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Broncos vs Cocodrilos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 79-106
15-32 26-30 20-29 18-15
Position#10
Record15-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#3
Record20-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game76.0
VenezuelaSuperligaSuperliga - Final· Gimnasio José Joaquín Papá Carrillo
Other2024
Meetings · Broncos v Cocodrilos
08 Aug 2024
BRON95
COCO94
06 Aug 2024
BRON79
COCO106
05 Aug 2024
BRON91
COCO109
09 Apr 2021
BRON80
COCO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Broncos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cocodrilos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BroncosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBroncos
Date
Competition
Gladiadores
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
51avg 76
A30/06
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
93-77
93
77
+16
no box
H04/07
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
W
104-73
104
73
+31
110avg 76
H07/07
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
79avg 76
H09/07
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
86-97
86
97
-11
78avg 76
A12/07
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
91-116
91
116
-25
73avg 76
H17/07
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
W
103-87
103
87
+16
100avg 76
H19/07
Superliga
Cocodrilos
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
82avg 76
A24/07
Superliga
Cocodrilos
#3
L
79-101
79
101
-22
43avg 76
A25/07
Superliga
Cocodrilos
#3
L
91-109
91
109
-18
86avg 76
H05/08
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
20-22
11-22
19-29
–
–
–
–
37-16
23-21
23-14
21-22
10-20
22-26
27-30
29-7
24-27
26-28
14-20
22-22
31-35
26-29
17-25
17-27
41-15
16-27
23-20
23-25
20-27
20-16
27-19
25-25
17-18
26-29
23-28
13-26
20-31
23-26
24-22
24-30
181.5Avg total
89.7Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)86.087.0173.1-1.052%
Season at home (16)90.488.6179.1+1.856%
Season away (13)80.685.1165.7-4.546%
Last 10 (10)89.791.8181.5-2.150%
Last 5 (5)91.2100.0191.2-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)83.890.1173.9-6.335%
vs Similar (6)89.879.2169.0+10.783%
vs Weaker (7)85.785.3171.0+0.457%
This opponent (Cocodrilos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CocodrilosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCocodrilos
Date
Competition
Piratas de La Guaira
#5
W
84-73
84
73
+11
77avg 80
A19/06
Superliga
Diablos
#17
W
102-71
102
71
+31
109avg 80
H22/06
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
96-92
96
92
+4
94avg 80
H24/06
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
63avg 80
H26/06
Superliga
Centauros
#15
W
101-74
101
74
+27
104avg 80
A30/06
Superliga
Marinos
#6
L
67-100
67
100
-33
56avg 80
A03/07
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#12
L
85-87
85
87
-2
80avg 80
H11/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
87-92
87
92
-5
80avg 80
H24/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
W
101-79
101
79
+22
82avg 80
H25/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
W
109-91
109
91
+18
104avg 80
A05/08
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
15-19
29-15
16-10
24-20
23-9
32-14
23-28
23-24
30-18
17-28
26-22
15-18
22-19
17-29
17-13
29-18
27-18
25-14
20-24
15-20
19-23
15-39
18-18
19-22
24-19
17-24
25-22
27-20
16-20
19-27
25-25
18-17
29-26
28-23
26-13
31-20
26-23
22-24
30-24
174.1Avg total
90.3Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.776.0158.7+6.774%
Season at home (16)88.579.1167.6+9.469%
Season away (11)74.371.5145.7+2.882%
Last 10 (10)90.383.8174.1+6.560%
Last 5 (5)89.889.8179.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)72.374.0146.3-1.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.577.4162.9+8.076%
This opponent (Broncos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
BroncosCocodrilos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gladiadores
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A30/06
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H07/07
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H09/07
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A12/07
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H17/07
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H19/07
Superliga
Cocodrilos
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/07
Superliga
Cocodrilos
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A25/07
Superliga
Cocodrilos
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H05/08
Superliga
94.4Avg total
46.9Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.743.286.9+0.545%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.343.389.6+2.953%-
Last 30 away (14)41.043.184.1-2.136%-
Last 10 (9)46.947.694.4-0.733%-
Last 5 (5)48.050.698.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.444.787.1-2.435%-
vs Similar (6)46.840.887.7+6.050%-
vs Weaker (6)44.541.385.8+3.267%-
This opponent (Cocodrilos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CocodrilosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de La Guaira
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A19/06
Superliga
Diablos
#17
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/06
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H24/06
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H26/06
Superliga
Centauros
#15
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A30/06
Superliga
Marinos
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A03/07
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A05/08
Superliga
85.8Avg total
45.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.538.280.7+4.362%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.239.783.9+4.565%-
Last 30 away (12)40.136.076.1+4.158%-
Last 10 (10)45.640.285.8+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.086.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)41.838.480.1+3.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.838.180.9+4.767%-
This opponent (Broncos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broncos: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.523.1
51.9%
50.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.9
32.6%
32.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.415.7
77.0%
68.8%15.7
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cocodrilostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cocodrilos: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.624.9
57.1%
50.4%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.7
34.5%
32.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.610.8
65.1%
68.8%10.8
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Broncos
LLWWLLWWWL
Cocodrilos
WWLLLWLWWW
#10
League position
#3
-3.9
Net rating
+8.6
108.5
Offensive rating
108.6
112.4
Defensive rating
100.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
15.5%
Turnover %
20.7%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.6%
3-point %
34.5%
58.4%
Assist %
59.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 108.6Defence112.4 · 100.0Shooting50.8% · 55.0%3-point %32.6% · 34.5%Ball care15.5% · 20.7%Off. rebounds29.9% · 34.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Broncos   ■ Cocodrilos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Broncos wins
4
Cocodrilos wins
DateGameScore
05/08/24Broncos v Cocodrilos91-109
25/07/24Cocodrilos v Broncos101-79
24/07/24Cocodrilos v Broncos87-92
29/04/21Cocodrilos v Broncos82-56
09/04/21Broncos v Cocodrilos80-83
Broncoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/08/24HCocodrilos91-109
25/07/24ACocodrilos79-101
24/07/24ACocodrilos92-87
19/07/24HBrillantes103-87
17/07/24HBrillantes91-116
12/07/24ASpartans86-97
09/07/24HBrillantes88-83
07/07/24HLlaneros104-73
04/07/24HToros de Aragua93-77
30/06/24AGladiadores70-88
Cocodriloslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/08/24ABroncos109-91
25/07/24HBroncos101-79
24/07/24HBroncos87-92
11/07/24HGaiteros del Zulia85-87
03/07/24AMarinos67-100
30/06/24ACentauros101-74
26/06/24HGuaiqueries71-79
24/06/24HHeroes de Falcon96-92
22/06/24HDiablos102-71
19/06/24APiratas de La Guaira84-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Broncos
Superliga 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL52%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLLLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %52%56%46%
Points / game86.090.480.6
Allowed / game87.088.685.1
Point differential-1.0+1.8-4.5
Avg total173.1179.1165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)60% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Cocodrilos
Superliga 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW74%
HomeWLLLW69%
AwayWWWLW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %74%69%82%
Points / game82.788.574.3
Allowed / game76.079.171.5
Point differential+6.7+9.4+2.8
Avg total158.7167.6145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)40% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2725293%87.476.3+11.1
2 Cocodrilos2720774%82.776.0+6.7
3 Guaiqueries2719870%77.472.2+5.2
4 Trotamundos2718967%83.580.1+3.4
5 Marinos28171161%77.172.2+5.0
6 Pioneros28171161%79.377.5+1.8
7 Spartans27151256%84.780.0+4.7
8 Piratas de La Guaira27151256%76.072.8+3.1
9 Brillantes26141254%80.977.0+3.9
10 Broncos29151452%86.087.0-1.0
11 Heroes de Falcon28141450%75.674.9+0.8
12 Gaiteros del Zulia25111444%74.478.8-4.4
13 Frontinos2481633%72.981.2-8.3
14 Panteras2471729%71.275.7-4.5
15 Centauros2361726%76.382.0-5.7
16 Llaneros2351822%76.482.9-6.5
17 Diablos2341917%74.184.6-10.5
18 Toros de Aragua2332013%76.187.8-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Broncos1526201879
Cocodrilos32302915106
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