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Broncos vs Brillantes Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 76-69
32-16 20-20 16-17 8-16
Position#10
Record6-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game80.9
Broncos 🏆
Venezuela
vs
Position#8
Record7-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game74.3
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio José Joaquín Papá Carrillo
Other2024
Meetings · Broncos v Brillantes
18 Jul 2024
BRON103
BRIL87
17 Jul 2024
BRON91
BRIL116
09 Jul 2024
BRON88
BRIL83
03 Jun 2024
BRON76
BRIL69
17 Apr 2023
BRON62
BRIL77
18 Sep 2022
BRON85
BRIL81
23 Apr 2021
BRON80
BRIL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Broncos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brillantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BroncosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBroncos
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#8
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 72
A07/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
no box
A09/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
65-89
65
89
-24
41avg 72
A12/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
68avg 72
H15/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 72
H18/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
W
74-72
74
72
+2
66avg 72
A21/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 72
A23/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
94avg 72
H25/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
W
104-83
104
83
+21
108avg 72
H29/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
78-77
78
77
+1
71avg 72
A31/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-8
12-19
7-21
30-23
17-19
23-17
11-23
21-14
10-17
15-33
17-19
23-20
20-17
24-19
15-23
22-28
18-26
24-17
22-19
15-20
27-23
12-18
16-17
19-14
26-25
16-17
18-17
28-14
21-25
24-10
19-14
16-31
24-21
25-18
23-24
32-20
26-19
14-15
16-21
22-22
161.0Avg total
81.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.580.9162.5+0.655%
Season at home (4)90.085.5175.5+4.550%
Season away (7)76.778.3155.0-1.657%
Last 10 (10)81.379.7161.0+1.660%
Last 5 (5)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.281.6156.8-6.420%
vs Similar (4)86.878.8165.5+8.075%
vs Weaker (21)87.681.5169.1+6.167%
This opponent (Brillantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrillantes
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
97-58
97
58
+39
93avg 72
H09/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
64-79
64
79
-15
43avg 72
H11/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
94-71
94
71
+23
92avg 72
A13/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
87-75
87
75
+12
80avg 72
A18/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
74avg 72
A20/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
W
85-76
85
76
+9
81avg 72
H22/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
W
75-61
75
61
+14
72avg 72
H24/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
70-68
70
68
+2
60avg 72
H26/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
98-103
98
103
-5
92avg 72
A30/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
W
91-51
91
51
+40
96avg 72
H01/06
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
21-10
31-20
26-17
20-20
16-14
11-22
17-23
24-18
26-20
26-15
18-18
20-20
23-10
21-21
23-24
28-16
24-26
12-22
16-21
25-27
14-19
29-16
17-14
16-18
19-16
23-11
17-16
22-18
19-20
12-15
17-15
18-28
18-28
32-19
30-28
16-11
26-14
27-15
22-11
156.8Avg total
84.1Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.974.3157.2+8.658%
Season at home (7)79.067.0146.0+12.071%
Season away (5)88.484.6173.0+3.840%
Last 10 (10)84.172.7156.8+11.470%
Last 5 (5)83.871.8155.6+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.091.0172.0-10.00%
vs Similar (13)77.578.7156.2-1.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.372.7159.0+13.580%
This opponent (Broncos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
BroncosBrillantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#8
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A07/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A09/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A12/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H18/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A21/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A23/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H25/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H29/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A31/05
Superliga
78.8Avg total
40.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.186.2+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.841.588.4+5.369%-
Last 30 away (17)41.942.684.5-0.741%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.378.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.281.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.840.476.2-4.640%-
vs Similar (4)43.539.583.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker (21)46.143.089.1+3.057%-
This opponent (Brillantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H09/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H11/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A13/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A18/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A20/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H22/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H24/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H26/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A30/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H01/06
Superliga
77.8Avg total
41.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.880.6+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.336.276.5+4.159%-
Last 30 away (13)43.842.185.8+1.754%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.477.8+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.045.081.0-9.050%-
vs Similar (13)39.740.880.5-1.231%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.436.180.5+8.380%-
This opponent (Broncos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broncos: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.419.5
46.0%
50.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.5
34.4%
32.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.417.0
72.6%
68.8%17.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brillantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brillantes: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.124.7
54.8%
50.4%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.6
31.9%
32.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.311.4
69.9%
68.8%11.4
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Broncos
WWWWWLLLLW
Brillantes
WLWWWLWWLW
#10
League position
#8
+0.8
Net rating
+14.5
103.6
Offensive rating
105.1
102.9
Defensive rating
90.6
48.1%
Effective FG%
52.4%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.4%
3-point %
31.9%
56.4%
Assist %
64.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 105.1Defence102.9 · 90.6Shooting48.1% · 52.4%3-point %34.4% · 31.9%Ball care17.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds30.3% · 27.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Broncos   ■ Brillantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Broncos wins
3
Brillantes wins
DateGameScore
07/05/24Brillantes v Broncos71-76
17/04/23Broncos v Brillantes62-77
26/03/23Brillantes v Broncos90-88
18/09/22Broncos v Brillantes85-81
30/07/22Brillantes v Broncos77-72
23/04/21Broncos v Brillantes80-71
03/04/21Brillantes v Broncos67-89
Broncoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/24AFrontinos78-77
29/05/24HLlaneros104-83
25/05/24HToros de Aragua96-90 OT
23/05/24APioneros88-73
21/05/24ALlaneros74-72
18/05/24HGladiadores79-82
15/05/24HPioneros81-87
12/05/24ASpartans65-89
09/05/24ATrotamundos72-73
07/05/24ABrillantes76-71
Brillanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/06/24HPioneros91-51
30/05/24AGladiadores98-103
26/05/24HFrontinos70-68
24/05/24HLlaneros75-61
22/05/24HSpartans85-76
20/05/24ATrotamundos80-85
18/05/24AToros de Aragua87-75
13/05/24AFrontinos94-71
11/05/24HGladiadores64-79
09/05/24HToros de Aragua97-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Broncos
Superliga 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW55%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%50%57%
Points / game81.590.076.7
Allowed / game80.985.578.3
Point differential+0.6+4.5-1.6
Avg total162.5175.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %9%25%0%
Brillantes
Superliga 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game82.979.088.4
Allowed / game74.367.084.6
Point differential+8.6+12.0+3.8
Avg total157.2146.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%43%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores1413193%87.877.5+10.3
2 Cocodrilos1310377%78.372.6+5.7
3 Trotamundos1310377%84.578.8+5.7
4 Marinos139469%78.671.8+6.8
5 Heroes de Falcon117464%71.068.7+2.3
6 Brillantes127558%82.974.3+8.6
7 Piratas de La Guaira127558%72.567.2+5.2
8 Guaiqueries116555%71.470.5+0.8
9 Broncos116555%81.580.9+0.6
10 Pioneros137654%76.380.5-4.2
11 Gaiteros del Zulia136746%74.880.1-5.2
12 Centauros124833%77.477.9-0.5
13 Spartans124833%83.884.3-0.6
14 Frontinos124833%73.280.8-7.6
15 Panteras134931%72.376.8-4.5
16 Llaneros123925%77.481.2-3.8
17 Diablos1431121%74.583.6-9.1
18 Toros de Aragua1321115%76.686.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Broncos322016876
Brillantes1620171669
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