Bydgoszcz will host Gornik Walbrzych on 15 November 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, with the model favouring the away side as the overall shape of the contest leans toward a close finish. Both clubs finish the season 3-3, with Bydgoszcz averaging 85.3 points and conceding 88.2, while Gornik averages 84.7 and allows 83.3, placing them 8th and 7th respectively; Bydgoszcz's home record is 2-1 with 83.0 points for and 77.3 against, whereas Gornik's road record is 2-2 with 87.0 for and 83.5 against, and their last five games show Bydgoszcz 2-3 and Gornik 3-2. Recent results include Bydgoszcz's 70-62 win over Lublin at home, a 90-87 away win over Trefl Sopot, and a 77-100 loss to Slask Wroclaw, while Gornik fell 85-93 to Dabrowa Gornicza, 86-95 to Szczecin, and edged Gdynia 95-88 away. The teams are tied 4-4 in head-to-head history, with Gornik's last meeting ending 76-67 on 26 May 2024. Pythia assigns a 44% chance to Bydgoszcz and 56% to Gornik, projecting a 81-82 score and 163.3 total points; the home line is 1.0 with a 46% chance of covering, the over line is 168.0 with a 38% probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. The game will likely hinge on the final minutes, where Gornik's recent offensive edge could tip the balance.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 85.3 | 88.2 | 173.5 | -2.8 | 50% |
| Season at home (3) | 83.0 | 77.3 | 160.3 | +5.7 | 67% |
| Season away (3) | 87.7 | 99.0 | 186.7 | -11.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.2 | 84.2 | 168.4 | +0.0 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.4 | 86.8 | 168.2 | -5.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 86.5 | 105.0 | 191.5 | -18.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (8) | 81.9 | 80.1 | 162.0 | +1.8 | 62% |
| vs Weaker (20) | 85.5 | 77.3 | 162.9 | +8.2 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 84.7 | 83.3 | 168.0 | +1.3 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 80.0 | 83.0 | 163.0 | -3.0 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 87.0 | 83.5 | 170.5 | +3.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.9 | 85.2 | 170.1 | -0.3 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.2 | 82.4 | 166.6 | +1.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 81.7 | 89.4 | 171.1 | -7.6 | 36% |
| vs Similar (10) | 83.9 | 81.9 | 165.8 | +2.0 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 85.0 | 80.0 | 165.0 | +5.0 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.7 | 41.8 | 82.5 | -1.1 | 40% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 41.1 | 40.8 | 81.8 | +0.3 | 44% | 31% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.3 | 42.9 | 83.2 | -2.6 | 36% | 36% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.1 | 42.7 | 82.8 | -2.6 | 30% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.8 | 46.2 | 85.0 | -7.4 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 45.0 | 56.0 | 101.0 | -11.0 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Similar (8) | 39.8 | 42.5 | 82.2 | -2.8 | 25% | 25% |
| vs Weaker (20) | 40.6 | 40.0 | 80.7 | +0.6 | 50% | 30% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.9 | 42.8 | 84.7 | -0.8 | 40% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 42.0 | 45.0 | 87.0 | -3.0 | 29% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 41.9 | 40.8 | 82.7 | +1.1 | 50% | 44% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.3 | 43.6 | 86.9 | -0.3 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.2 | 44.4 | 87.6 | -1.2 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 43.4 | 45.2 | 88.6 | -1.9 | 43% | 64% |
| vs Similar (10) | 41.1 | 40.8 | 81.9 | +0.3 | 40% | 40% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 40.0 | 40.3 | 80.3 | -0.3 | 33% | 17% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 177 | 80.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +13.3pp |
| Under 172 | 71.0% | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 | - | - | - | +13.1pp |
| Bydgoszcz under 89.5 | 79.8% | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +11.6pp |
| Gornik Walbrzych under 90.5 | 78.4% | 1.35 | 1.38 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +11.5pp |
| Gornik Walbrzych +8.5 | 80.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 30.8 | 15.8 | 54.3% | 31.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 32.6 | 11.5 | 32.9% | 34.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.0 | 16.6 | 71.3% | 16.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.0 | 22.1 | 54.3% | 44.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.4 | 8.0 | 32.9% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.1 | 15.1 | 71.3% | 15.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26/05/24 | Bydgoszcz v Gornik Walbrzych | 67-76 |
| 25/05/24 | Bydgoszcz v Gornik Walbrzych | 74-86 |
| 19/05/24 | Gornik Walbrzych v Bydgoszcz | 77-65 |
| 18/05/24 | Gornik Walbrzych v Bydgoszcz | 65-68 |
| 18/02/24 | Gornik Walbrzych v Bydgoszcz | 75-83 |
| 15/11/23 | Bydgoszcz v Gornik Walbrzych | 58-48 |
| 17/01/19 | Bydgoszcz v Gornik Walbrzych | 95-77 |
| 13/10/18 | Gornik Walbrzych v Bydgoszcz | 76-66 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | Lublin | 70-62 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Trefl Sopot | 90-87 OT |
| 24/10/26 | A | Slask Wroclaw | 77-100 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Torun | 96-110 |
| 09/10/26 | H | GTK Gliwice | 74-75 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Zielona Gora | 105-95 |
| 27/05/26 | H | LKS Lodz | 96-87 |
| 24/05/26 | A | LKS Lodz | 69-88 |
| 23/05/26 | A | LKS Lodz | 81-74 |
| 17/05/26 | H | LKS Lodz | 84-64 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Dabrowa Gornicza | 85-93 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Szczecin | 86-95 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Gdynia | 95-88 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Dziki Warszawa | 74-71 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Ostrow Wielkopolski | 81-65 |
| 05/10/26 | A | Anwil Wloclawek | 87-88 OT |
| 06/05/26 | A | Ostrow Wielkopolski | 74-86 |
| 30/04/26 | H | Czarni Slupsk | 90-107 |
| 24/04/26 | A | Torun | 96-73 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Lublin | 81-86 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWW | 50% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Points / game | 85.3 | 83.0 | 87.7 |
| Allowed / game | 88.2 | 77.3 | 99.0 |
| Point differential | -2.8 | +5.7 | -11.3 |
| Avg total | 173.5 | 160.3 | 186.7 |
| Over 168.75 | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 50% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LWWL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 84.7 | 80.0 | 87.0 |
| Allowed / game | 83.3 | 83.0 | 83.5 |
| Point differential | +1.3 | -3.0 | +3.5 |
| Avg total | 168.0 | 163.0 | 170.5 |
| Over 168.75 | 67% | 50% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 91.7 | 82.8 | +8.8 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 88.4 | 80.1 | +8.3 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 91.5 | 74.5 | +17.0 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 83.1 | 74.6 | +8.6 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 85.7 | 83.3 | +2.4 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 84.4 | 84.6 | -0.1 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 84.7 | 83.3 | +1.3 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 85.3 | 88.2 | -2.8 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 88.0 | 86.4 | +1.6 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 81.4 | 82.3 | -0.9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 77.3 | 81.9 | -4.6 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.9 | 81.4 | -4.6 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 76.8 | 80.8 | -4.0 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 74.9 | 81.9 | -7.0 | |
| 15 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 81.0 | 87.5 | -6.5 | |
| 16 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 78.3 | 93.9 | -15.6 |
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