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Burgos vs Caceres Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 May 2012
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 94-71
26-11 27-19 25-22 16-19
Position#3
Record22-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game74.6
Burgos 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#11
Record18-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.8
SpainPrimera FEBLEB Oro - Quarter-finals
Other2011-12
Meetings · Burgos v Caceres
07 Dec 2012
BURG91
CACE88
15 May 2012
BURG74
CACE77
06 May 2012
BURG68
CACE74
04 May 2012
BURG94
CACE71
05 Feb 2012
BURG85
CACE75
14 Jan 2011
BURG84
CACE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Burgos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caceres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#6
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A24/02
Primera FEB
Vive Menorca
#2
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A03/03
Primera FEB
Tenerife
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H09/03
Primera FEB
La Palma
#10
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A16/03
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#5
W
88-53
88
53
+35
H23/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A30/03
Primera FEB
Huesca
#15
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H08/04
Primera FEB
CB Tarragona
#16
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A13/04
Primera FEB
Navarra
#4
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H20/04
Primera FEB
Breogan
#9
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A27/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
26-25
21-22
23-26
22-8
19-25
10-14
21-21
25-18
17-16
19-21
20-21
10-14
24-24
15-20
16-24
18-16
20-10
28-14
22-13
31-16
21-21
18-20
17-22
21-20
30-20
22-22
20-28
16-14
25-18
22-25
15-16
17-13
12-21
25-15
13-15
17-21
16-17
24-18
14-24
153.9Avg total
78.6Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)79.174.6153.7+4.465%
Season at home (17)81.972.9154.8+9.182%
Season away (17)76.276.4152.6-0.247%
Last 10 (10)78.675.3153.9+3.370%
Last 5 (5)79.277.2156.4+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.083.0158.0-8.050%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.274.5152.8+3.862%
vs Weaker (12)79.373.0152.3+6.367%
This opponent (Caceres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaceresSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Palma
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H24/02
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A02/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
W
93-76
93
76
+17
H09/03
Primera FEB
Huesca
#15
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A16/03
Primera FEB
CB Tarragona
#16
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H23/03
Primera FEB
Navarra
#4
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A30/03
Primera FEB
Breogan
#9
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H08/04
Primera FEB
Rincon
#18
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A14/04
Primera FEB
Mallorca
#14
W
102-82
102
82
+20
H20/04
Primera FEB
Caja Rioja
#8
W
94-76
94
76
+18
A27/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
25-17
21-14
21-26
19-18
9-21
18-18
19-12
18-16
23-19
32-24
20-17
25-17
14-25
16-15
11-14
12-17
23-10
21-20
15-12
26-17
17-20
19-23
14-24
22-18
19-15
14-15
23-16
21-17
16-7
12-13
18-25
24-23
29-18
21-16
28-25
30-14
28-27
19-14
17-21
152.3Avg total
80.2Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)80.078.8158.8+1.253%
Season at home (17)82.076.8158.8+5.271%
Season away (17)77.980.8158.7-2.835%
Last 10 (10)80.272.1152.3+8.170%
Last 5 (5)83.473.6157.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.083.2156.2-10.225%
vs Similar ◀ (21)82.078.9161.0+3.152%
vs Weaker (5)74.471.2145.6+3.280%
This opponent (Burgos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
BurgosCaceres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A24/02
Primera FEB
Vive Menorca
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A03/03
Primera FEB
Tenerife
#1
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H09/03
Primera FEB
La Palma
#10
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A16/03
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#5
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H23/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A30/03
Primera FEB
Huesca
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H08/04
Primera FEB
CB Tarragona
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A13/04
Primera FEB
Navarra
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H20/04
Primera FEB
Breogan
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A27/04
Primera FEB
75.3Avg total
40.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.975.6+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.736.675.3+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.737.375.9+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)40.135.275.3+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.277.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.541.078.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.737.574.2-0.838%-
vs Weaker (12)41.635.577.1+6.183%-
This opponent (Caceres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Palma
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H24/02
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A02/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H09/03
Primera FEB
Huesca
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/03
Primera FEB
CB Tarragona
#16
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H23/03
Primera FEB
Navarra
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A30/03
Primera FEB
Breogan
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H08/04
Primera FEB
Rincon
#18
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A14/04
Primera FEB
Mallorca
#14
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H20/04
Primera FEB
Caja Rioja
#8
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A27/04
Primera FEB
78.0Avg total
42.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.838.878.6+1.055%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.377.2+2.567%-
Last 30 away (14)39.740.480.1-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.335.778.0+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.435.281.6+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.839.074.8-3.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.040.181.2+0.950%-
vs Weaker (5)38.233.271.4+5.080%-
This opponent (Burgos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Burgos wins
1
Caceres wins
DateGameScore
05/02/12Burgos v Caceres85-75
19/10/11Caceres v Burgos68-77
14/01/11Burgos v Caceres84-74
08/10/10Caceres v Burgos73-71
Burgoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/12ABreogan71-80
20/04/12HNavarra67-64
13/04/12ACB Tarragona78-73
08/04/12HHuesca93-90
30/03/12APalencia87-79
23/03/12HForca Lleida88-53
16/03/12ALa Palma65-82
09/03/12HTenerife81-76
03/03/12AVive Menorca72-68
24/02/12AMelilla84-88
Cacereslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/12ACaja Rioja94-76
20/04/12HMallorca102-82
14/04/12ARincon67-62
08/04/12HBreogan78-64
30/03/12ANavarra76-84
23/03/12HCB Tarragona71-59
16/03/12AHuesca66-71
09/03/12HPalencia93-76
02/03/12AForca Lleida65-69
24/02/12HLa Palma90-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Burgos
Primera FEB 2011-12
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %65%82%47%
Points / game79.181.976.2
Allowed / game74.672.976.4
Point differential+4.4+9.1-0.2
Avg total153.7154.8152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%47%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)75% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Caceres
Primera FEB 2011-12
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW53%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLLWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %53%71%35%
Points / game80.082.077.9
Allowed / game78.876.880.8
Point differential+1.2+5.2-2.8
Avg total158.8158.8158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%41%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)75% (4)40% (10)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife3426876%88.076.4+11.6
2 Burgos34221265%79.174.6+4.4
3 Vive Menorca34211362%76.571.8+4.7
4 Navarra35211460%78.976.6+2.3
5 Melilla34201459%80.378.8+1.5
6 Forca Lleida34201459%74.173.8+0.3
7 La Palma35201557%75.574.8+0.7
8 Breogan34191556%78.275.8+2.4
9 Palencia34181653%79.678.0+1.6
10 Caceres34181653%80.078.8+1.2
11 Caja Rioja34181653%79.679.7-0.1
12 Girona34161847%75.077.1-2.1
13 Baloncesto Leon34151944%78.579.7-1.2
14 Mallorca34151944%81.483.0-1.6
15 Huesca34132138%77.178.3-1.2
16 CB Tarragona34112332%73.278.3-5.1
17 CB Granada3472721%71.179.7-8.7
18 Rincon3472721%62.573.4-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Burgos2627251694
Caceres1119221971
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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