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Buyukcekmece vs Balikesir Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 84-75
Projected total 159.0
Final 93-77
18-20 22-19 24-15 29-23
Position#6
Record5-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game77.6
Buyukcekmece 🏆
Turkey
Vs
77%
23%
■ BUY 77%■ BALI 23%
Pythia win probability
Balikesir
Turkey
Position#14
Record3-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game78.1
TurkeyTBLRound 11· Gazanfer Bilge Spor Salonu
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Buyukcekmece will host Balikesir on 14 November 2026 in the TBL, and the Pythia model names Buyukcekmece as the favourite, assigning them a 77% chance of winning largely because the team has a 5-4 record, averages 79.7 points per game and allows 77.6, placing them 7th in the league, while Balikesir sits 14th with a 3-7 record, 75.7 points per game and 78.1 allowed. Buyukcekmece's home form is 3-2, scoring 82.0 and conceding 77.6, but they have won only one of their last five, losing 70-78 to Kahramanmaras and 85-90 to Darussafaka, and their recent result was a 74-67 win over Ankara Kolejliler away. Balikesir's road record is 1-4, with 69.6 points per game and 75.0 allowed; they have won two of their last five, including a 98-76 victory over Mersin SK at home, but lost 73-77 to Harem Spor away and 79-89 to CO Basket at home. The model projects a 84-75 score, 159 total points, a home line of -8.5 with a 50% chance of covering, and a 155.5 total with a 58% over probability, while the overtime likelihood sits at 4%. The last meeting saw Buyukcekmece edge Balikesir by a narrow margin, and the next game promises a high-scoring contest.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buyukcekmece winWon
76.9%fair 1.30
Best odds1.26
Implied75.6%
Edge+1.3pp
Balikesir winLost
23.1%fair 4.33
Best odds3.75
Implied24.4%
Edge-1.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuyukcekmeceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuyukcekmece
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
79-113
79
113
-34
69avg 75
A08/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#8
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 75
H13/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
W
89-77
89
77
+12
90avg 75
H26/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
78-63
78
63
+15
80avg 75
A04/10
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
W
83-71
83
71
+12
78avg 75
H07/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
L
70-90
70
90
-20
57avg 75
A11/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
85-87
85
87
-2
83avg 75
H17/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
L
85-90
85
90
-5
72avg 75
A25/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 75
H01/11
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
A07/11
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
14-26
22-30
22-28
25-16
13-26
22-17
23-16
25-15
26-26
22-21
16-15
17-11
25-26
14-13
22-13
17-22
21-13
25-19
20-17
18-21
12-33
23-20
17-16
26-19
25-24
19-20
15-24
16-23
17-21
31-19
21-27
25-21
13-20
23-16
9-21
18-16
22-13
18-19
16-19
160.7Avg total
79.6Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.777.6157.2+2.156%
Season at home (5)82.077.6159.6+4.460%
Season away (4)76.877.5154.2-0.850%
Last 10 (10)79.681.1160.7-1.550%
Last 5 (5)76.882.4159.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.388.6167.9-9.312%
vs Similar (7)84.388.9173.1-4.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.375.8158.2+6.567%
This opponent (Balikesir) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalikesirTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalikesir
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
69-70
69
70
-1
56avg 67
H13/09
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
L
65-67
65
67
-2
60avg 67
A20/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 67
H27/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 67
A03/10
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
67-78
67
78
-11
52avg 67
A07/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
94-92
94
92
+2
84avg 67
H11/10
TBL
Final Spor
#7
L
52-68
52
68
-16
37avg 67
A18/10
TBL
CO Basket
#12
L
79-89 OT
79
89
-10
68avg 67
H25/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#1
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
62avg 67
A31/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#4
W
98-76
98
76
+22
no box
H08/11
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
13-19
20-16
22-18
11-22
20-17
15-10
19-18
13-23
23-18
8-16
25-22
15-29
25-13
25-19
26-24
22-16
11-25
17-20
17-17
29-20
15-23
26-25
24-24
16-20
11-12
10-16
15-20
15-7
16-22
16-29
26-15
22-14
17-16
10-16
18-21
28-19
31-23
23-14
16-20
153.8Avg total
75.7Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.778.1153.8-2.430%
Season at home (5)81.881.2163.0+0.640%
Season away (5)69.675.0144.6-5.420%
Last 10 (10)75.778.1153.8-2.430%
Last 5 (5)79.280.4159.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.682.9158.5-7.425%
vs Similar (12)80.280.5160.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (2)49.544.594.0+5.050%
This opponent (Buyukcekmece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 151Actual: Over 151
Over 151
68.6%
Under 151
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156.25 · main lineActual: Over 156.25
Over 156.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under 156.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 161Actual: Over 161
Over 161
44.3%
Under 161
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Buyukcekmece total 78.5Actual: Buyukcekmece over 78.5
Over 78.5
69.6%
@ 1.38+6.3pp
Under 78.5
30.4%
@ 2.38-6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.38
Buyukcekmece total 82.5 · main lineActual: Buyukcekmece over 82.5
Over 82.5
54.6%
@ 1.83+4.9pp
Under 82.5
45.4%
@ 1.88-4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.73
Under
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.71
Buyukcekmece total 86.5Actual: Buyukcekmece over 86.5
Over 86.5
38.8%
@ 2.42+2.7pp
Under 86.5
61.2%
@ 1.37-2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.42
Under
1xBet
1.37
Balikesir total 69.5Actual: Balikesir over 69.5
Over 69.5
71.1%
@ 1.36+6.8pp
Under 69.5
28.9%
@ 2.45-6.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.45
Balikesir total 73.5 · main lineActual: Balikesir over 73.5
Over 73.5
56.4%
@ 1.91+6.9pp
Under 73.5
43.6%
@ 1.80-6.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.70
Under
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Balikesir total 77.5Actual: Balikesir under 77.5
Over 77.5
41.0%
@ 2.36+3.9pp
Under 77.5
59.0%
@ 1.39-3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.36
Under
1xBet
1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Buyukcekmece -10.5Actual: Buyukcekmece -10.5
BUY -10.5
42.3%
@ 2.02-3.2pp
BALI +10.5
57.7%
@ 1.83+3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
BUY
1xBet
2.02
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.83
BALI
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.57
Spread Buyukcekmece -7.5 · main lineActual: Buyukcekmece -7.5
BUY -7.5
53.3%
@ 1.95+3.1pp
BALI +7.5
46.7%
@ 1.94-3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
BUY
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.82
Betfair
1.80
BALI
1xBet
1.94
Betfair
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Betano
1.83
Spread Buyukcekmece -4.5Actual: Buyukcekmece -4.5
BUY -4.5
64.4%
@ 1.37-0.4pp
BALI +4.5
35.6%
@ 2.52+0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
BUY
1xBet
1.37
BALI
1xBet
2.52

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
BuyukcekmeceBalikesir
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuyukcekmeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A08/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H13/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H26/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/10
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A11/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H17/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A25/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/11
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A07/11
TBL
81.7Avg total
39.6Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78.5
Last 30 (30)41.543.685.1-2.143%70%
Last 30 at home (16)41.841.983.6-0.144%69%
Last 30 away (14)41.145.686.7-4.443%71%
Last 10 (10)39.642.181.7-2.550%70%
Last 5 (5)38.442.280.6-3.840%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.744.885.5-4.129%71%
vs Similar (7)42.445.487.9-3.043%86%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.538.280.7+4.383%50%
This opponent (Balikesir) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalikesirLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H13/09
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A20/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A03/10
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/10
TBL
Final Spor
#7
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A18/10
TBL
CO Basket
#12
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H25/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#1
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A31/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#4
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H08/11
TBL
74.2Avg total
36.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78.5
Last 30 (29)39.040.379.3-1.238%52%
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.781.6+0.340%53%
Last 30 away (14)37.039.976.9-2.936%50%
Last 10 (10)36.737.574.2-0.840%30%
Last 5 (5)40.035.275.2+4.880%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.440.979.4-2.531%50%
vs Similar (12)40.540.380.8+0.242%58%
vs Weaker (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%0%
This opponent (Buyukcekmece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Buyukcekmece win
BUY win
no forecast
@ 1.41
BALI win
no forecast
@ 2.88
1st half Spread Buyukcekmece -3.5 · main lineActual: Balikesir +3.5
BUY -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
BALI +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 78.5 · main lineActual: Over 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.00
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Buyukcekmece 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Buyukcekmece under 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Balikesir 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Balikesir over 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Buyukcekmece -4.5Actual: Balikesir +4.5
BUY -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
BALI +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Buyukcekmece (regulation)
BUY
no forecast
@ 1.42
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
BALI
no forecast
@ 3.04

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
BUY win + total 155.5
🔒 Pro
BALI win + total 155.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BUY leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Balikesir over 68.574.4%1.31
1xBet
1.31		----+6.9ppWon
Balikesir over 69.571.1%1.36
1xBet
1.36		----+6.8ppWon
Buyukcekmece over 77.573.0%1.33
1xBet
1.33		----+6.6ppWon
Buyukcekmece over 76.576.1%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+6.6ppWon
Buyukcekmece (regulation)74.5%1.23
1xBet
1.23		----+5.6ppWon
Overtime: no95.9%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+4.3ppWon
Buyukcekmece win76.9%1.23
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.26
WilliamHill
1.25
BetVictor
1.24
1xBet
1.23		+1.3ppWon
Balikesir +14.571.0%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+0.9ppLost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buyukcekmecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buyukcekmece: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.8
52.2%
53.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.1
35.3%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.016.0
80.0%
71.2%16.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balikesirtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balikesir: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.317.2
43.8%
53.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.6
33.5%
33.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.713.6
65.7%
71.2%13.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buyukcekmece
WLLLLWWWWL
Balikesir
WLLLWLWLLL
#6
League position
#14
+5.1
Net rating
-6.9
97.5
Offensive rating
85.8
92.4
Defensive rating
92.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
46.3%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.3%
3-point %
33.5%
64.9%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 85.8Defence92.4 · 92.7Shooting52.5% · 46.3%3-point %35.3% · 33.5%Ball care16.0% · 14.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Buyukcekmece   ■ Balikesir
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Buyukcekmece wins
0
Balikesir wins
No previous meetings.
Buyukcekmecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AAnkara Kolejliler74-67
01/11/26HKahramanmaras70-78
25/10/26ADarussafaka85-90
17/10/26HFenerbahce 285-87
11/10/26AGaziantep70-90
07/10/26HiLab Basketbol83-71
04/10/26AKonya BBSK78-63
26/09/26HMKE Ankaragucu89-77
13/09/26HOGM Ormanspor83-75
08/05/26AAnadolu Efes79-113
Balikesirlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HMersin SK98-76
31/10/26AHarem Spor73-77 OT
25/10/26HCO Basket79-89 OT
18/10/26AFinal Spor52-68
11/10/26HKecioren Baglum94-92
07/10/26AGoztepe67-78
03/10/26AAnkara Kolejliler91-85
27/09/26HKahramanmaras69-79
20/09/26ADarussafaka65-67
13/09/26HFenerbahce 269-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buyukcekmece
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW56%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game79.782.076.8
Allowed / game77.677.677.5
Point differential+2.1+4.4-0.8
Avg total157.2159.6154.2
Over 156.2556%60%50%
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Balikesir
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW30%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game75.781.869.6
Allowed / game78.181.275.0
Point differential-2.4+0.6-5.4
Avg total153.8163.0144.6
Over 156.2540%60%20%
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %20%20%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Harem Spor108280%82.370.1+12.2
2 Goztepe108280%84.975.9+9.0
3 Kahramanmaras108280%83.074.5+8.5
4 Mersin SK108280%89.081.5+7.5
5 Gaziantep107370%80.776.3+4.4
6 Final Spor106460%80.978.7+2.2
7 Buyukcekmece95456%79.777.6+2.1
8 OGM Ormanspor105550%82.880.4+2.4
9 iLab Basketbol105550%84.185.0-0.9
10 Fenerbahce 294544%73.978.7-4.8
11 CO Basket114736%72.682.8-10.2
12 Darussafaka93633%76.083.4-7.4
13 MKE Ankaragucu93633%79.289.8-10.6
14 Balikesir103730%75.778.1-2.4
15 Ankara Kolejliler113827%73.580.3-6.8
16 Konya BBSK92722%80.284.9-4.7
17 Kecioren Baglum112918%87.488.6-1.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buyukcekmece1822242993
Balikesir2019152377
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