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Bursaspor vs Mersin SK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 99-88
20-22 24-23 23-20 32-23
Position#12
Record4-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#13
Record3-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game85.5
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 12· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Bursaspor v Mersin SK
21 Dec 2025
BUR99
MES88
04 Jan 2025
BUR85
MES97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mersin SK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
L
70-88
70
88
-18
68avg 75
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
71avg 75
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
63avg 75
H05/11
Champions League
Tofas
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
56avg 75
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
72avg 75
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
L
77-109
77
109
-32
72avg 75
A19/11
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 75
A23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
93avg 75
H06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
74-101
74
101
-27
54avg 75
A13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#36
L
83-92
83
92
-9
76avg 75
H17/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
16-22
13-22
23-22
18-21
19-17
25-13
13-26
16-20
20-22
15-10
17-27
21-20
20-23
13-26
16-15
22-18
17-17
22-19
15-20
20-34
20-30
26-22
11-23
21-23
24-18
19-26
20-25
29-23
23-26
14-13
11-15
21-28
15-26
17-25
21-22
27-32
26-21
14-22
16-17
165.1Avg total
76.8Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.083.5160.5-6.536%
Season at home (5)79.880.0159.8-0.260%
Season away (6)74.786.5161.2-11.817%
Last 10 (10)76.888.3165.1-11.520%
Last 5 (5)81.896.2178.0-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.791.4168.1-14.715%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.980.8162.7+1.147%
vs Weaker (1)95.075.0170.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#32
W
81-73
81
73
+8
83avg 77
H29/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
77avg 77
H02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
79-85
79
85
-6
70avg 77
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
68avg 77
H12/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 77
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
92-87
92
87
+5
93avg 77
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
77-88
77
88
-11
65avg 77
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
80-72
80
72
+8
78avg 77
A09/12
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 77
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
84-76
84
76
+8
84avg 77
H17/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
17-16
27-17
17-17
22-17
20-28
15-20
21-22
13-16
20-25
18-25
28-19
22-31
19-29
15-21
21-19
22-25
14-23
26-27
20-21
22-17
19-23
22-17
29-30
22-24
19-22
19-20
17-22
26-10
20-18
17-18
17-26
21-28
24-16
18-29
20-15
18-16
26-17
23-15
17-28
166.5Avg total
81.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.185.5167.5-3.427%
Season at home (6)84.289.5173.7-5.333%
Season away (5)79.680.6160.2-1.020%
Last 10 (10)81.385.2166.5-3.940%
Last 5 (5)83.282.2165.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.789.9167.6-12.17%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.579.7166.2+6.877%
vs Weaker (2)77.580.5158.0-3.050%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
BursasporMersin SK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H05/11
Champions League
Tofas
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
L
40-64
40
64
-24
A19/11
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#36
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H17/12
Champions League
87.6Avg total
41.3Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.281.5-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.840.482.2+1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)38.842.180.9-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.346.387.6-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)45.252.297.4-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.045.784.7-6.723%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.138.379.5+2.847%-
vs Weaker (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#32
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H29/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#2
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H12/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A09/12
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/12
Champions League
83.0Avg total
40.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.484.5-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.844.186.8-1.356%-
Last 30 away (14)39.242.681.8-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.483.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.281.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.046.984.9-8.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.539.383.8+5.269%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
54.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.3
35.0%
35.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.3
74.9%
76.0%14.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.6
53.7%
54.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.5
34.7%
35.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.417.0
72.6%
76.0%17.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
LLWLLWLLLL
Mersin SK
WLWLWLLLLW
#12
League position
#13
-15.6
Net rating
-4.3
101.4
Offensive rating
111.7
117.0
Defensive rating
116.0
51.5%
Effective FG%
52.9%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.0%
3-point %
34.7%
69.5%
Assist %
78.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 111.7Defence117.0 · 116.0Shooting51.5% · 52.9%3-point %35.0% · 34.7%Ball care20.4% · 16.5%Off. rebounds25.9% · 28.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Mersin SK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bursaspor wins
2
Mersin SK wins
DateGameScore
03/05/25Mersin SK v Bursaspor89-82
04/01/25Bursaspor v Mersin SK85-97
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HHapoel Holon83-92
13/12/25ATurk Telekom74-101
06/12/25HGalatasaray91-87 OT
23/11/25AFenerbahce84-92
19/11/25ACholet77-109
15/11/25HPetkim Spor76-74
08/11/25ATofas70-84
05/11/25HJoventut Badalona68-79
01/11/25HBahcesehir Kol.75-77
25/10/25ABesiktas70-88
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HOostende84-76
14/12/25HEsenler Erokspor83-88
09/12/25AAS Karditsas80-72
06/12/25ABuyukcekmece77-88
21/11/25HKarsiyaka92-87
15/11/25HTurk Telekom82-96
12/11/25HUnicaja77-100
09/11/25AGalatasaray79-85
02/11/25HFenerbahce78-87
29/10/25HAS Karditsas81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game77.079.874.7
Allowed / game83.580.086.5
Point differential-6.5-0.2-11.8
Avg total160.5159.8161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
Mersin SK
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game82.184.279.6
Allowed / game85.589.580.6
Point differential-3.4-5.3-1.0
Avg total167.5173.7160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas12120100%87.776.0+11.7
2 Fenerbahce1210283%89.081.8+7.2
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1210283%83.278.9+4.2
4 Turk Telekom117464%87.277.8+9.4
5 Anadolu Efes127558%88.381.1+7.2
6 Trabzonspor127558%85.882.0+3.8
7 Galatasaray127558%87.184.8+2.2
8 Tofas126650%81.578.7+2.8
9 Esenler Erokspor115645%79.778.0+1.7
10 Petkim Spor114736%80.686.1-5.5
11 Merkezefendi114736%75.982.2-6.3
12 Bursaspor114736%77.083.5-6.5
13 Mersin SK113827%82.185.5-3.4
14 Manisa113827%74.583.3-8.7
15 Karsiyaka1221017%75.688.0-12.4
16 Buyukcekmece111109%79.889.7-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bursaspor2024233299
Mersin SK2223202388
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