PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Bucknell faces Akron on 17 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model designating Akron as the favourite because of its 2-0 record and 93.5 points per game compared with Bucknell's 0-3 record and 63.3 points per game; Akron's 93.5 points scored and 62.5 points allowed per game give it a clear edge. Bucknell has struggled, losing all three games with an average of 63.3 points scored and 91.0 points allowed, and its single home game ended 62-82; its last five games show one win and four losses, including defeats to Virginia 61-95, Old Dominion 62-82, and Maryland 67-96. Akron, meanwhile, has won both games it has played, averaging 93.5 points scored and 62.5 points allowed, and its road record is 1-0 with a 75-61 win; its last five games include four wins and one loss, with a 112-64 victory over Muskingum and a 75-61 win over Louisiana Lafayette, though it fell 71-91 to Texas Tech. Historically, Akron has beaten Bucknell once, 97-77, on 3 December 2025. The model projects a 20% chance for Bucknell to win and an 80% chance for Akron, with a predicted score of 72-82 and a total of 154.4 points; the overtime probability is 4%.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 63.3 | 91.0 | 154.3 | -27.7 | 0% |
| Season at home (1) | 62.0 | 82.0 | 144.0 | -20.0 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 64.0 | 95.5 | 159.5 | -31.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 66.7 | 79.3 | 146.0 | -12.6 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 64.8 | 80.4 | 145.2 | -15.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 66.9 | 81.0 | 147.9 | -14.1 | 18% |
| vs Similar (8) | 68.9 | 67.5 | 136.4 | +1.4 | 50% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 93.5 | 62.5 | 156.0 | +31.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 112.0 | 64.0 | 176.0 | +48.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 75.0 | 61.0 | 136.0 | +14.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.7 | 70.4 | 155.1 | +14.3 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.4 | 72.0 | 154.4 | +10.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (1) | 73.0 | 76.0 | 149.0 | -3.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (27) | 85.1 | 73.8 | 158.9 | +11.3 | 89% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 29.9 | 35.8 | 65.7 | -6.0 | 27% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 29.2 | 33.9 | 63.1 | -4.6 | 29% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 30.4 | 37.6 | 68.0 | -7.1 | 25% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.4 | 36.6 | 68.0 | -5.2 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.2 | 36.8 | 67.0 | -6.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 29.0 | 37.6 | 66.6 | -8.7 | 14% | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 32.4 | 30.9 | 63.2 | +1.5 | 62% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.1 | 34.1 | 77.2 | +9.0 | 83% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 44.8 | 35.6 | 80.4 | +9.2 | 82% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 40.9 | 32.2 | 73.1 | +8.8 | 85% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.9 | 32.7 | 75.6 | +10.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.0 | 33.2 | 76.2 | +9.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (1) | 36.0 | 33.0 | 69.0 | +3.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (27) | 42.5 | 34.7 | 77.3 | +7.8 | 81% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Virginia | 61-95 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Old Dominion | 62-82 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Maryland | 67-96 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Navy | 69-74 |
| 04/03/26 | H | Army | 65-55 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Lehigh | 79-89 |
| 25/02/26 | A | Army | 75-73 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Holy Cross | 63-72 |
| 19/02/26 | H | American University | 57-75 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Boston University | 69-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | H | Muskingum | 112-64 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Louisiana Lafayette | 75-61 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Texas Tech | 71-91 |
| 15/03/26 | H | Toledo | 79-76 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Kent State | 75-68 |
| 12/03/26 | H | Buffalo | 73-70 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Northern Illinois | 94-55 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Central Michigan | 77-64 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Kent State | 92-70 |
| 25/02/26 | H | Buffalo | 99-85 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLL | 0% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 63.3 | 62.0 | 64.0 |
| Allowed / game | 91.0 | 82.0 | 95.5 |
| Point differential | -27.7 | -20.0 | -31.5 |
| Avg total | 154.3 | 144.0 | 159.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WW | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 93.5 | 112.0 | 75.0 |
| Allowed / game | 62.5 | 64.0 | 61.0 |
| Point differential | +31.0 | +48.0 | +14.0 |
| Avg total | 156.0 | 176.0 | 136.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Navy | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 72.0 | 68.2 | +3.8 |
| 2 |  Boston University | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 73.3 | 74.7 | -1.3 |
| 3 |  Lafayette | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 79.8 | 64.4 | +15.4 |
| 4 |  Army | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.3 | 62.7 | +11.7 |
| 5 |  Loyola Maryland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 73.7 | 70.7 | +3.0 |
| 6 |  Lehigh | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.3 | 73.7 | -9.3 |
| 7 |  American University | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.0 | 75.0 | -11.0 |
| 8 |  Colgate | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 69.7 | 85.7 | -16.0 |
| 9 | Bucknell | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 63.3 | 91.0 | -27.7 |
| 10 |  Holy Cross | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 64.0 | 92.7 | -28.7 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akron | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 93.5 | 62.5 | +31.0 |
| 2 |  Central Michigan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 68.7 | +20.3 |
| 3 |  Bowling Green | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 85.5 | 76.0 | +9.5 |
| 4 |  Ohio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 73.5 | +9.5 |
| 5 |  Miami (Ohio) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 75.0 | +8.0 |
| 6 |  Western Michigan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.3 | 61.3 | +17.0 |
| 7 |  Eastern Michigan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 77.3 | 63.3 | +14.0 |
| 8 |  UMass | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 66.0 | 64.3 | +1.7 |
| 9 |  Northern Illinois | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.2 | 75.5 | +5.8 |
| 10 |  Kent State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 83.3 | 75.3 | +8.0 |
| 11 |  Ball State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.0 | 66.7 | +3.3 |
| 12 |  Buffalo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.7 | 79.0 | -1.3 |
| 13 |  Toledo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 70.0 | 78.5 | -8.5 |
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