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Buffalo vs St. Bonaventure Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-77
32-38 37-39
Position#180
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#207
Record8-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Buffalo v St. Bonaventure
06 Dec 2025
BUFF69
ST. 77
02 Dec 2023
BUFF65
ST. 80
03 Dec 2022
BUFF83
ST. 66
30 Dec 2019
BUFF84
ST. 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Bonaventure winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H05/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A08/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A12/11
NCAA
RIT Tigers
#399
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H18/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H24/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-47
34-37
24-47
46-41
36-38
49-41
32-28
51-48
36-18
30-35
50-28
30-36
40-43
54-47
31-33
47-37
45-32
28-39
34-29
37-24
149.7Avg total
76.9Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.869.5148.2+9.2100%
Season at home (5)84.075.8159.8+8.2100%
Season away (3)70.059.0129.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.972.8149.7+4.180%
Last 5 (5)79.269.6148.8+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)68.982.1151.0-13.214%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.273.0153.2+7.2100%
vs Weaker (4)75.564.5140.0+11.0100%
This opponent (St. Bonaventure) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. BonaventureUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#6
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H18/03
NIT
Bradley
#91
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H13/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H20/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A25/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A27/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A30/11
NCAA
Bloomsburg
#548
W
83-43
83
43
+40
H04/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-29
0-0
28-46
0-0
34-26
0-0
35-37
0-0
50-35
0-0
39-35
0-0
36-33
0-0
39-33
0-0
36-33
0-0
48-47
0-0
37-33
0-0
38-28
0-0
33-35
0-0
37-50
0-0
28-29
0-0
39-29
0-0
34-32
0-0
36-33
0-0
46-17
0-0
37-26
140.4Avg total
73.8Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.865.7141.4+10.189%
Season at home (6)79.263.8143.0+15.3100%
Season away (3)69.069.3138.3-0.367%
Last 10 (10)73.866.6140.4+7.280%
Last 5 (5)73.062.4135.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.877.8144.5-11.025%
vs Similar ◀ (16)66.667.2133.9-0.656%
vs Weaker (8)75.966.1142.0+9.888%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +1.2+1.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +1.2+1.2
BuffaloSt. Bonaventure
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H05/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A08/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
36-18
36
18
+18
A12/11
NCAA
RIT Tigers
#399
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H18/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A26/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A29/11
NCAA
70.6Avg total
36.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.536.669.1-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.936.567.4-5.513%-
Last 30 away (15)34.136.770.8-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)36.334.370.6+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.073.0+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)30.539.469.9-8.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.229.664.8+5.660%-
vs Weaker (4)40.030.570.5+9.575%-
This opponent (St. Bonaventure) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. BonaventureLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#6
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H18/03
NIT
Bradley
#91
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H15/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A25/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A27/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Bloomsburg
#548
W
46-17
46
17
+29
H04/12
NCAA
66.4Avg total
36.2Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.531.566.0+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.031.367.3+4.771%-
Last 30 away (13)32.531.764.2+0.838%-
Last 10 (10)36.230.266.4+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)35.629.264.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.532.565.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.632.865.4-0.250%-
vs Weaker (8)38.630.469.0+8.275%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Buffalo wins
3
St. Bonaventure wins
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25ACanisius71-53
26/11/25ABucknell73-71
24/11/25HVMI78-70
18/11/25HVermont94-90
15/11/25HRIT Tigers80-64
12/11/25ADePaul66-53
07/11/25HWisc. Green Bay83-76
03/11/25HSouthern Miss85-79
08/03/25AAkron70-88
05/03/25HMiami (Ohio)69-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HBloomsburg83-43
30/11/25AFlorida Atlantic70-65
27/11/25AEast Carolina67-58
25/11/25ANorth Carolina70-85
20/11/25HRobert Morris75-61
15/11/25HYoungstown State84-80
13/11/25HSiena75-66
08/11/25HCanisius89-70
03/11/25HBradley69-63
18/03/25HKent State56-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.884.070.0
Allowed / game69.575.859.0
Point differential+9.2+8.2+11.0
Avg total148.2159.8129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%20%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Bonaventure
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game75.879.269.0
Allowed / game65.763.869.3
Point differential+10.1+15.3-0.3
Avg total141.4143.0138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)880100%95.466.8+28.6
2 Buffalo880100%78.869.5+9.2
3 Akron97278%96.275.2+21.0
4 Kent State97278%96.383.1+13.2
5 Bowling Green96367%83.667.6+16.0
6 Toledo85362%82.475.4+7.0
7 UMass85362%78.072.6+5.4
8 Eastern Michigan106460%72.670.0+2.6
9 Western Michigan94544%76.078.9-2.9
10 Central Michigan83538%75.475.1+0.2
11 Northern Illinois83538%75.879.2-3.5
12 Ball State93633%65.169.6-4.4
13 Ohio82625%72.181.0-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Mason990100%82.164.4+17.7
2 Richmond Spiders98189%84.869.7+15.1
3 St. Bonaventure98189%75.865.7+10.1
4 St. Louis Billikens87188%89.670.1+19.5
5 Davidson87188%77.969.2+8.6
6 George Washington97278%90.674.6+16.0
7 Rhode Island107370%76.668.7+7.9
8 Dayton107370%79.372.0+7.3
9 VCU Rams96367%84.370.9+13.4
10 Fordham96367%76.763.7+13.0
11 Duquesne85362%87.180.6+6.5
12 Saint Josephs Hawks74357%77.076.6+0.4
13 La Salle93633%67.967.8+0.1
14 Loyola Chicago92722%67.075.9-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo323769
St. Bonaventure383977
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