PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Bryant University will face Siena in an NCAA contest on 2 November 2026, with the Pythia model designating Siena as the clear favourite because of its 82% win probability versus Bryant's 18%. Bryant's season has been difficult, winning only one of its last five games and suffering defeats to Vermont, New Hampshire and a home win over NJIT, while Siena has won four of its last five, dropping a close game to Duke but securing victories over Merrimack, Fairfield and a decisive win against Bryant last year. In their three meetings, Siena has won twice to Bryant's one, most recently triumphing 82-66 on 3 November 2025. Pythia projects a final score of 65-75, with a combined total of 139.4 points and a 3% chance of overtime. The model assigns an 18% probability that Bryant will win and an 82% probability that Siena will win, reflecting Siena's superior recent form and head-to-head advantage. The game will likely see Siena maintain its momentum, as its recent victories suggest a continued upward trajectory.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 69.4 | 76.0 | 145.4 | -6.6 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 66.8 | 73.2 | 140.0 | -6.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 61.2 | 74.1 | 135.2 | -12.9 | 16% |
| vs Similar (9) | 66.7 | 70.8 | 137.4 | -4.1 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 95.0 | 59.0 | 154.0 | +36.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 67.5 | 65.6 | 133.1 | +1.9 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 68.8 | 61.0 | 129.8 | +7.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 65.0 | 71.0 | 136.0 | -6.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (17) | 68.1 | 67.9 | 136.1 | +0.2 | 53% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 74.0 | 63.0 | 137.0 | +11.0 | 92% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 30.0 | 32.3 | 62.3 | -2.2 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 33.2 | 29.5 | 62.6 | +3.7 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 27.6 | 34.4 | 62.1 | -6.8 | 18% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.5 | 34.3 | 66.8 | -1.8 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.2 | 33.2 | 63.4 | -3.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 28.3 | 34.7 | 63.0 | -6.4 | 21% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 29.7 | 30.3 | 60.0 | -0.7 | 56% | - |
| vs Weaker (1) | 54.0 | 19.0 | 73.0 | +35.0 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.3 | 32.3 | 66.6 | +2.1 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 35.8 | 31.8 | 67.7 | +4.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (18) | 33.3 | 32.6 | 65.9 | +0.8 | 61% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.4 | 30.3 | 64.7 | +4.1 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.8 | 29.6 | 66.4 | +7.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 43.0 | 32.0 | 75.0 | +11.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 30.9 | 34.1 | 65.1 | -3.2 | 41% | - |
| vs Weaker (12) | 38.4 | 29.7 | 68.1 | +8.7 | 75% | - |
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| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04/11/25 | Siena v Bryant University | 82-66 |
| 09/11/24 | Bryant University v Siena | 88-90 OT |
| 07/12/23 | Siena v Bryant University | 51-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | A | Vermont | 57-77 |
| 03/03/26 | A | New Hampshire Wildcats | 83-88 OT |
| 28/02/26 | H | NJIT | 69-52 |
| 26/02/26 | A | UMBC Retrievers | 58-70 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Binghamton | 67-79 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Vermont | 63-90 |
| 12/02/26 | A | UMass Lowell | 69-88 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Maine Black Bears | 73-67 |
| 05/02/26 | H | Albany Great Danes | 63-65 |
| 31/01/26 | H | New Hampshire Wildcats | 92-84 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/26 | A | Duke | 65-71 |
| 11/03/26 | A | Merrimack Warriors | 64-54 |
| 09/03/26 | H | Fairfield | 76-61 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Mount St. Mary's | 63-58 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Rider | 76-61 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Fairfield | 58-72 |
| 22/02/26 | H | St. Peters | 72-63 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Merrimack Warriors | 72-79 OT |
| 15/02/26 | A | Marist | 67-63 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Quinnipiac | 62-74 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UMass Lowell | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 121.0 | 57.0 | +64.0 |
| 2 |  Vermont | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 55.0 | 56.0 | -1.0 |
| 3 |  Maine Black Bears | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 56.0 | 83.0 | -27.0 |
| 4 |  UMBC Retrievers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 54.0 | 82.0 | -28.0 |
| 5 |  NJIT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 58.0 | 89.0 | -31.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacred Heart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 111.0 | 44.0 | +67.0 |
| 2 |  Merrimack Warriors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 63.0 | 49.0 | +14.0 |
| 3 |  Iona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 56.0 | 55.0 | +1.0 |
| 4 |  Marist | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 62.0 | 69.0 | -7.0 |
| 5 |  St. Peters | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 42.0 | 66.0 | -24.0 |
| 6 |  Quinnipiac | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 59.0 | 96.0 | -37.0 |
| 7 |  Rider | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 57.0 | 95.0 | -38.0 |
| 8 |  Canisius | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 57.0 | 97.0 | -40.0 |
| 9 |  Mount St. Mary's | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 52.0 | 97.0 | -45.0 |
| 10 |  Niagara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 46.0 | 91.0 | -45.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant University | 0 | 37 | 0 | 43 | 80 |
| Siena | 0 | 41 | 0 | 34 | 75 |
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