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Brno vs Liege Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 62-95
18-24 13-34 11-23 20-14
Position#14
Record0-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game85.2
Brno
vs
Liege 🏆
Position#9
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeENBL· SH Vodova (Brno)
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrnoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrno
Date
Competition
USK Prague
#10
W
75-63
75
63
+12
75avg 72
H11/11
NBL
Zielona Gora
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 72
A15/11
ENBL
Pardubice
#6
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 72
H18/11
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
54avg 72
H25/11
NBL
Olomoucko
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
81avg 72
A29/11
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#9
W
87-70
87
70
+17
88avg 72
A03/12
NBL
Opava
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
68avg 72
H06/12
NBL
Nymburk
#1
W
81-79
81
79
+2
87avg 72
H09/12
NBL
Kolin
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
72avg 72
H16/12
NBL
Keila KK
#12
L
73-93
73
93
-20
68avg 72
H18/12
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
16-15
18-17
24-19
15-23
19-14
26-26
14-23
22-18
22-24
17-25
25-12
15-27
10-17
23-17
23-23
23-27
18-22
15-18
26-29
18-23
29-18
21-14
19-15
22-20
24-19
16-18
14-22
25-21
20-18
23-26
13-14
25-5
17-25
21-23
14-19
20-20
20-29
18-20
15-24
158.3Avg total
78.2Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.085.2160.2-10.20%
Season at home (2)72.584.0156.5-11.50%
Season away (2)77.586.5164.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)78.280.1158.3-1.950%
Last 5 (5)78.878.6157.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.583.9161.4-6.430%
vs Similar (16)82.183.0165.1-0.944%
vs Weaker (4)74.576.5151.0-2.075%
This opponent (Liege) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
83-80
83
80
+3
83avg 73
A10/11
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
58avg 73
A15/11
ENBL
Mechelen
#8
W
63-50
63
50
+13
51avg 73
A18/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
64avg 73
A25/11
BNXT League
Keila KK
#12
W
96-92
96
92
+4
97avg 73
A28/11
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 73
H01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
70-90
70
90
-20
no box
A08/12
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#5
W
94-93
94
93
+1
no box
H11/12
Belgian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
97-68
97
68
+29
101avg 73
H13/12
ENBL
Limburg
#4
W
87-82
87
82
+5
85avg 73
A22/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
19-23
23-21
16-15
13-21
19-23
15-26
21-19
16-19
18-15
9-9
20-7
15-24
23-17
16-17
14-8
20-20
29-22
18-16
29-34
20-14
22-21
25-27
16-23
17-23
18-20
20-23
15-24
23-23
23-19
26-25
22-26
14-20
27-15
24-14
32-19
23-24
20-21
21-12
23-25
160.4Avg total
80.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.882.0172.8+8.875%
Season at home (2)99.573.5173.0+26.0100%
Season away (2)82.090.5172.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)80.979.5160.4+1.470%
Last 5 (5)86.283.6169.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.988.3165.1-11.414%
vs Similar (15)78.878.0156.8+0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)92.471.8164.1+20.6100%
This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
BrnoLiege
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USK Prague
#10
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H11/11
NBL
Zielona Gora
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A15/11
ENBL
Pardubice
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/11
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#9
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H25/11
NBL
Olomoucko
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A29/11
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#9
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A03/12
NBL
Opava
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H06/12
NBL
Nymburk
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H09/12
NBL
Kolin
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H16/12
NBL
Keila KK
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H18/12
ENBL
79.4Avg total
39.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.082.3-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.282.6+2.267%-
Last 30 away (15)38.243.781.9-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.779.4+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.683.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.142.583.6-1.440%-
vs Similar (16)40.142.682.8-2.544%-
vs Weaker (4)39.038.077.0+1.075%-
This opponent (Liege) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/11
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/11
ENBL
Mechelen
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/11
BNXT League
Keila KK
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A28/11
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A08/12
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H11/12
Belgian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H13/12
ENBL
Limburg
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
BNXT League
80.9Avg total
40.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.638.979.6+1.745%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.636.378.9+6.373%-
Last 30 away (14)38.541.780.2-3.214%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.580.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.081.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.143.181.3-5.029%-
vs Similar (14)37.638.576.1-0.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.136.084.1+12.188%-
This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brno: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.4
53.5%
53.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.1
32.1%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.512.5
61.0%
72.2%12.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.8
53.6%
53.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.9
31.7%
33.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws23.016.2
70.4%
72.2%16.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brno
LWWLWLLWLW
Liege
WWWLLWWWLW
#14
League position
#9
-1.7
Net rating
+2.3
103.1
Offensive rating
101.7
104.9
Defensive rating
99.3
51.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
20.1%
Turnover %
21.8%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.1%
3-point %
31.7%
75.1%
Assist %
59.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 101.7Defence104.9 · 99.3Shooting51.4% · 51.4%3-point %32.1% · 31.7%Ball care20.1% · 21.8%Off. rebounds32.6% · 29.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Brno   ■ Liege
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brno wins
0
Liege wins
No previous meetings.
Brnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23HKeila KK73-93
16/12/23HKolin77-72
09/12/23HNymburk81-79
06/12/23HOpava76-79
03/12/23ASrsni Pisek87-70
29/11/23AOlomoucko82-96
25/11/23HSrsni Pisek71-84
18/11/23HPardubice86-79
15/11/23AZielona Gora74-86
11/11/23HUSK Prague75-63
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23ALimburg87-82
13/12/23HValmiera Glass Via97-68
11/12/23HLeuven Bears94-93
08/12/23ALeuven Bears70-90
01/12/23HKortrijk83-85
28/11/23AKeila KK96-92
25/11/23ABelfius Mons68-66
18/11/23AMechelen63-50
15/11/23AVoluntari68-89
10/11/23AOkapi Aalst83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brno
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.072.577.5
Allowed / game85.284.086.5
Point differential-10.2-11.5-9.0
Avg total160.2156.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liege
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game90.899.582.0
Allowed / game82.073.590.5
Point differential+8.8+26.0-8.5
Avg total172.8173.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears220100%95.074.5+20.5
2 Juventus440100%95.280.5+14.8
3 Tartu Ulikool330100%86.373.7+12.7
4 Voluntari54180%81.470.8+10.6
5 Liege43175%90.882.0+8.8
6 Zielona Gora43175%95.089.8+5.2
7 Siauliai43175%91.588.8+2.8
8 Bristol Flyers53260%82.473.8+8.6
9 Newcastle Eagles42250%86.283.2+3.0
10 Keila KK42250%83.885.5-1.8
11 Lublin31233%86.790.7-4.0
12 Zwolle31233%70.375.7-5.3
13 Brno4040%75.085.2-10.2
14 Spartak Pleven4040%74.088.0-14.0
15 Valmiera Glass Via5050%82.098.8-16.8
16 Svendborg4040%73.898.0-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brno1813112062
Liege2434231495
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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