21 Jan 2023
BRNO96
DECI86
05 Dec 2021
BRNO95
DECI96
12 Dec 2020
BRNO94
DECI87
04 Jan 2020
BRNO79
DECI82
13 Feb 2019
BRNO89
DECI70
14 Oct 2018
BRNO77
DECI68
04 Nov 2017
BRNO82
DECI86
27 Sep 2016
BRNO79
DECI90
01 Mar 2016
BRNO72
DECI71
21 Nov 2015
BRNO55
DECI89
11 Feb 2015
BRNO73
DECI79
05 Nov 2014
BRNO74
DECI72
26 Mar 2014
BRNO69
DECI81
14 Dec 2013
BRNO108
DECI87
29 Jan 2011
BRNO64
DECI89
13 Mar 2010
BRNO64
DECI73
18 Nov 2009
BRNO70
DECI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brno winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Decin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrnoCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrno
Date
Competition
Opava
#8
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H24/04
NBL
Opava
#8
W
107-73
107
73
+34
no box
A27/04
NBL
Opava
#8
L
91-96
91
96
-5
no box
A28/04
NBL
Opava
#8
W
93-83
93
83
+10
no box
H01/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
65-97
65
97
-32
no box
A03/05
NBL
USK Prague
#10
L
62-64
62
64
-2
57avg 60
A23/09
NBL
Pardubice
#6
L
73-91
73
91
-18
64avg 60
A27/09
NBL
Nymburk
#1
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 60
A04/10
NBL
Kolin
#11
L
60-79
60
79
-19
44avg 60
A07/10
NBL
Opava
#4
L
75-103
75
103
-28
67avg 60
A11/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
18-18
22-23
22-20
31-19
21-22
25-22
30-10
25-27
19-25
22-20
25-24
18-24
30-13
23-21
22-25
17-27
19-19
19-22
10-29
23-17
11-15
17-14
11-18
16-29
14-20
25-22
18-20
20-13
16-24
20-13
16-19
12-27
18-22
18-15
12-15
23-20
11-21
19-23
22-39
162.3Avg total
78.2Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.481.2149.6-12.820%
Season at homeno games
Season away (5)68.481.2149.6-12.820%
Last 10 (10)78.284.1162.3-5.930%
Last 5 (5)68.481.2149.6-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)67.778.0145.7-10.333%
vs Similar (17)81.884.9166.8-3.129%
vs Weaker (10)89.677.9167.5+11.780%
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Opava
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
H26/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
A28/05
NBL
Opava
#8
W
89-67
89
67
+22
no box
H30/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
no box
A01/06
NBL
Pardubice
#6
L
111-112 OT
111
112
-1
no box
H23/09
NBL
NH Ostrava
#7
W
99-63
99
63
+36
96avg 79
H27/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
89avg 79
A01/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#8
L
74-75
74
75
-1
59avg 79
H04/10
NBL
Slavia Prague
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
62avg 79
A07/10
NBL
USK Prague
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
88avg 79
H11/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
14-17
23-13
18-26
24-25
19-19
12-20
27-21
22-26
20-18
23-9
24-14
24-23
23-25
20-20
26-25
25-37
19-18
19-16
28-20
24-17
23-18
27-18
25-10
23-26
23-30
23-19
26-13
18-24
15-19
19-17
22-15
21-18
10-18
25-18
20-26
28-18
26-22
21-24
18-15
173.6Avg total
89.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.382.8174.2+8.550%
Season at home (4)94.282.2176.5+12.050%
Season away (2)85.584.0169.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)89.983.7173.6+6.240%
Last 5 (5)87.477.0164.4+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.087.0160.0-14.00%
vs Similar (16)85.380.9166.2+4.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.977.5164.4+9.569%
This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +4.9+4.9
BrnoDecin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Opava
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H24/04
NBL
Opava
#8
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A27/04
NBL
Opava
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A28/04
NBL
Opava
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H01/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/05
NBL
USK Prague
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/09
NBL
Pardubice
#6
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A27/09
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A04/10
NBL
Kolin
#11
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A07/10
NBL
Opava
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/10
NBL
81.1Avg total
38.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.984.0+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.141.083.1+1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)41.942.884.7-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.781.1-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.841.674.4-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.336.369.7-3.00%-
vs Similar (17)41.543.685.1-2.135%-
vs Weaker (10)45.540.886.3+4.780%-
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Opava
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H26/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A28/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A01/06
NBL
Pardubice
#6
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H23/09
NBL
NH Ostrava
#7
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H27/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#3
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A01/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H04/10
NBL
Slavia Prague
#12
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/10
NBL
USK Prague
#10
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H11/10
NBL
86.4Avg total
42.2Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.682.5+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.941.185.1+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.079.6-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.244.286.4-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.084.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.049.091.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (16)42.041.683.6+0.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.838.780.5+3.277%-
This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brno: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
48%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.614.0
45.8%
51.6%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.2
32.3%
31.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.813.8
63.3%
69.5%13.8
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decin: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
48%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.420.6
47.5%
51.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.4
36.2%
31.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.017.2
74.8%
69.5%17.2
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brno
LLWLLLWLWL
Decin
WLLWWLLWLL
#5
League position
#2
-20.1
Net rating
+14.0
90.0
Offensive rating
112.0
110.0
Defensive rating
98.0
47.0%
Effective FG%
50.0%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
22.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.3%
3-point %
36.2%
64.0%
Assist %
58.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.0 · 112.0Defence110.0 · 98.0Shooting47.0% · 50.0%3-point %32.3% · 36.2%Ball care22.7% · 15.9%Off. rebounds25.3% · 34.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Brno   ■ Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brno wins
5
Decin wins
DateGameScore
19/03/23Brno v Decin74-87
15/03/23Decin v Brno78-86
08/02/23Brno v Decin86-95
21/01/23Brno v Decin96-86 OT
19/11/22Decin v Brno63-67
05/12/21Brno v Decin95-96 OT
02/10/21Decin v Brno63-79
16/12/20Decin v Brno95-86
12/12/20Brno v Decin94-87
04/01/20Brno v Decin79-82
Brnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23AOpava75-103
07/10/23AKolin60-79
04/10/23ANymburk72-69
27/09/23APardubice73-91
23/09/23AUSK Prague62-64
03/05/23AOpava65-97
01/05/23HOpava93-83
28/04/23AOpava91-96
27/04/23AOpava107-73
24/04/23HOpava84-86
Decinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23HUSK Prague93-79
07/10/23ASlavia Prague76-80
04/10/23HOlomoucko74-75
01/10/23AUsti n. Labem95-88
27/09/23HNH Ostrava99-63
23/09/23HPardubice111-112 OT
01/06/23AOpava104-108 OT
30/05/23HOpava89-67
28/05/23AOpava82-85
26/05/23HOpava76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brno
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
Home--
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games5-5
Win %20%-20%
Points / game68.4-68.4
Allowed / game81.2-81.2
Point differential-12.8--12.8
Avg total149.6-149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
Decin
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game91.394.285.5
Allowed / game82.882.284.0
Point differential+8.5+12.0+1.5
Avg total174.2176.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Opava76186%93.181.4+11.7
2 Nymburk75271%94.467.3+27.1
3 USK Prague64267%75.073.0+2.0
4 Kolin74357%78.978.1+0.7
5 Decin63350%91.382.8+8.5
6 Usti n. Labem63350%91.085.0+6.0
7 Pardubice63350%85.088.8-3.8
8 Srsni Pisek42250%92.5103.0-10.5
9 Olomoucko73443%80.690.1-9.6
10 Slavia Prague52340%81.096.4-15.4
11 Brno51420%68.481.2-12.8
12 NH Ostrava6060%73.290.3-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brno31282319101
Decin252819779
← all games of the day
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