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Tofas vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 84-70
20-21 23-20 26-13 15-16
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game81.7
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#12
Record2-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game80.2
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 7· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Tofas v Bursaspor
01 Jan 2027
TOF v BUR
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
TOF84
BUR70
03 Nov 2024
TOF94
BUR71
03 Dec 2023
TOF91
BUR85
07 Jan 2023
TOF82
BUR83
06 Mar 2022
TOF83
BUR90
07 Feb 2021
TOF84
BUR77
12 Jan 2020
TOF109
BUR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
84avg 83
H02/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
80-78
80
78
+2
80avg 83
H27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
91-93
91
93
-2
89avg 83
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
W
90-86
90
86
+4
96avg 83
H08/10
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
93avg 83
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 83
A14/10
Champions League
Mersin SK
#13
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 83
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-70
91
70
+21
94avg 83
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
64-81
64
81
-17
58avg 83
H28/10
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
70-92
70
92
-22
64avg 83
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
18-24
19-22
24-25
18-18
25-21
15-22
22-17
24-20
18-29
21-23
28-21
24-22
25-27
14-26
27-11
26-12
24-20
16-23
19-18
26-17
27-19
19-28
19-25
21-20
16-22
22-19
21-23
22-15
24-15
21-21
24-19
12-20
16-20
23-16
13-25
18-19
15-20
18-26
19-27
167.6Avg total
83.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.881.7164.5+1.250%
Season at home (3)85.373.7159.0+11.7100%
Season away (3)80.389.7170.0-9.30%
Last 10 (10)83.484.2167.6-0.850%
Last 5 (5)79.283.2162.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.485.0165.4-4.643%
vs Similar (15)84.387.4171.7-3.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)95.983.4179.3+12.486%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#10
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 77
A29/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
73-93
73
93
-20
64avg 77
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#36
L
74-84
74
84
-10
67avg 77
A08/10
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
W
85-79
85
79
+6
86avg 77
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
L
72-84
72
84
-12
58avg 77
H14/10
Champions League
Manisa
#11
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 77
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
67-94
67
94
-27
61avg 77
A22/10
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
L
70-88
70
88
-18
68avg 77
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
71avg 77
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
63avg 77
H05/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
17-23
14-10
16-23
15-24
22-18
17-23
19-28
16-16
26-17
17-29
15-22
19-17
24-21
14-28
28-13
23-20
14-18
17-22
18-24
19-20
17-18
26-9
22-22
8-27
21-13
25-31
13-23
18-22
16-22
13-22
23-22
18-21
19-17
25-13
13-26
16-20
20-22
15-10
17-27
155.5Avg total
73.3Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.380.2155.5-4.833%
Season at home (3)77.379.7157.0-2.333%
Season away (3)73.380.7154.0-7.333%
Last 10 (10)73.382.2155.5-8.920%
Last 5 (5)72.881.4154.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.690.1167.7-12.517%
vs Similar (16)83.083.1166.1-0.144%
vs Weaker (1)95.075.0170.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -4.6-4.6
TofasBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H02/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H08/10
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A14/10
Champions League
Mersin SK
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H28/10
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.7Avg total
42.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.786.7+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.440.688.1+6.881%-
Last 30 away (14)42.143.085.1-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.481.7+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.476.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.641.484.0+1.157%-
vs Similar (15)44.342.486.7+1.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)49.040.189.1+8.986%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A29/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/10
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H14/10
Champions League
Manisa
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A22/10
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H05/11
Champions League
76.1Avg total
36.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.580.7-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.641.382.9+0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)38.639.678.1-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.576.1-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.474.8-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.143.381.4-5.225%-
vs Similar (16)41.539.280.7+2.350%-
vs Weaker (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.024.3
59.3%
54.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.66.8
34.7%
35.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.6
76.8%
76.0%14.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.1
48.9%
54.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.9
34.5%
35.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.5%
76.0%14.8
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLWLWWWLWL
Bursaspor
LLLLWLWLLL
#9
League position
#12
+1.2
Net rating
-11.6
112.0
Offensive rating
99.1
110.8
Defensive rating
110.7
56.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
18.5%
Turnover %
20.3%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.7%
3-point %
34.5%
75.6%
Assist %
71.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 99.1Defence110.8 · 110.7Shooting56.9% · 50.0%3-point %34.7% · 34.5%Ball care18.5% · 20.3%Off. rebounds28.7% · 25.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Tofas   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tofas wins
5
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Bursaspor v Tofas98-93
03/11/24Tofas v Bursaspor94-71
29/03/24Bursaspor v Tofas89-95
03/12/23Tofas v Bursaspor91-85
12/05/23Bursaspor v Tofas77-92
07/01/23Tofas v Bursaspor82-83
06/03/22Tofas v Bursaspor83-90
06/11/21Bursaspor v Tofas87-75
07/02/21Tofas v Bursaspor84-77
24/10/20Bursaspor v Tofas83-70
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/25AEsenler Erokspor70-92
28/10/25HTenerife64-81
25/10/25HBuyukcekmece91-70
19/10/25AMersin SK80-84
14/10/25ATrapani91-89
11/10/25HTurk Telekom85-73
08/10/25HBnei Herzliya90-86
03/10/25AGalatasaray91-93
27/09/25HFenerbahce80-78
02/06/25HBahcesehir Kol.92-96 OT
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25HJoventut Badalona68-79
01/11/25HBahcesehir Kol.75-77
25/10/25ABesiktas70-88
22/10/25AJoventut Badalona67-94
18/10/25HManisa84-69
14/10/25HCholet72-84
11/10/25ATrabzonspor85-79
08/10/25AHapoel Holon74-84
05/10/25HAnadolu Efes73-93
29/09/25AMerkezefendi65-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.885.380.3
Allowed / game81.773.789.7
Point differential+1.2+11.7-9.3
Avg total164.5159.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game75.377.373.3
Allowed / game80.279.780.7
Point differential-4.8-2.3-7.3
Avg total155.5157.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes660100%93.275.7+17.5
2 Besiktas660100%90.576.8+13.7
3 Fenerbahce76186%89.380.1+9.1
4 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%84.379.9+4.4
5 Esenler Erokspor63350%82.276.0+6.2
6 Trabzonspor63350%79.877.0+2.8
7 Galatasaray63350%86.585.0+1.5
8 Tofas63350%82.881.7+1.2
9 Petkim Spor63350%80.585.7-5.2
10 Turk Telekom73443%86.679.6+7.0
11 Mersin SK62433%81.782.7-1.0
12 Bursaspor62433%75.380.2-4.8
13 Manisa62433%76.886.3-9.5
14 Merkezefendi72529%74.782.0-7.3
15 Karsiyaka71614%74.391.6-17.3
16 Buyukcekmece7070%77.792.9-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2023261584
Bursaspor2120131670
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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