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Liege vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 94-93
23-23 23-19 26-25 22-26
Position#6
Record1-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game81.0
Liege 🏆
Belgium
vs
Position#5
Record3-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game65.0
BelgiumBelgian CupBelgian Cup - Quarter-finals· Country Hall
Other2023
Meetings · Liege v Leuven Bears
10 Jan 2024
LIE77
LEUV75
11 Dec 2023
LIE94
LEUV93
18 Feb 2023
LIE78
LEUV74
01 Oct 2021
LIE94
LEUV97
21 Apr 2020
LIE v LEUV
upcoming
20 Oct 2019
LIE63
LEUV67
28 Apr 2019
LIE76
LEUV82
27 Feb 2019
LIE83
LEUV84
31 Mar 2018
LIE70
LEUV72
19 Dec 2017
LIE95
LEUV80
10 May 2017
LIE70
LEUV58
03 Feb 2017
LIE68
LEUV71
02 Apr 2016
LIE101
LEUV97
26 Jan 2016
LIE85
LEUV74
02 May 2015
LIE86
LEUV83
10 Dec 2014
LIE89
LEUV70
02 May 2014
LIE64
LEUV65
29 Jan 2014
LIE68
LEUV64
01 Nov 2013
LIE88
LEUV92
22 Mar 2013
LIE80
LEUV66
06 Dec 2012
LIE75
LEUV85
02 Mar 2012
LIE76
LEUV78
15 Feb 2012
LIE81
LEUV74
29 Mar 2011
LIE74
LEUV60
04 Mar 2011
LIE52
LEUV67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiegeBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
71-81
71
81
-10
58avg 70
A28/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
75-72
75
72
+3
67avg 70
H05/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
83-80
83
80
+3
83avg 70
A10/11
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
58avg 70
A15/11
ENBL
Mechelen
#8
W
63-50
63
50
+13
51avg 70
A18/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
64avg 70
A25/11
BNXT League
Keila KK
#12
W
96-92
96
92
+4
97avg 70
A28/11
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 70
H01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
70-90
70
90
-20
no box
A08/12
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
19-18
21-19
23-22
37-40
2-5
9-24
23-12
20-17
19-12
22-27
14-16
25-21
19-23
23-21
16-15
13-21
19-23
15-26
21-19
16-19
18-15
9-9
20-7
15-24
23-17
16-17
14-8
20-20
29-22
18-16
29-34
20-14
22-21
25-27
16-23
17-23
18-20
20-23
15-24
154.3Avg total
75.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.781.0155.7-6.333%
Season at home (1)81.080.0161.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)71.581.5153.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)75.878.5154.3-2.760%
Last 5 (5)76.076.6152.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.087.5161.5-13.50%
vs Similar (15)77.779.3157.0-1.553%
vs Weaker (9)88.171.9160.0+16.289%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
74avg 66
H14/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#11
W
67-57
67
57
+10
no box
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
64avg 66
A28/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
67avg 66
H31/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 66
A09/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
84-60
84
60
+24
84avg 66
H14/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
69-88
69
88
-19
50avg 66
A19/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
64-79
64
79
-15
55avg 66
A26/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
90-70
90
70
+20
no box
H08/12
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
23-21
13-7
21-9
–
–
–
–
17-16
15-14
18-14
17-13
12-24
16-17
28-28
19-22
19-21
21-19
19-22
14-22
18-21
16-19
15-20
19-20
23-15
20-18
21-10
20-17
9-22
22-24
19-23
19-19
14-10
13-20
19-22
18-27
23-17
20-18
23-20
24-15
148.2Avg total
74.7Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.365.0142.3+12.3100%
Season at home (2)78.563.5142.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.773.5148.2+1.250%
Last 5 (5)75.075.4150.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.078.8153.8-3.840%
vs Similar (10)78.175.0153.1+3.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.169.1151.2+12.973%
This opponent (Liege) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
LiegeLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H05/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/11
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/11
ENBL
Mechelen
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/11
BNXT League
Keila KK
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A28/11
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A08/12
Belgian Cup
78.5Avg total
38.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.139.079.1+1.141%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.536.078.5+6.569%-
Last 30 away (16)38.141.479.6-3.319%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.678.5-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.078.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.843.380.2-6.517%-
vs Similar (14)37.439.176.4-1.729%-
vs Weaker (9)46.436.082.4+10.478%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H14/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A28/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H14/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A19/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A26/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H08/12
Belgian Cup
73.7Avg total
36.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.935.976.8+4.969%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.533.377.8+11.293%-
Last 30 away (15)37.538.475.9-0.947%-
Last 10 (9)36.237.473.7-1.244%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.872.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.238.274.4-2.060%-
vs Similar (10)40.238.278.4+2.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.033.576.5+9.579%-
This opponent (Liege) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 57.6 points a game
50%
28%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.3
54.7%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.4
34.3%
33.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.414.0
72.2%
71.0%14.0
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 57.6 points a game
50%
28%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.3
50.3%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.26.2
32.3%
33.8%18.6
🏀 Free throws15.311.5
75.2%
71.0%11.5
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege
LLWWWLWWLW
Leuven Bears
WLLWLLLWWW
#6
League position
#5
+1.0
Net rating
-3.6
105.1
Offensive rating
104.1
104.1
Defensive rating
107.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.7%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
21.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.3%
3-point %
32.3%
54.7%
Assist %
54.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 104.1Defence104.1 · 107.8Shooting53.4% · 49.7%3-point %34.3% · 32.3%Ball care21.5% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.2% · 29.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Liege   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Liege wins
7
Leuven Bears wins
DateGameScore
08/12/23Leuven Bears v Liege90-70
07/10/23Leuven Bears v Liege78-84
18/02/23Liege v Leuven Bears78-74
19/11/22Leuven Bears v Liege92-76
18/01/22Leuven Bears v Liege78-62
01/10/21Liege v Leuven Bears94-97 OT
19/12/19Leuven Bears v Liege79-56
20/10/19Liege v Leuven Bears63-67
28/04/19Liege v Leuven Bears76-82
26/04/19Leuven Bears v Liege76-78
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23ALeuven Bears70-90
01/12/23HKortrijk83-85
28/11/23AKeila KK96-92
25/11/23ABelfius Mons68-66
18/11/23AMechelen63-50
15/11/23AVoluntari68-89
10/11/23AOkapi Aalst83-80
05/11/23HLimburg75-72
28/10/23AAntwerp Giants71-81
22/10/23HKortrijk81-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23HLiege90-70
26/11/23ACircus Brussels64-79
19/11/23AKortrijk69-88
14/11/23HOkapi Aalst84-60
09/11/23ALimburg68-80
31/10/23HMechelen73-84
28/10/23AOostende75-91
22/10/23HBelfius Mons67-57
20/10/23ABelfius Mons75-68
14/10/23HSpirou Charleroi82-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege
Belgian Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game74.781.071.5
Allowed / game81.080.081.5
Point differential-6.3+1.0-10.0
Avg total155.7161.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
Belgian Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.378.575.0
Allowed / game65.063.568.0
Point differential+12.3+15.0+7.0
Avg total142.3142.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen220100%95.574.5+21.0
2 Leuven Bears330100%77.365.0+12.3
3 Spirou Charleroi32167%71.060.0+11.0
4 Oostende32167%79.068.7+10.3
5 Limburg32167%72.765.7+7.0
6 Antwerp Giants21150%84.578.5+6.0
7 Okapi Aalst21150%70.576.0-5.5
8 Liege31233%74.781.0-6.3
9 Circus Brussels41325%65.864.0+1.8
10 Kortrijk2020%76.577.0-0.5
11 Belfius Mons2020%62.571.0-8.5
12 LDP Donza1010%61.076.0-15.0
13 BCCA Neufchateau1010%80.0101.0-21.0
14 BC Ninane1010%69.098.0-29.0
15 Ciney1010%67.0100.0-33.0
16 Mailleux Comblain1010%64.0101.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege2323262294
Leuven Bears2319252693
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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