PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Bryant University will host Fairfield on 8 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model designates Bryant as the favourite, assigning it an 80% chance of victory largely because the team has already posted a 1-1 record this season, scoring 68.0 points per game while allowing 70.5, and it has a perfect 1-0 home record with 80.0 points per game and 75.0 points allowed; the model's confidence reflects these solid offensive and defensive numbers. Fairfield, meanwhile, is 0-1 this season, averaging 67.0 points and conceding 79.0, and it has not yet secured a win, which explains its 20% win probability. In the last five games each side has gone 2-3, with Bryant's recent outings including a 56-66 loss to Quinnipiac away, an 80-75 home win over Siena, and a 57-77 defeat to Vermont away, while Fairfield's recent results feature a 67-79 loss to Vermont at home, a 61-76 defeat to Siena away, and a 74-55 win over St. Peters away. The projected score is 78-68 for Bryant, giving a projected total of 145.8 points, and the model estimates a 4% chance of overtime. The game's final fact is that Bryant's home record remains unbeaten.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 68.0 | 70.5 | 138.5 | -2.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 80.0 | 75.0 | 155.0 | +5.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 56.0 | 66.0 | 122.0 | -10.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 67.5 | 75.2 | 142.7 | -7.7 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 69.0 | 71.6 | 140.6 | -2.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 61.1 | 74.1 | 135.1 | -13.0 | 16% |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 67.9 | 69.9 | 137.8 | -2.0 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 95.0 | 59.0 | 154.0 | +36.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 67.0 | 79.0 | 146.0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| Season at home (1) | 67.0 | 79.0 | 146.0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 69.2 | 68.7 | 137.9 | +0.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 64.0 | 67.8 | 131.8 | -3.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 67.0 | 79.0 | 146.0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (16) | 73.1 | 74.2 | 147.3 | -1.2 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 76.9 | 67.7 | 144.6 | +9.2 | 77% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 30.6 | 32.5 | 63.1 | -1.9 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 33.9 | 30.4 | 64.3 | +3.5 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 28.1 | 34.1 | 62.1 | -6.0 | 18% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.4 | 34.8 | 66.2 | -3.4 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.8 | 34.0 | 65.8 | -2.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 28.8 | 35.3 | 64.2 | -6.5 | 21% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 30.4 | 29.7 | 60.1 | +0.8 | 56% | - |
| vs Weaker (1) | 54.0 | 19.0 | 73.0 | +35.0 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.2 | 34.0 | 69.2 | +1.2 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 34.6 | 31.9 | 66.5 | +2.8 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 35.8 | 36.4 | 72.2 | -0.6 | 36% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.0 | 33.8 | 63.8 | -3.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 28.2 | 34.8 | 63.0 | -6.6 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 25.0 | 38.0 | 63.0 | -13.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (16) | 34.5 | 35.2 | 69.8 | -0.8 | 44% | - |
| vs Weaker (13) | 36.8 | 32.2 | 68.9 | +4.6 | 62% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | Quinnipiac | 56-66 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Siena | 80-75 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Vermont | 57-77 |
| 03/03/26 | A | New Hampshire Wildcats | 83-88 OT |
| 28/02/26 | H | NJIT | 69-52 |
| 26/02/26 | A | UMBC Retrievers | 58-70 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Binghamton | 67-79 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Vermont | 63-90 |
| 12/02/26 | A | UMass Lowell | 69-88 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Maine Black Bears | 73-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | Vermont | 67-79 |
| 09/03/26 | A | Siena | 61-76 |
| 07/03/26 | A | St. Peters | 74-55 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Manhattan | 71-60 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Mount St. Mary's | 47-69 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Siena | 72-58 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Quinnipiac | 85-79 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Sacred Heart | 78-68 |
| 15/02/26 | A | St. Peters | 74-83 |
| 08/02/26 | H | Marist | 63-60 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WL | 50% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 68.0 | 80.0 | 56.0 |
| Allowed / game | 70.5 | 75.0 | 66.0 |
| Point differential | -2.5 | +5.0 | -10.0 |
| Avg total | 138.5 | 155.0 | 122.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L | 0% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 | - |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Points / game | 67.0 | 67.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 79.0 | 79.0 | - |
| Point differential | -12.0 | -12.0 | - |
| Avg total | 146.0 | 146.0 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UMass Lowell | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 96.0 | 59.0 | +37.0 |
| 2 |  Vermont | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 67.0 | 61.5 | +5.5 |
| 3 | Bryant University | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 68.0 | 70.5 | -2.5 |
| 4 |  Binghamton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 59.0 | 70.5 | -11.5 |
| 5 |  Maine Black Bears | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 65.0 | 77.5 | -12.5 |
| 6 |  UMBC Retrievers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 67.0 | 85.0 | -18.0 |
| 7 |  NJIT | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 53.5 | 80.5 | -27.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Iona | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 64.3 | 69.3 | -5.0 |
| 2 |  Sacred Heart | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 91.5 | 59.0 | +32.5 |
| 3 |  Merrimack Warriors | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 62.0 | 60.0 | +2.0 |
| 4 |  Marist | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 75.0 | 74.5 | +0.5 |
| 5 |  Quinnipiac | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 62.5 | 76.0 | -13.5 |
| 6 |  Mount St. Mary's | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 60.0 | 77.0 | -17.0 |
| 7 |  Siena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 75.0 | 80.0 | -5.0 |
| 8 | Fairfield | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 67.0 | 79.0 | -12.0 |
| 9 |  St. Peters | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 48.5 | 62.0 | -13.5 |
| 10 |  Manhattan | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 62.5 | 78.5 | -16.0 |
| 11 |  Rider | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 56.0 | 80.5 | -24.5 |
| 12 |  Niagara | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 56.5 | 82.0 | -25.5 |
| 13 |  Canisius | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 53.0 | 92.5 | -39.5 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant University | 30 | 29 | 59 |
| Fairfield | 26 | 42 | 68 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
