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Bursaspor vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-89
29-24 18-21 17-18 9-26
Position#15
Record7-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game84.9
Bursaspor
vs
Venezia 🏆
Position#10
Record8-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game76.1
EuropeEurocupRound 16
European cup2022
Meetings · Bursaspor v Venezia
15 Mar 2023
BUR73
VEN89
18 Mar 2022
BUR80
VEN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
74avg 80
A17/01
Eurocup
Gaziantep
#15
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Prometey
#2
L
92-94
92
94
-2
80avg 80
H25/01
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
63-84
63
84
-21
no box
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
77avg 80
A01/02
Eurocup
Merkezefendi
#13
W
95-73
95
73
+22
no box
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
90avg 80
H02/03
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
A05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
83-87
83
87
-4
74avg 80
A08/03
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#12
W
92-85
92
85
+7
no box
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
11-17
17-21
32-25
26-26
16-23
22-22
21-11
22-23
26-27
21-25
23-19
9-22
19-25
16-22
19-15
26-18
24-26
16-22
20-26
26-12
18-21
21-21
30-19
24-23
27-21
21-18
20-20
17-22
12-17
14-23
20-20
18-24
19-25
21-19
25-19
17-23
21-15
32-23
22-24
167.7Avg total
83.3Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.184.9169.9+0.247%
Season at home (7)90.382.9173.1+7.471%
Season away (8)80.586.6167.1-6.125%
Last 10 (10)83.384.4167.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)85.081.8166.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.488.4167.9-9.014%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.483.9167.3-0.450%
vs Weaker (9)92.083.6175.6+8.478%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
H24/01
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
A28/01
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 71
A01/02
Eurocup
Brindisi
#9
L
75-76
75
76
-1
73avg 71
H05/02
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
84-87
84
87
-3
75avg 71
A08/02
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
W
93-77
93
77
+16
95avg 71
H12/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
68-82
68
82
-14
no box
A16/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
77avg 71
A04/03
Lega A
Brescia
#13
W
90-64
90
64
+26
96avg 71
H08/03
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
60avg 71
H12/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
24-21
20-29
26-23
23-19
17-25
23-20
22-25
20-26
24-14
15-21
14-16
19-17
19-14
16-23
21-22
28-27
18-16
21-21
17-23
28-7
20-30
29-23
16-17
22-20
14-14
12-21
20-27
16-25
27-19
18-18
20-28
25-21
22-13
28-14
15-16
12-24
14-14
17-26
25-19
162.7Avg total
81.2Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.976.1157.1+4.853%
Season at home (8)80.872.6153.4+8.175%
Season away (7)81.180.1161.3+1.029%
Last 10 (10)81.281.5162.7-0.330%
Last 5 (5)80.079.2159.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.678.2159.8+3.344%
vs Weaker (11)81.978.6160.5+3.355%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
BursasporVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/01
Eurocup
Gaziantep
#15
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Prometey
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H25/01
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A01/02
Eurocup
Merkezefendi
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H02/03
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A08/03
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.0Avg total
40.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.585.1+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.243.087.2+1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)40.841.982.7-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.083.0-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.680.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.445.482.9-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.541.785.2+1.857%-
vs Weaker (9)45.241.486.7+3.856%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H24/01
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A28/01
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A01/02
Eurocup
Brindisi
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H05/02
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A08/02
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H12/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A16/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A04/03
Lega A
Brescia
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H08/03
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H12/03
Lega A
80.0Avg total
41.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.977.8+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.435.074.4+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)40.441.281.6-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.380.0+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.477.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.040.070.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.237.878.0+2.550%-
vs Weaker (11)41.538.179.6+3.564%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.9
55.6%
53.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.8
37.3%
35.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.815.5
74.5%
74.2%15.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.0
55.2%
53.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.5
36.2%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.515.6
80.0%
74.2%15.6
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
WLLWWLLLWL
Venezia
LWLLWLLLLW
#15
League position
#10
-1.5
Net rating
+0.7
113.0
Offensive rating
110.8
114.4
Defensive rating
110.1
55.7%
Effective FG%
54.8%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.3%
3-point %
36.2%
60.3%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 110.8Defence114.4 · 110.1Shooting55.7% · 54.8%3-point %37.3% · 36.2%Ball care18.2% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.6% · 24.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bursaspor wins
1
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
06/12/22Venezia v Bursaspor78-65
18/03/22Bursaspor v Venezia80-66
26/10/21Venezia v Bursaspor62-70
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23HPetkim Spor92-85
08/03/23ACluj-Napoca83-87
05/03/23AAnadolu Efes63-82
02/03/23HJL Bourg92-82
05/02/23HMerkezefendi95-73
01/02/23AUlm86-92
28/01/23ATurk Telekom63-84
25/01/23HPrometey92-94
22/01/23HGaziantep85-82
17/01/23AJoventut Badalona82-83
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23HVirtus Bologna68-83
08/03/23HBrescia90-64
04/03/23ASassari81-90
16/02/23AVirtus Bologna68-82
12/02/23HPesaro93-77
08/02/23ALietkabelis84-87
05/02/23HBrindisi75-76
01/02/23ACedevita Olimpija73-77
28/01/23AScafati85-89
24/01/23HCluj-Napoca95-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%71%25%
Points / game85.190.380.5
Allowed / game84.982.986.6
Point differential+0.2+7.4-6.1
Avg total169.9173.1167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%75%29%
Points / game80.980.881.1
Allowed / game76.172.680.1
Point differential+4.8+8.1+1.0
Avg total157.1153.4161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria1512380%85.479.8+5.6
2 Turk Telekom1511473%84.777.8+6.9
3 Prometey1511473%87.283.5+3.7
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1611569%87.679.0+8.6
5 Joventut Badalona1611569%85.079.6+5.4
6 Paris1610662%86.284.9+1.2
7 Promitheas159660%82.982.7+0.3
8 Buducnost169756%79.875.0+4.8
9 Venezia158753%80.976.1+4.8
10 JL Bourg158753%82.983.8-0.9
11 Lietkabelis158753%80.281.8-1.6
12 Ulm158753%83.185.7-2.5
13 Brescia157847%80.979.6+1.3
14 Bursaspor157847%85.184.9+0.2
15 London Lions157847%79.079.1-0.1
16 Hamburg1651131%81.985.6-3.6
17 Cluj-Napoca1651131%84.988.8-3.8
18 Cedevita Olimpija1531220%83.890.4-6.6
19 Trento1631319%72.282.6-10.3
20 Slask Wroclaw161156%73.485.9-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bursaspor291817973
Venezia2421182689
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