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Broncos vs Brillantes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 91-116
31-35 26-29 17-25 17-27
Position#10
Record13-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#8
Record13-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game75.3
VenezuelaSuperligaSuperliga - Semi-finals· Gimnasio José Joaquín Papá Carrillo
Other2024
Meetings · Broncos v Brillantes
18 Jul 2024
BRON103
BRIL87
17 Jul 2024
BRON91
BRIL116
09 Jul 2024
BRON88
BRIL83
03 Jun 2024
BRON76
BRIL69
17 Apr 2023
BRON62
BRIL77
18 Sep 2022
BRON85
BRIL81
23 Apr 2021
BRON80
BRIL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Broncos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brillantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BroncosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBroncos
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
86avg 76
H12/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
64avg 76
H14/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 76
H18/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 76
A21/06
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 76
H24/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
51avg 76
A30/06
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
93-77
93
77
+16
no box
H04/07
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
W
104-73
104
73
+31
110avg 76
H07/07
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
79avg 76
H09/07
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
86-97
86
97
-11
78avg 76
A12/07
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
21-18
22-23
26-14
22-28
16-25
19-20
22-19
23-11
29-19
28-34
14-33
20-21
28-27
11-25
31-25
23-21
24-29
27-17
14-20
20-15
20-22
11-22
19-29
–
–
–
–
37-16
23-21
23-14
21-22
10-20
22-26
27-30
29-7
24-27
26-28
14-20
22-22
178.2Avg total
89.2Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.084.3169.3+0.654%
Season at home (13)89.485.1174.5+4.362%
Season away (11)79.783.5163.2-3.745%
Last 10 (10)89.289.0178.2+0.250%
Last 5 (5)88.283.6171.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.886.0166.8-5.233%
vs Similar (6)89.879.2169.0+10.783%
vs Weaker (12)85.182.8167.9+2.258%
This opponent (Brillantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrillantes
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
67-63
67
63
+4
62avg 72
H08/06
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 72
A11/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
53avg 72
A13/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
67-72
67
72
-5
65avg 72
H21/06
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
W
70-69
70
69
+1
65avg 72
H24/06
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 72
H28/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
89-84
89
84
+5
92avg 72
H01/07
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
62avg 72
A07/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 72
A09/07
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
75-63
75
63
+12
68avg 72
H13/07
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
10-13
26-16
11-16
21-20
19-19
20-20
23-21
29-14
19-18
8-20
13-25
16-13
17-20
20-26
14-13
16-15
17-20
16-20
21-14
22-30
20-15
17-16
21-12
25-29
20-17
23-14
21-24
19-33
22-17
22-20
15-18
20-10
26-22
30-27
7-29
22-18
16-15
19-17
18-13
151.8Avg total
76.1Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.275.3154.5+3.954%
Season at home (13)77.068.7145.7+8.377%
Season away (11)81.883.2165.0-1.427%
Last 10 (10)76.175.7151.8+0.460%
Last 5 (5)81.079.2160.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar (15)75.977.9153.9-2.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.272.4152.7+7.875%
This opponent (Broncos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
BroncosBrillantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H12/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H14/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H18/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A21/06
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H24/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A30/06
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H07/07
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H09/07
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A12/07
Superliga
89.8Avg total
44.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.141.584.6+1.652%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.740.184.8+4.760%-
Last 30 away (14)41.443.084.4-1.643%-
Last 10 (9)44.944.989.8+0.033%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.090.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.042.282.2-2.242%-
vs Similar (6)46.840.887.7+6.050%-
vs Weaker (11)44.541.085.5+3.564%-
This opponent (Brillantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/06
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A13/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H21/06
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/06
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H28/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H01/07
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A07/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A09/07
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H13/07
Superliga
77.2Avg total
39.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.579.0+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.536.172.7+0.440%-
Last 30 away (15)42.542.885.3-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.677.2+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.283.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.746.784.3-9.033%-
vs Similar (15)39.940.580.4-0.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.536.475.9+3.167%-
This opponent (Broncos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broncos: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.5
53.4%
50.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.6
31.6%
32.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.117.9
77.5%
68.8%17.9
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brillantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brillantes: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.123.1
51.2%
50.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.25.0
22.5%
32.2%15.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.4
72.0%
68.8%14.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Broncos
LWWWLWLLLW
Brillantes
WLLWWWLLWW
#10
League position
#8
-0.1
Net rating
+1.6
111.2
Offensive rating
94.8
111.3
Defensive rating
93.2
51.1%
Effective FG%
45.5%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.8%
13.9%
Turnover %
17.3%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.6%
3-point %
22.5%
51.8%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 94.8Defence111.3 · 93.2Shooting51.1% · 45.5%3-point %31.6% · 22.5%Ball care13.9% · 17.3%Off. rebounds28.2% · 24.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Broncos   ■ Brillantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Broncos wins
3
Brillantes wins
DateGameScore
09/07/24Broncos v Brillantes88-83
03/06/24Broncos v Brillantes76-69
07/05/24Brillantes v Broncos71-76
17/04/23Broncos v Brillantes62-77
26/03/23Brillantes v Broncos90-88
18/09/22Broncos v Brillantes85-81
30/07/22Brillantes v Broncos77-72
23/04/21Broncos v Brillantes80-71
03/04/21Brillantes v Broncos67-89
Broncoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/24ASpartans86-97
09/07/24HBrillantes88-83
07/07/24HLlaneros104-73
04/07/24HToros de Aragua93-77
30/06/24AGladiadores70-88
24/06/24HPioneros88-87
21/06/24AFrontinos90-98
18/06/24HTrotamundos94-97
14/06/24HSpartans79-92
12/06/24HTrotamundos100-98 OT
Brillanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/07/24HToros de Aragua75-63
09/07/24ABroncos83-88
07/07/24AGladiadores78-88
01/07/24HFrontinos89-84
28/06/24HPioneros80-73
24/06/24HLlaneros70-69
21/06/24HSpartans67-72
13/06/24ATrotamundos69-77
11/06/24ALlaneros83-80
08/06/24HTrotamundos67-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Broncos
Superliga 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL54%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %54%62%45%
Points / game85.089.479.7
Allowed / game84.385.183.5
Point differential+0.6+4.3-3.7
Avg total169.3174.5163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%23%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %8%15%0%
Brillantes
Superliga 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %54%77%27%
Points / game79.277.081.8
Allowed / game75.368.783.2
Point differential+3.9+8.3-1.4
Avg total154.5145.7165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2422292%87.676.6+11.0
2 Cocodrilos2418675%80.774.6+6.1
3 Guaiqueries2417771%76.871.3+5.5
4 Marinos2416867%77.771.2+6.5
5 Piratas de La Guaira2415962%74.870.7+4.1
6 Trotamundos2415962%82.779.5+3.2
7 Spartans24141058%85.479.8+5.6
8 Pioneros24141058%79.578.0+1.5
9 Brillantes24131154%79.275.3+3.9
10 Heroes de Falcon24131154%75.773.8+2.0
11 Broncos24131154%85.084.3+0.6
12 Gaiteros del Zulia24111346%74.678.8-4.2
13 Frontinos2481633%72.981.2-8.3
14 Panteras2471729%71.275.7-4.5
15 Centauros2361726%76.382.0-5.7
16 Llaneros2351822%76.482.9-6.5
17 Diablos2341917%74.184.6-10.5
18 Toros de Aragua2332013%76.187.8-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Broncos3126171791
Brillantes35292527116
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