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Ulm vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 92-86
18-26 26-24 22-16 26-20
Position#6
Record7-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game86.2
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#15
Record6-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game84.3
EuropeEurocupRound 13
European cup2022
Meetings · Ulm v Bursaspor
01 Feb 2023
ULM92
BUR86
29 Mar 2022
ULM72
BUR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
82avg 76
A27/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-87
95
87
+8
88avg 76
H30/12
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
92-101
92
101
-9
85avg 76
H03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
80-65
80
65
+15
65avg 76
A07/01
BBL
Venezia
#10
L
69-89
69
89
-20
58avg 76
A11/01
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
83avg 76
H14/01
BBL
Lietkabelis
#9
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 76
H18/01
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
91-87
91
87
+4
84avg 76
A22/01
BBL
Brescia
#13
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
A25/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#9
W
107-87
107
87
+20
94avg 76
H28/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
17-21
21-20
21-24
22-27
24-14
20-17
29-29
18-25
25-27
25-30
24-19
18-22
22-20
19-9
21-14
17-23
15-28
18-20
19-18
13-29
23-20
23-19
25-23
27-13
16-25
22-11
13-20
26-31
22-25
16-16
27-15
15-18
21-21
22-16
27-17
24-25
20-20
37-28
26-14
170.0Avg total
86.5Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.486.2169.6-2.858%
Season at home (5)82.682.6165.2+0.060%
Season away (7)84.088.7172.7-4.757%
Last 10 (10)86.583.5170.0+3.060%
Last 5 (5)89.081.2170.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.896.0179.8-12.225%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.384.3167.5-1.045%
vs Weaker (14)89.986.7176.6+3.164%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#4
L
80-81
80
81
-1
no box
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
no box
H28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
no box
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
A07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
111-93
111
93
+18
107avg 80
H11/01
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
74avg 80
A17/01
Eurocup
Gaziantep
#15
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Prometey
#2
L
92-94
92
94
-2
80avg 80
H25/01
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
63-84
63
84
-21
no box
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
20-20
15-18
14-22
27-19
15-15
26-15
29-22
29-18
21-17
19-28
19-11
20-21
22-22
21-16
20-23
30-15
25-26
25-23
31-29
20-22
23-36
17-22
24-20
22-20
11-17
17-21
32-25
26-26
16-23
22-22
21-11
22-23
26-27
21-25
23-19
9-22
19-25
16-22
19-15
170.9Avg total
86.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.684.3168.9+0.250%
Season at home (6)90.083.0173.0+7.067%
Season away (6)79.285.7164.8-6.533%
Last 10 (10)86.584.4170.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)81.288.6169.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.685.0166.6-3.433%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.583.3165.8-0.850%
vs Weaker (9)86.276.2162.4+10.089%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +3.5+3.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +3.5+3.5
UlmBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A27/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H30/12
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/01
BBL
Venezia
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A11/01
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#11
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H14/01
BBL
Lietkabelis
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H18/01
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A22/01
BBL
Brescia
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H28/01
BBL
86.6Avg total
41.0Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.244.086.2-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.145.389.4-1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)40.442.983.3-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)41.045.686.6-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.486.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.846.888.5-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.742.784.5-1.036%-
vs Weaker (14)42.644.887.4-2.136%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H11/01
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/01
Eurocup
Gaziantep
#15
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Prometey
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H25/01
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.9Avg total
43.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.383.5+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.343.387.5+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.379.5+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)43.443.586.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.848.287.0-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.045.086.0-4.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.341.383.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker (9)43.337.680.9+5.878%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.422.1
70.4%
53.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.511.5
33.3%
35.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.413.8
75.0%
74.2%13.8
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.4
55.6%
53.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.4
37.3%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.715.5
71.4%
74.2%15.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWLLWLWL
Bursaspor
LLWLLWWWWL
#6
League position
#15
+13.2
Net rating
-1.9
122.2
Offensive rating
114.0
108.9
Defensive rating
115.9
59.7%
Effective FG%
55.7%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.9%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.3%
3-point %
37.3%
54.5%
Assist %
63.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence122.2 · 114.0Defence108.9 · 115.9Shooting59.7% · 55.7%3-point %33.3% · 37.3%Ball care18.6% · 17.9%Off. rebounds34.8% · 31.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
2
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
02/11/22Bursaspor v Ulm86-90
29/03/22Ulm v Bursaspor72-86
21/12/21Bursaspor v Ulm68-66
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23HBamberg107-87
25/01/23ABrescia85-72
22/01/23ASyntainics MBC91-87
18/01/23HLietkabelis78-69
14/01/23HWurzburg84-91
11/01/23AVenezia69-89
07/01/23AHamburg80-65
03/01/23HBonn92-101
30/12/22HBasketball Braunschweig95-87
27/12/22ALudwigsburg84-87
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23ATurk Telekom63-84
25/01/23HPrometey92-94
22/01/23HGaziantep85-82
17/01/23AJoventut Badalona82-83
15/01/23HFenerbahce84-100
11/01/23HCedevita Olimpija111-93
07/01/23ATofas83-82
02/01/23HBesiktas88-74
28/12/22HDarussafaka97-71
24/12/22AKarsiyaka80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%60%57%
Points / game83.482.684.0
Allowed / game86.282.688.7
Point differential-2.8+0.0-4.7
Avg total169.6165.2172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Bursaspor
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game84.690.079.2
Allowed / game84.383.085.7
Point differential+0.2+7.0-6.5
Avg total168.9173.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria1210283%83.276.5+6.8
2 Turk Telekom139469%85.178.5+6.6
3 Prometey139469%87.085.2+1.8
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv128467%88.480.0+8.4
5 Paris128467%84.581.5+3.0
6 Buducnost138562%78.872.2+6.5
7 Joventut Badalona138562%83.780.9+2.8
8 JL Bourg138562%84.483.0+1.4
9 Promitheas138562%83.083.8-0.8
10 Venezia127558%80.676.2+4.4
11 Ulm127558%83.486.2-2.8
12 Bursaspor126650%84.684.3+0.2
13 Brescia136746%80.578.5+2.0
14 Lietkabelis136746%78.681.2-2.6
15 London Lions135838%78.480.4-2.0
16 Cluj-Napoca134931%85.286.9-1.8
17 Hamburg134931%82.286.2-4.0
18 Cedevita Olimpija1221017%85.491.2-5.8
19 Trento1221017%71.482.8-11.3
20 Slask Wroclaw131128%72.985.6-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1826222692
Bursaspor2624162086
← all games of the day
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