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Zielona Gora vs Brno Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-74
23-15 14-19 26-26 23-14
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game95.0
vs
Position#14
Record0-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeENBL· CRS Hala Zielona Gora (Zielona Góra)
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zielona Gora winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zielona GoraLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGora
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
W
109-83
109
83
+26
115avg 79
H27/09
ENBL
Torun
#12
L
74-85
74
85
-11
64avg 79
A29/09
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
73avg 79
H05/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lancut
#16
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
no box
A15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Liege
#9
L
79-102
79
102
-23
65avg 79
A17/10
ENBL
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
93-100
93
100
-7
86avg 79
A21/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
92-90
92
90
+2
84avg 79
A26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
106-100
106
100
+6
111avg 79
H31/10
ENBL
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
66-77
66
77
-11
62avg 79
A05/11
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
70avg 79
H11/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-19
24-22
22-18
25-24
19-20
10-11
22-25
23-29
17-26
21-25
24-28
23-18
28-16
16-26
18-18
19-21
18-29
21-27
22-20
18-26
30-24
18-24
20-32
25-20
30-25
24-26
17-16
21-23
29-21
24-23
31-21
22-35
13-18
13-20
21-16
19-23
16-25
15-23
27-18
21-24
178.4Avg total
87.2Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)98.095.0193.0+3.067%
Season at home (2)107.591.5199.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)79.0102.0181.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)87.291.2178.4-4.040%
Last 5 (5)87.291.4178.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.792.4176.1-8.618%
vs Similar (9)83.682.2165.8+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)94.687.7182.3+6.980%
This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrnoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrno
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#1
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 71
A04/10
NBL
Kolin
#11
L
60-79
60
79
-19
44avg 71
A07/10
NBL
Opava
#4
L
75-103
75
103
-28
67avg 71
A11/10
NBL
Decin
#2
W
101-79
101
79
+22
102avg 71
H14/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
79avg 71
A21/10
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#3
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 71
H28/10
NBL
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
87avg 71
A31/10
ENBL
Slavia Prague
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
79avg 71
A04/11
NBL
Voluntari
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
74avg 71
H08/11
ENBL
USK Prague
#10
W
75-63
75
63
+12
75avg 71
H11/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
16-24
20-13
16-19
12-27
18-22
18-15
12-15
23-20
11-21
19-23
22-39
31-25
28-28
23-19
19-7
16-28
16-16
23-19
28-16
20-25
16-21
20-15
14-28
17-26
22-19
18-17
24-25
20-21
20-17
23-17
17-21
21-18
21-21
12-11
18-25
17-12
16-15
18-17
24-19
156.8Avg total
76.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.581.0157.5-4.50%
Season at home (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
Season away (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)76.979.9156.8-3.050%
Last 5 (5)75.678.0153.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.583.7162.2-5.233%
vs Similar (17)81.082.5163.5-1.541%
vs Weaker (7)87.082.0169.0+5.071%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
Zielona GoraBrno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H27/09
ENBL
Torun
#12
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A29/09
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H05/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lancut
#16
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Liege
#9
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A17/10
ENBL
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A21/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H31/10
ENBL
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A05/11
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H11/11
Energa Basket Liga
87.4Avg total
42.4Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.345.088.3-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.346.589.8-3.327%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.586.8-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)42.445.087.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.888.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.947.087.9-6.19%-
vs Similar (9)41.242.783.9-1.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)47.745.092.7+2.750%-
This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A04/10
NBL
Kolin
#11
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A07/10
NBL
Opava
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/10
NBL
Decin
#2
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H14/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#7
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A21/10
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H28/10
NBL
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A31/10
ENBL
Slavia Prague
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/11
NBL
Voluntari
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/11
ENBL
USK Prague
#10
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H11/11
NBL
80.0Avg total
38.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.283.5-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.941.883.8+0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)40.842.583.3-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.980.0-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.077.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.043.584.5-2.533%-
vs Similar (17)40.142.482.5-2.341%-
vs Weaker (7)44.340.785.0+3.671%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.5
57.5%
53.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.8
34.4%
33.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.616.1
62.9%
72.2%16.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brno: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.9
53.5%
53.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.7
31.8%
33.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.914.8
67.6%
72.2%14.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zielona Gora
LLWWLLWLLW
Brno
WLWLLWWLLW
#5
League position
#14
-7.7
Net rating
-4.5
107.0
Offensive rating
101.2
114.8
Defensive rating
105.7
55.3%
Effective FG%
51.2%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
21.5%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.4%
3-point %
31.8%
61.4%
Assist %
66.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 101.2Defence114.8 · 105.7Shooting55.3% · 51.2%3-point %34.4% · 31.8%Ball care18.7% · 21.5%Off. rebounds25.4% · 30.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Zielona Gora   ■ Brno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zielona Gora wins
0
Brno wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HSzczecin79-90
05/11/23ASlask Wroclaw66-77
31/10/23HValmiera Glass Via106-100
26/10/23AGTK Gliwice92-90
21/10/23ADabrowa Gornicza93-100
17/10/23ALiege79-102
15/10/23ALancut89-88 OT
05/10/23HTrefl Sopot85-97
29/09/23ATorun74-85
27/09/23HSiauliai109-83
Brnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HUSK Prague75-63
08/11/23HVoluntari72-75
04/11/23ASlavia Prague80-76
31/10/23ANewcastle Eagles81-87
28/10/23HUsti n. Labem70-89
21/10/23ANH Ostrava83-79
14/10/23HDecin101-79
11/10/23AOpava75-103
07/10/23AKolin60-79
04/10/23ANymburk72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zielona Gora
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game98.0107.579.0
Allowed / game95.091.5102.0
Point differential+3.0+16.0-23.0
Avg total193.0199.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brno
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.572.081.0
Allowed / game81.075.087.0
Point differential-4.5-3.0-6.0
Avg total157.5147.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus220100%89.574.0+15.5
2 Zwolle110100%77.062.0+15.0
3 Tartu Ulikool110100%83.071.0+12.0
4 Voluntari43175%80.869.5+11.2
5 Newcastle Eagles32167%89.783.0+6.7
6 Zielona Gora32167%98.095.0+3.0
7 Siauliai32167%87.392.7-5.3
8 Bristol Flyers21150%82.574.5+8.0
9 Lublin21150%87.582.5+5.0
10 Liege21150%85.084.0+1.0
11 Brno2020%76.581.0-4.5
12 Valmiera Glass Via2020%87.098.0-11.0
13 Spartak Pleven2020%72.086.5-14.5
14 Svendborg2020%62.089.5-27.5
15 Keila KK1010%53.082.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zielona Gora2314262386
Brno1519261474
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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