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Brno vs NH Ostrava Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 84-83
Projected total 167.1
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game82.1
Brno
Czech Republic
Vs
55%
45%
■ BRNO 55%■ NH O 45%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.4/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
NH Ostrava
Czech Republic
Position#4
Record7-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game79.1
Czech RepublicNBLRound 13· Starez Aréna Vodova
Other2026-27
Meetings · Brno v NH Ostrava
18 Nov 2026
BRNO v NH O
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
BRNO100
NH O88
20 Dec 2025
BRNO84
NH O82
27 Oct 2024
BRNO68
NH O84
03 Jan 2024
BRNO94
NH O69
15 Feb 2023
BRNO91
NH O55
23 Nov 2022
BRNO82
NH O72
09 Oct 2021
BRNO87
NH O82
27 Jan 2021
BRNO98
NH O62
16 Jan 2021
BRNO86
NH O50
21 Mar 2020
BRNO v NH O
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
BRNO86
NH O59
15 Jan 2020
BRNO83
NH O85
06 Oct 2018
BRNO77
NH O68
25 Apr 2018
BRNO120
NH O68
21 Mar 2018
BRNO75
NH O76
03 Jan 2018
BRNO86
NH O67
12 Apr 2017
BRNO83
NH O81
25 Mar 2017
BRNO59
NH O69
23 Jan 2017
BRNO73
NH O79
21 Dec 2016
BRNO67
NH O73
16 Mar 2016
BRNO78
NH O76
09 Dec 2015
BRNO69
NH O50
18 Mar 2015
BRNO93
NH O87
25 Oct 2014
BRNO79
NH O73
25 Jan 2014
BRNO93
NH O89
26 Oct 2013
BRNO88
NH O79
30 Oct 2010
BRNO79
NH O83
20 Jan 2010
BRNO92
NH O76
07 Oct 2009
BRNO87
NH O68
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The NBL clash on 18 November 2026 between Brno and NH Ostrava is a tightly contested affair with no clear favourite, as the two sides sit only a single win apart in the standings, Brno 5-6 and NH Ostrava 6-4, and the model gives Brno a 55% edge over NH Ostrava's 45%. Brno has averaged 81.0 points per game while conceding 82.1, and at home they are 3-2 with 86.4 points for and 84.6 against, winning four of their last five outings, including a 82-64 victory over Hradec Kralove and an 81-76 win over Olomoucko, though they fell 82-95 to Srsni Pisek. NH Ostrava, meanwhile, has posted 85.0 points for and 79.8 against overall, but their road form is 1-3 with 84.8 points for and 87.8 against, and they have won three of their last five games, notably a 82-64 win over Plzen and an 82-61 triumph over Usti n. Labem, yet they lost 82-85 to USK Prague. Historically, Brno has dominated the series 8-2, but NH Ostrava's last encounter on 23 September 2026 saw them win 85-76. The Pythia model projects a close 84-83 scoreline for Brno, with a total of 167.1 points and a 5% chance of overtime, and Brno is slightly favoured to cover the line. The next game will see Brno hosting NH Ostrava at the Brno Sports Hall.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brno win
55.1%fair 1.81
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
NH Ostrava win
44.9%fair 2.23
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrnoCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrno
Date
Competition
NH Ostrava
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
66avg 75
A23/09
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
96-108
96
108
-12
98avg 75
H26/09
NBL
Decin
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
64avg 75
A30/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
L
68-83
68
83
-15
57avg 75
A04/10
NBL
Plzen
#12
W
83-69
83
69
+14
77avg 75
A11/10
NBL
USK Prague
#8
W
91-80
91
80
+11
90avg 75
H18/10
NBL
Opava
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
73avg 75
A24/10
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
82-95
82
95
-13
68avg 75
H28/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#11
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H04/11
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#10
W
82-64
82
64
+18
no box
H07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
16-15
29-22
16-24
24-25
21-28
34-29
17-26
17-32
16-17
23-21
22-16
17-17
12-25
20-18
19-23
25-20
23-8
17-20
18-21
28-16
13-15
27-25
23-24
20-25
30-8
11-21
14-18
28-31
17-21
20-18
17-25
24-14
19-19
13-24
25-19
18-15
22-17
23-12
19-20
163.0Avg total
81.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.082.1163.1-1.145%
Season at home (5)86.484.6171.0+1.860%
Season away (6)76.580.0156.5-3.533%
Last 10 (10)81.281.8163.0-0.650%
Last 5 (5)82.277.4159.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)81.490.1171.4-8.714%
vs Similar (12)79.880.4160.2-0.750%
vs Weaker (4)80.270.2150.5+10.0100%
This opponent (NH Ostrava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NH OstravaCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOstrava
Date
Competition
Brno
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
77avg 74
H23/09
NBL
Olomoucko
#11
L
76-77
76
77
-1
71avg 74
A27/09
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
88avg 74
H30/09
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
98-110
98
110
-12
82avg 74
A03/10
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
W
91-79
91
79
+12
89avg 74
H17/10
NBL
Decin
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
66avg 74
A24/10
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
W
82-61
82
61
+21
83avg 74
H28/10
NBL
Plzen
#12
W
82-64
82
64
+18
71avg 74
H31/10
NBL
USK Prague
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
H07/11
NBL
Opava
#9
W
77-72
77
72
+5
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
15-16
22-29
24-16
18-23
25-22
19-15
14-17
28-21
23-20
19-23
19-18
23-29
27-20
18-30
30-31
10-15
20-33
31-18
30-13
10-26
21-23
22-15
23-23
17-14
19-20
20-14
26-13
17-11
25-15
20-16
20-22
20-29
24-18
14-14
24-24
18-15
21-22
17-20
21-15
163.1Avg total
83.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.379.1163.4+5.264%
Season at home (7)84.074.1158.1+9.986%
Season away (4)84.887.8172.5-3.025%
Last 10 (10)83.879.3163.1+4.560%
Last 5 (5)79.873.8153.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)80.9101.5182.5-20.611%
vs Similar (4)85.274.0159.2+11.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.976.1159.0+6.771%
This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163
Over 163
59.2%
Under 163
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168
Over 168
46.9%
Under 168
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173
Over 173
35.1%
Under 173
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Brno total 82.5
Over 82.5
56.6%
Under 82.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brno total 86.5
Over 86.5
41.3%
Under 86.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brno total 90.5
Over 90.5
27.2%
Under 90.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NH Ostrava total 78
Over 78
68.3%
Under 78
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NH Ostrava total 82
Over 82
52.9%
Under 82
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NH Ostrava total 86
Over 86
37.2%
Under 86
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Brno -3
BRNO -3
46.0%
NH O +3
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
BRNO
No market prices yet.
NH O
No market prices yet.
Spread Brno 0
BRNO 0
55.1%
NH O 0
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
BRNO
No market prices yet.
NH O
No market prices yet.
Spread Brno +3
BRNO +3
64.1%
NH O -3
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
BRNO
No market prices yet.
NH O
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +3.9+3.9
BrnoNH Ostrava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NH Ostrava
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A23/09
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H26/09
NBL
Decin
#5
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A30/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A04/10
NBL
Plzen
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A11/10
NBL
USK Prague
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H18/10
NBL
Opava
#9
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A24/10
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H28/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H04/11
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H07/11
NBL
79.7Avg total
40.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.342.983.2-2.734%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.541.484.9+2.153%-
Last 30 away (14)36.944.681.4-7.714%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.279.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.280.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.144.983.0-6.77%-
vs Similar (11)41.244.685.8-3.545%-
vs Weaker (4)45.231.576.8+13.8100%-
This opponent (NH Ostrava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NH OstravaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brno
#7
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H23/09
NBL
Olomoucko
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A27/09
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#10
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H30/09
NBL
Pardubice
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A03/10
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H17/10
NBL
Decin
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A24/10
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H28/10
NBL
Plzen
#12
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H31/10
NBL
USK Prague
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H07/11
NBL
Opava
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/11
NBL
81.2Avg total
40.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.447.487.8-7.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.944.683.5-5.835%-
Last 30 away (13)42.451.193.5-8.731%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.781.2-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.677.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.152.291.3-13.116%-
vs Similar (4)39.841.881.5-2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.337.982.1+6.471%-
This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brno: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
46%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.4
49.1%
52.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.9
29.6%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws27.418.6
67.9%
68.8%18.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NH Ostravatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NH Ostrava: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
46%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.2
51.5%
52.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.9
33.6%
32.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws23.315.7
67.4%
68.8%15.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brno
WWLWWWLLLL
NH Ostrava
WLWWLWLWLW
#7
League position
#4
-5.4
Net rating
+1.4
85.5
Offensive rating
92.2
90.8
Defensive rating
90.8
47.2%
Effective FG%
51.0%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.6%
3-point %
33.6%
70.7%
Assist %
60.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 92.2Defence90.8 · 90.8Shooting47.2% · 51.0%3-point %29.6% · 33.6%Ball care17.5% · 16.7%Free throws0.41 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Brno   ■ NH Ostrava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Brno wins
2
NH Ostrava wins
DateGameScore
23/09/26NH Ostrava v Brno85-76
04/04/26NH Ostrava v Brno77-102
17/02/26Brno v NH Ostrava100-88
20/12/25Brno v NH Ostrava84-82
18/10/25NH Ostrava v Brno80-94
04/01/25NH Ostrava v Brno75-82
27/10/24Brno v NH Ostrava68-84
03/01/24Brno v NH Ostrava94-69
21/10/23NH Ostrava v Brno79-83
25/03/23NH Ostrava v Brno74-82
Brnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HHradec Kralove82-64
04/11/26HOlomoucko81-76
28/10/26HSrsni Pisek82-95
24/10/26AOpava75-72
18/10/26HUSK Prague91-80
11/10/26APlzen83-69
04/10/26AUsti n. Labem68-83
30/09/26ADecin78-86
26/09/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK96-108
23/09/26ANH Ostrava76-85
NH Ostravalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOpava77-72
07/11/26HUSK Prague82-85
31/10/26HPlzen82-64
28/10/26HUsti n. Labem82-61
24/10/26ADecin76-87
17/10/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK91-79
03/10/26APardubice98-110
30/09/26HHradec Kralove89-82
27/09/26AOlomoucko76-77
23/09/26HBrno85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brno
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game81.086.476.5
Allowed / game82.184.680.0
Point differential-1.1+1.8-3.5
Avg total163.1171.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NH Ostrava
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%86%25%
Points / game84.384.084.8
Allowed / game79.174.187.8
Point differential+5.2+9.9-3.0
Avg total163.4158.1172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slavia Prague ERA NBK1211192%98.980.9+18.0
2 Pardubice1311285%89.678.2+11.4
3 Srsni Pisek107370%90.584.0+6.5
4 NH Ostrava117464%84.379.1+5.2
5 Decin138562%85.578.2+7.4
6 Usti n. Labem116555%85.880.6+5.2
7 Brno115645%81.082.1-1.1
8 USK Prague115645%83.885.4-1.5
9 Opava124833%82.289.2-7.0
10 Hradec Kralove113827%83.491.7-8.4
11 Olomoucko111109%66.087.5-21.5
12 Plzen121118%76.993.4-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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