Brno vs Pardubice Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 17:30

Projected 79-86

Projected total 165.1

Final 108-109 (OT)

12-18 23-12 25-21 16-25 32-33

Position#8

Record5-6

FormWWLWW

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game82.1

Brno

27%

73%

■ BRNO 27%■ PAR 73%

Pythia win probability

Pardubice 🏆

Position#2

Record11-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game89.6

Allowed / game78.2

NBLRound 12· Starez Aréna Vodova

Other2026-27

Meetings · Brno v Pardubice

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Brno will host Pardubice on 14 November 2026 in the NBL, with the model favouring Pardubice and predicting a 73% chance of an away win and a 27% chance for Brno, projecting a final score of 79-86 and a total of 165.1 points. Brno, sitting seventh with a 5-6 record, averages 81.0 points scored and 82.1 points allowed, while at home they are 3-2, scoring 86.4 and allowing 84.6; their last five games were 4-1, including wins over Hradec Kralove 82-64 and Olomoucko 81-76 and a loss to Srsni Pisek 82-95. Pardubice, in second place, boasts an 11-2 record, averaging 89.6 points scored and 78.2 points allowed, and on the road they are 6-1, scoring 86.6 and allowing 77.6; their last five games were also 4-1, highlighted by a 99-80 win over Opava and a 95-98 loss to Juventus. Historically, Pardubice leads the series 6-4 and won the most recent meeting 85-79 on 19 September 2026. The spread of 7.0 points gives Pardubice a 50% chance to cover, while the total of 168.0 points carries a 42% probability of the over, and there is a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brno winLost

27.3%fair 3.66

Best odds3.40

Implied27.1%

Edge+0.2pp

Pardubice winWon

72.7%fair 1.38

Best odds1.33

Implied72.9%

Edge-0.2pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brno

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBrno

Date

Competition

NH Ostrava

76-85

-9

66avg 76

A23/09

NBL

Slavia Prague ERA NBK

96-108

108

-12

98avg 76

H26/09

NBL

Decin

78-86

-8

64avg 76

A30/09

NBL

Usti n. Labem

68-83

-15

57avg 76

A04/10

NBL

Plzen

#11

83-69

+14

77avg 76

A11/10

NBL

USK Prague

91-80

+11

90avg 76

H18/10

NBL

Opava

#10

75-72

73avg 76

A24/10

NBL

Srsni Pisek

82-95

-13

68avg 76

H28/10

NBL

Olomoucko

#12

81-76

no box

H04/11

NBL

Hradec Kralove

82-64

+18

no box

H07/11

NBL

15-24

16-15

29-22

16-24

24-25

21-28

34-29

17-26

17-32

16-17

23-21

22-16

17-17

12-25

20-18

19-23

25-20

23-8

17-20

18-21

28-16

13-15

27-25

23-24

20-25

30-8

11-21

14-18

28-31

17-21

20-18

17-25

24-14

19-19

13-24

25-19

18-15

22-17

23-12

19-20

163.0Avg total

81.2Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	81.0	82.1	163.1	-1.1	45%
Season at home (5)	86.4	84.6	171.0	+1.8	60%
Season away (6)	76.5	80.0	156.5	-3.5	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	81.8	163.0	-0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	77.4	159.6	+4.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	81.4	90.1	171.4	-8.7	14%
vs Similar (12)	79.8	80.4	160.2	-0.7	50%
vs Weaker (4)	80.2	70.2	150.5	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Pardubice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pardubice

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPardubice

Date

Competition

Slavia Prague ERA NBK

60-105

105

-45

36avg 80

A10/10

NBL

Olomoucko

#12

88-61

+27

87avg 80

H14/10

NBL

Decin

79-82

-3

68avg 80

H17/10

NBL

Unicaja

63-79

-16

51avg 80

H20/10

Champions League

Usti n. Labem

83-64

+19

71avg 80

A25/10

NBL

Plzen

#11

98-74

+24

92avg 80

H28/10

NBL

USK Prague

102-85

102

+17

98avg 80

A31/10

NBL

Juventus

#19

95-98 OT

-3

no box

A03/11

Champions League

Opava

#10

99-80

+19

no box

H07/11

NBL

Decin

81-75

no box

A11/11

NBL

21-24

17-30

11-21

11-30

18-13

25-9

28-16

17-23

27-17

27-23

8-20

17-22

17-21

16-24

15-19

15-15

27-12

23-21

7-13

26-18

21-21

24-18

34-12

19-23

31-24

22-23

21-23

28-15

21-21

25-19

23-35

20-14

34-13

23-28

20-20

22-19

23-13

18-20

18-22

22-20

165.1Avg total

84.8Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	89.6	78.2	167.8	+11.4	85%
Season at home (6)	93.2	79.0	172.2	+14.2	83%
Season away (7)	86.6	77.6	164.1	+9.0	86%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	80.3	165.1	+4.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	95.0	82.4	177.4	+12.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	74.6	84.5	159.1	-9.9	30%
vs Similar (3)	85.0	85.0	170.0	+0.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	91.7	78.1	169.8	+13.6	88%

This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 163.5Actual: Over 163.5

Over 163.5

53.1%

@ 1.53-6.9pp

Under 163.5

46.9%

@ 2.30+6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.53

Marathon Be

1.51

Under

Betano

2.30

Over/Under 168.75 · main lineActual: Over 168.75

Over 168.75

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under 168.75

no forecast

@ 1.79

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.79

Over/Under 173.5Actual: Over 173.5

Over 173.5

30.0%

@ 2.45-9.3pp

Under 173.5

70.0%

@ 1.57+9.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.45

Bet365

2.25

Under

Bet365

1.57

Marathon Be

1.51

Betano

1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Brno total 76.5Actual: Brno over 76.5

Over 76.5

59.5%

@ 1.42-4.9pp

Under 76.5

40.5%

@ 2.70+4.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.41

1xBet

1.37

Under

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.42

Brno total 80.5 · main lineActual: Brno over 80.5

Over 80.5

44.1%

@ 1.85-6.2pp

Under 80.5

55.9%

@ 1.85+6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.83

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.70

Under

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.84

Betano

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Brno total 84.5Actual: Brno over 84.5

Over 84.5

29.8%

@ 2.57-7.7pp

Under 84.5

70.2%

@ 1.50+7.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.57

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.33

Under

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.40

Pardubice total 84.5Actual: Pardubice over 84.5

Over 84.5

55.7%

@ 1.50-5.2pp

Under 84.5

44.3%

@ 2.37+5.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.44

Under

Betano

2.37

1xBet

2.21

Pardubice total 88.5 · main lineActual: Pardubice over 88.5

Over 88.5

40.0%

@ 1.98-7.9pp

Under 88.5

60.0%

@ 1.85+7.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.98

Marathon Be

1.90

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.82

Under

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.75

Betano

1.72

1xBet

1.64

Pardubice total 92.5Actual: Pardubice over 92.5

Over 92.5

25.8%

@ 2.56-8.5pp

Under 92.5

74.2%

@ 1.34+8.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.56

Under

1xBet

1.34

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Brno +4Actual: Brno +4

BRNO +4

38.3%

@ 2.40-0.5pp

PAR -4

61.7%

@ 1.52+0.5pp

Best 5 market prices

BRNO

Bet365

2.40

PAR

Bet365

1.52

Marathon Be

1.51

Spread Brno +7 · main lineActual: Brno +7

BRNO +7

50.1%

@ 1.87-0.1pp

PAR -7

49.9%

@ 1.88+0.1pp

Best 5 market prices

BRNO

SBO

1.87

Pinnacle

1.86

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.84

PAR

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.81

Bet365

1.80

SBO

1.79

Spread Brno +10Actual: Brno +10

BRNO +10

61.5%

@ 1.60+3.6pp

PAR -10

38.5%

@ 2.20-3.6pp

Best 5 market prices

BRNO

Bet365

1.60

PAR

Bet365

2.20

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BrnoPardubice

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (29)	21.1	22.2	43.4	-1.1	41%	55%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	19.7	43.1	+3.7	73%	47%
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	24.9	43.6	-6.2	7%	64%
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.9	43.5	-0.3	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.2	43.8	+3.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.4	21%	43%
vs Similar (11)	23.0	24.1	47.1	-1.1	55%	73%
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	18.5	40.2	+3.2	75%	50%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (13)	22.8	19.3	42.1	+3.5	69%	54%
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	35%	29%
Last 10 (10)	24.0	17.9	41.9	+6.1	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	26.0	18.4	44.4	+7.6	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.2	20.7	37.9	-3.5	20%	30%
vs Similar (3)	23.7	17.0	40.7	+6.7	67%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.0	19.8	42.8	+3.2	65%	47%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (29)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	34%	34%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	21.7	41.7	-1.6	40%	53%
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	19.6	37.8	-1.5	29%	14%
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.3	36.2	+1.6	40%	10%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.0	36.2	+4.2	40%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.6	23.0	41.6	-4.4	14%	43%
vs Similar (11)	18.2	20.5	38.7	-2.4	45%	36%
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	13.0	36.5	+10.5	75%	0%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	57%	60%
Last 30 at home (13)	22.1	20.1	42.2	+2.0	62%	46%
Last 30 away (17)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.3	53%	71%
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.8	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.2	22.3	42.5	-2.1	30%	60%
vs Similar (3)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.7	67%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.0	19.4	42.4	+3.6	71%	59%

BrnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NH Ostrava

31-39

-8

A23/09

NBL

Slavia Prague ERA NBK

45-53

-8

H26/09

NBL

Decin

33-49

-16

A30/09

NBL

Usti n. Labem

29-42

-13

A04/10

NBL

Plzen

#11

48-28

+20

A11/10

NBL

USK Prague

41-31

+10

H18/10

NBL

Opava

#10

50-33

+17

A24/10

NBL

Srsni Pisek

45-52

-7

H28/10

NBL

Olomoucko

#12

43-33

+10

H04/11

NBL

Hradec Kralove

40-32

H07/11

NBL

79.7Avg total

40.5Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.5
Last 30 (29)	40.3	42.9	83.2	-2.7	34%	38%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	41.4	84.9	+2.1	53%	47%
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	44.6	81.4	-7.7	14%	29%
Last 10 (10)	40.5	39.2	79.7	+1.3	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	43.8	36.2	80.0	+7.6	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.1	44.9	83.0	-6.7	7%	29%
vs Similar (11)	41.2	44.6	85.8	-3.5	45%	64%
vs Weaker (4)	45.2	31.5	76.8	+13.8	100%	0%

This opponent (Pardubice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PardubiceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Slavia Prague ERA NBK

38-54

-16

A10/10

NBL

Olomoucko

#12

43-22

+21

H14/10

NBL

Decin

54-40

+14

H17/10

NBL

Unicaja

33-45

-12

H20/10

Champions League

Usti n. Labem

50-33

+17

A25/10

NBL

Plzen

#11

45-39

H28/10

NBL

USK Prague

53-47

A31/10

NBL

Juventus

#19

46-40

A03/11

Champions League

Opava

#10

57-41

+16

H07/11

NBL

Decin

41-33

A11/11

NBL

85.4Avg total

46.0Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.5
Last 30 (30)	43.2	40.3	83.5	+2.9	70%	40%
Last 30 at home (13)	44.8	39.4	84.2	+5.5	77%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	65%	47%
Last 10 (10)	46.0	39.4	85.4	+6.6	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	48.4	40.0	88.4	+8.4	100%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.4	43.0	80.4	-5.6	40%	30%
vs Similar (3)	47.0	37.7	84.7	+9.3	100%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	46.0	39.2	85.2	+6.8	82%	41%

This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Brno win

BRNO win

no forecast

@ 2.87

PAR win

no forecast

@ 1.44

1st half Spread Brno +3.5 · main lineActual: Brno +3.5

BRNO +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

PAR -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 84.5 · main lineActual: Under 84.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.98

Brno 1st half total 40 · main lineActual: Brno under 40

Over

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under

no forecast

@ 1.88

Pardubice 1st half total 44 · main lineActual: Pardubice under 44

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half: BRNO + total 85.5

BRNO & over

no forecast

@ 5.00

BRNO & under

no forecast

@ 5.25

1st half: Draw + total 85.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 31.00

1st half: PAR + total 85.5

PAR & over

no forecast

@ 2.85

PAR & under

no forecast

@ 2.95

1st half Over/Under 83.25Actual: Under 83.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 85.75Actual: Under 85.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.89

Under

no forecast

@ 1.74

1st half Spread Brno +2.5Actual: Brno +2.5

BRNO +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

PAR -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Spread Brno +4.5Actual: Brno +4.5

BRNO +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.82

PAR -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Under 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.44

Under

no forecast

@ 2.62

1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Under 87.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.15

Under

no forecast

@ 1.66

1st half Spread Brno +1.5Actual: Brno +1.5

BRNO +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

PAR -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.58

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Draw after regulation

BRNO

no forecast

@ 2.87

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

PAR

no forecast

@ 1.50

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (29)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	55%	55%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.3	53%	47%
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	57%	64%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	50%	50%
vs Similar (11)	23.6	20.1	43.7	+3.5	73%	82%
vs Weaker (4)	16.0	19.2	35.2	-3.2	25%	0%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	47%	60%
Last 30 at home (13)	23.1	19.3	42.4	+3.8	62%	62%
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	21.1	40.6	-1.5	35%	59%
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.4	45.6	+0.8	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.5	40%	60%
vs Similar (3)	16.3	25.7	42.0	-9.3	0%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.8	18.5	40.3	+3.4	59%	65%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (29)	21.0	22.1	43.1	-1.1	38%	41%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	23.2	46.2	-0.2	40%	60%
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.9	39.9	-2.0	36%	21%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.8	24.7	46.5	-2.9	29%	57%
vs Similar (11)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	55%	27%
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	25%	25%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	53%	40%
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.8	38%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.1	65%	47%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.2	40.4	+4.0	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	15.9	19.7	35.6	-3.8	20%	20%
vs Similar (3)	19.7	18.7	38.3	+1.0	67%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.9	20.4	44.3	+3.5	71%	53%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82
Last 30 (29)	42.6	42.3	84.8	+0.3	38%	52%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	43.5	87.2	+0.1	40%	53%
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	40.9	82.3	+0.4	36%	50%
Last 10 (10)	40.7	42.6	83.3	-1.9	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	38.4	41.2	79.6	-2.8	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	43.2	45.2	88.4	-2.0	21%	64%
vs Similar (11)	44.5	39.8	84.3	+4.6	64%	55%
vs Weaker (4)	35.0	38.8	73.8	-3.8	25%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82
Last 30 (30)	41.9	40.3	82.2	+1.6	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (13)	43.5	40.6	84.2	+2.9	62%	62%
Last 30 away (17)	40.6	40.1	80.7	+0.6	47%	35%
Last 10 (10)	38.2	40.0	78.2	-1.8	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	45.4	40.6	86.0	+4.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.2	41.5	78.7	-4.3	20%	20%
vs Similar (3)	36.0	44.3	80.3	-8.3	0%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	45.7	38.9	84.6	+6.8	82%	65%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BRNO win + total 168.5

🔒 Pro

PAR win + total 168.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BRNO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PAR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (BRNO:PAR): BRNO wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Pardubice under 95.5	82.8%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Lost
Pardubice under 93.5	77.3%	1.34	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Lost
Under 179.5	81.0%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Lost
Under 173.5	70.0%	1.52	Bet365 1.57	Marathon Bet 1.51	Betano 1.47	-	-	+9.3pp	Lost
Under 174.5	72.1%	1.47	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Lost
Pardubice under 92.5	74.2%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Lost
Pardubice under 91.5	70.9%	1.46	Bet365 1.55	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+8.4pp	Lost
Under 184.5	87.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Lost
Brno under 86.5	76.4%	1.33	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
Brno under 88.5	81.7%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Lost
Brno under 85.5	73.4%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Lost
Brno under 84.5	70.2%	1.44	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+7.7pp	Lost
Brno under 91.5	88.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Brno under 92.5	89.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Lost
Under 175.5	74.0%	1.38	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Lost
Brno under 90.5	86.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Lost
Under 189.5	92.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
Brno under 94.5	92.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
Brno +17.5	82.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Under 194.5	95.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Lost
Brno under 98.5	96.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Lost
Brno under 96.5	94.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Lost
Brno under 100.5	97.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Lost
Brno +22.5	91.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Pardubice +17.5	97.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Pardubice +12.5	94.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Pardubice over 67.5	96.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Pardubice over 68.5	95.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.5%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Pardubice over 69.5	94.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Pardubice +7.5	88.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Pardubice over 71.5	92.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Brno +14.5	75.3%	1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Pardubice (regulation)	70.2%	1.31	Betano 1.32	1xBet 1.31	Marathon Bet 1.31	-	-	+2.3pp	Lost
Pardubice +2.5	78.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Brno +13.5	72.4%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Pardubice -1.5	70.2%	1.34	Betano 1.34	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Lost
Pardubice over 73.5	89.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Pardubice +1.5	74.9%	1.24	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Pardubice win	72.7%	1.29	WilliamHill 1.33	1xBet 1.31	Bet365 1.30	Marathon Bet 1.30	Betano 1.29	-0.2pp	Won
Pardubice over 75.5	84.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Over 144.5	89.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Pardubice over 77.5	79.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Pardubice over 78.5	76.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
Brno over 71.5	76.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
Pardubice over 79.5	73.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Brno over 72.5	73.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Won
Over 149.5	82.6%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-4.1pp	Won
Over 154.5	73.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-6.0pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Brnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brno: 81.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game

46%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	19.4	49.1%	52.9%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	7.9	29.6%	32.5%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	27.4	18.6	67.9%	68.8%	18.6

They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Pardubicetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pardubice: 83.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game

46%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	17.9	49.6%	52.9%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.3	11.0	32.1%	32.5%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.0	74.3%	68.8%	15.0

They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	18.4	47.8%	52.9%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.3	9.6	32.8%	32.5%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	29.8	20.6	69.1%	68.8%	20.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.0	53.4%	52.9%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	8.6	31.7%	32.5%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	19.7	13.4	68.0%	68.8%	13.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	18.8	49.3%	52.9%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	8.5	31.2%	32.5%	25.4
🏀 Free throws	28.4	19.9	70.1%	68.8%	19.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	17.3	51.0%	52.9%	34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.0	10.5	32.8%	32.5%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	24.3	18.5	75.9%	68.8%	18.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	18.6	49.5%	52.9%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	9.2	32.2%	32.5%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	29.6	21.2	71.7%	68.8%	21.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	19.1	51.9%	52.9%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	8.3	30.4%	32.5%	25.0
🏀 Free throws	22.8	15.6	68.4%	68.8%	15.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Brno

WWLWWWLLLL

Pardubice

WWLWWWLLWL

League position

-5.4

Net rating

+2.8

85.5

Offensive rating

91.4

90.8

Defensive rating

88.6

47.2%

Effective FG%

48.9%

48.4%

Opp. effective FG%

51.1%

17.5%

Turnover %

14.5%

0.41

Free-throw rate

0.29

29.6%

3-point %

32.1%

70.7%

Assist %

63.0%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Brno ■ Pardubice

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brno wins

Pardubice wins

Date	Game	Score
19/09/26	Pardubice v Brno	85-79
27/05/26	Brno v Pardubice	87-98
25/05/26	Pardubice v Brno	90-75
22/05/26	Brno v Pardubice	90-94
21/05/26	Brno v Pardubice	72-82
18/05/26	Pardubice v Brno	89-92
17/05/26	Pardubice v Brno	82-85
21/03/26	Brno v Pardubice	78-68
28/01/26	Pardubice v Brno	111-69
27/12/25	Pardubice v Brno	64-77

Brnolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Hradec Kralove	82-64
04/11/26	H	Olomoucko	81-76
28/10/26	H	Srsni Pisek	82-95
24/10/26	A	Opava	75-72
18/10/26	H	USK Prague	91-80
11/10/26	A	Plzen	83-69
04/10/26	A	Usti n. Labem	68-83
30/09/26	A	Decin	78-86
26/09/26	H	Slavia Prague ERA NBK	96-108
23/09/26	A	NH Ostrava	76-85

Pardubicelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	A	Decin	81-75
07/11/26	H	Opava	99-80
03/11/26	A	Juventus	95-98 OT
31/10/26	A	USK Prague	102-85
28/10/26	H	Plzen	98-74
25/10/26	A	Usti n. Labem	83-64
20/10/26	H	Unicaja	63-79
17/10/26	H	Decin	79-82
14/10/26	H	Olomoucko	88-61
10/10/26	A	Slavia Prague ERA NBK	60-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brno

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	45%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	LLLWW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	45%	60%	33%
Points / game	81.0	86.4	76.5
Allowed / game	82.1	84.6	80.0
Point differential	-1.1	+1.8	-3.5
Avg total	163.1	171.0	156.5
Over 168.75	27%	60%	0%
Win by 10+	27%	40%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pardubice

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	85%
Home	WWLWW	83%
Away	WLWWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	85%	83%	86%
Points / game	89.6	93.2	86.6
Allowed / game	78.2	79.0	77.6
Point differential	+11.4	+14.2	+9.0
Avg total	167.8	172.2	164.1
Over 168.75	38%	50%	29%
Win by 10+	69%	67%	71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Slavia Prague ERA NBK	12	11	1	92%	98.9	80.9	+18.0
2	Pardubice	13	11	2	85%	89.6	78.2	+11.4
3	Srsni Pisek	10	7	3	70%	90.5	84.0	+6.5
4	NH Ostrava	11	7	4	64%	84.3	79.1	+5.2
5	Decin	13	8	5	62%	85.5	78.2	+7.4
6	Usti n. Labem	11	6	5	55%	85.8	80.6	+5.2
7	Brno	11	5	6	45%	81.0	82.1	-1.1
8	USK Prague	11	5	6	45%	83.8	85.4	-1.5
9	Opava	12	4	8	33%	82.2	89.2	-7.0
10	Hradec Kralove	11	3	8	27%	83.4	91.7	-8.4
11	Olomoucko	11	1	10	9%	66.0	87.5	-21.5
12	Plzen	12	1	11	8%	76.9	93.4	-16.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Brno	12	23	25	16	32	108
Pardubice	18	12	21	25	33	109

← all games of the day

Brno vs Pardubice Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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