Bydgoszcz vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Bydgoszcz will host Lublin on 6 November 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, a contest that the model predicts to be low-scoring with a tight defence and a slow pace; the projected score is 83-81. Bydgoszcz is 2-3 this season, averaging 88.4 points and conceding 93.4, while Lublin is 1-4, scoring 75.0 and allowing 84.0, with Bydgoszcz holding a 1-1 home record and Lublin 0-2 on the road. Bydgoszcz's last five games include a 90-87 win over Trefl Sopot and losses to Slask Wroclaw and Torun, whereas Lublin's recent outings feature a 76-73 home win over Gdynia but defeats to Dabrowa Gornicza and Szczecin. In the seven meetings between the clubs, Lublin has won six, most recently 100-92 on 14 January 2023. The Pythia model favours Bydgoszcz with a 57% chance of victory and a 42% probability of covering the -4.5 spread, while the over on the 173.0 total has a 29% chance; overtime is unlikely at 5%. The game will hinge on Bydgoszcz's defensive resilience against Lublin's modest offensive output.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bydgoszcz winWon

56.8%fair 1.76

Best odds1.36

Implied72.7%

Edge-15.9pp

Lublin winLost

43.2%fair 2.31

Best odds3.46

Implied27.3%

Edge+15.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bydgoszcz

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBydgoszcz

Date

Competition

LKS Lodz

71-85

-14

62avg 82

H16/05

1 Liga

LKS Lodz

84-64

+20

80avg 82

H17/05

1 Liga

LKS Lodz

81-74

71avg 82

A23/05

1 Liga

LKS Lodz

69-88

-19

57avg 82

A24/05

1 Liga

LKS Lodz

96-87

84avg 82

H27/05

1 Liga

Zielona Gora

105-95

105

+10

103avg 82

H03/10

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#11

74-75

-1

67avg 82

H09/10

Energa Basket Liga

Torun

#12

96-110

110

-14

92avg 82

A16/10

Energa Basket Liga

Slask Wroclaw

77-100

100

-23

57avg 82

A24/10

Energa Basket Liga

Trefl Sopot

#16

90-87 OT

82avg 82

A31/10

Energa Basket Liga

23-29

19-25

14-17

15-14

12-22

24-14

23-13

25-15

20-13

16-22

26-23

19-16

20-15

18-26

13-21

18-26

20-20

18-21

30-19

28-27

29-21

30-22

27-35

19-17

22-20

13-26

27-15

12-14

18-22

29-38

22-30

27-20

28-24

15-28

13-29

21-19

21-28

15-15

21-14

19-19

170.8Avg total

84.3Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	88.4	93.4	181.8	-5.0	40%
Season at home (2)	89.5	85.0	174.5	+4.5	50%
Season away (3)	87.7	99.0	186.7	-11.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	86.5	170.8	-2.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	93.4	181.8	-5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	77.0	100.0	177.0	-23.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	83.4	83.4	166.9	+0.0	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	86.0	77.7	163.8	+8.3	80%

This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lublin

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLublin

Date

Competition

Trefl Sopot

97-103 OT

103

-6

94avg 73

A11/04

Energa Basket Liga

Gornik Walbrzych

#11

86-81

79avg 73

A18/04

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#15

86-82

79avg 73

H26/04

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

80-101

101

-21

69avg 73

H03/05

Energa Basket Liga

Dabrowa Gornicza

100-105

100

105

-5

101avg 73

A06/05

Energa Basket Liga

Ostrow Wielkopolski

#13

79-84 OT

-5

73avg 73

H03/10

Energa Basket Liga

Dziki Warszawa

77-97

-20

70avg 73

A11/10

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

76-73

67avg 73

H17/10

Energa Basket Liga

Szczecin

54-70

-16

43avg 73

A24/10

Energa Basket Liga

Dabrowa Gornicza

89-96

-7

no box

H01/11

Energa Basket Liga

26-12

21-26

19-19

18-27

20-19

23-18

24-25

19-19

13-31

27-24

22-11

24-16

19-21

18-27

21-22

22-31

27-22

24-35

23-23

26-25

13-20

26-8

17-24

16-20

10-23

13-31

26-22

28-21

21-19

27-15

16-20

12-19

14-14

16-21

9-15

15-20

22-22

23-20

23-23

21-31

171.6Avg total

82.4Scored

89.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	75.0	84.0	159.0	-9.0	20%
Season at home (3)	81.3	84.3	165.7	-3.0	33%
Season away (2)	65.5	83.5	149.0	-18.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	89.2	171.6	-6.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	84.0	159.0	-9.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	80.9	89.0	169.9	-8.1	27%
vs Similar (4)	91.8	92.0	183.8	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 166Actual: Under 166

Over 166

45.5%

@ 1.44-19.0pp

Under 166

54.5%

@ 2.62+19.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.44

Under

Bet365

2.62

Over/Under 171.25 · main lineActual: Under 171.25

Over 171.25

no forecast

@ 1.79

Under 171.25

no forecast

@ 1.83

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.79

Under

1xBet

1.83

Over/Under 176Actual: Under 176

Over 176

23.6%

@ 2.20-18.5pp

Under 176

76.4%

@ 1.60+18.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.20

Under

Bet365

1.60

Marathon Be

1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

Bydgoszcz total 85.5Actual: Bydgoszcz under 85.5

Over 85.5

41.1%

@ 1.42-22.5pp

Under 85.5

58.9%

@ 2.62+22.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.40

Under

Betano

2.62

1xBet

2.31

Bydgoszcz total 89.5 · main lineActual: Bydgoszcz under 89.5

Over 89.5

27.0%

@ 1.87-22.7pp

Under 89.5

73.0%

@ 1.88+22.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.87

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.76

Under

Betano

1.88

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.68

Bydgoszcz total 93.5Actual: Bydgoszcz under 93.5

Over 93.5

15.9%

@ 2.45-20.8pp

Under 93.5

84.1%

@ 1.47+20.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.45

1xBet

2.44

Under

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.37

Lublin total 78.5Actual: Lublin under 78.5

Over 78.5

60.3%

@ 1.43-4.4pp

Under 78.5

39.7%

@ 2.65+4.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.43

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.40

Under

Bet365

2.65

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.32

Lublin total 82.5 · main lineActual: Lublin under 82.5

Over 82.5

45.0%

@ 1.87-4.2pp

Under 82.5

55.0%

@ 1.85+4.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.87

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.75

Under

Betano

1.85

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.69

Lublin total 86.5Actual: Lublin under 86.5

Over 86.5

30.6%

@ 2.52-5.8pp

Under 86.5

69.4%

@ 1.50+5.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.52

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.42

Under

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bydgoszcz -10.5Actual: Lublin +10.5

BYDG -10.5

22.7%

@ 2.55-15.7pp

LUB +10.5

77.3%

@ 1.53+15.7pp

Best 5 market prices

BYDG

Bet365

2.55

Pinnacle

2.46

1xBet

2.35

Betano

2.30

LUB

Betano

1.53

Pinnacle

1.53

Bet365

1.50

Marathon Be

1.49

1xBet

1.42

Spread Bydgoszcz -7.5 · main lineActual: Bydgoszcz -7.5

BYDG -7.5

31.6%

@ 2.00-18.0pp

LUB +7.5

68.4%

@ 1.89+18.0pp

Best 5 market prices

BYDG

Bet365

2.00

Betfair

2.00

Pinnacle

1.92

Marathon Be

1.92

Betano

1.87

LUB

Pinnacle

1.89

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.80

Bet365

1.74

Betfair

1.73

Spread Bydgoszcz -4.5Actual: Bydgoszcz -4.5

BYDG -4.5

42.3%

@ 1.66-17.0pp

LUB +4.5

57.7%

@ 2.30+17.0pp

Best 5 market prices

BYDG

Bet365

1.66

Pinnacle

1.58

Betano

1.57

Marathon Be

1.57

1xBet

1.50

LUB

Pinnacle

2.30

Betano

2.20

1xBet

2.15

Bet365

2.12

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BydgoszczLublin

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	43%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	40%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	47%	33%
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	23.6	23.0	46.6	+0.6	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	24.0	52.0	+4.0	100%	100%
vs Similar (9)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.1	44%	22%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	40%	35%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.5	41.7	-3.4	27%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	24.6	42.7	-6.4	12%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.1	43%	36%
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.8	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.6	35.6	-3.6	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.0	21.7	40.7	-2.7	27%	38%
vs Similar (4)	20.2	27.8	48.0	-7.5	25%	100%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	30%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	40%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	23.1	42.7	-3.5	20%	40%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	23.7	43.4	-4.0	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	25.8	46.2	-5.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	28.0	43.0	-13.0	0%	100%
vs Similar (9)	20.1	23.9	44.0	-3.8	22%	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.8	20.9	41.7	-0.1	35%	35%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.4	44.1	-0.8	37%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	44%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.9	43.5	-2.4	29%	43%
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.5	44.3	-0.7	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	21.5	22.0	43.5	-0.6	35%	50%
vs Similar (4)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	50%	75%
vs Weaker	no games

BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

LKS Lodz

42-54

-12

H16/05

1 Liga

LKS Lodz

36-36

H17/05

1 Liga

LKS Lodz

36-35

A23/05

1 Liga

LKS Lodz

38-41

-3

A24/05

1 Liga

LKS Lodz

38-41

-3

H27/05

1 Liga

Zielona Gora

59-43

+16

H03/10

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#11

35-46

-11

H09/10

Energa Basket Liga

Torun

#12

47-60

-13

A16/10

Energa Basket Liga

Slask Wroclaw

43-52

-9

A24/10

Energa Basket Liga

Trefl Sopot

#16

36-43

-7

A31/10

Energa Basket Liga

86.1Avg total

41.0Scored

45.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.75
Last 30 (30)	40.8	42.2	83.0	-1.4	37%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	41.5	83.1	+0.1	40%	20%
Last 30 away (15)	40.0	42.9	82.9	-2.9	33%	33%
Last 10 (10)	41.0	45.1	86.1	-4.1	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	44.0	48.8	92.8	-4.8	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	43.0	52.0	95.0	-9.0	0%	100%
vs Similar (9)	40.6	44.4	85.0	-3.9	22%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.8	40.6	81.4	+0.1	45%	20%

This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trefl Sopot

47-38

A11/04

Energa Basket Liga

Gornik Walbrzych

#11

43-37

A18/04

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#15

40-55

-15

H26/04

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

37-48

-11

H03/05

Energa Basket Liga

Dabrowa Gornicza

51-57

-6

A06/05

Energa Basket Liga

Ostrow Wielkopolski

#13

39-28

+11

H03/10

Energa Basket Liga

Dziki Warszawa

23-54

-31

A11/10

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

48-34

+14

H17/10

Energa Basket Liga

Szczecin

30-35

-5

A24/10

Energa Basket Liga

Dabrowa Gornicza

45-42

H01/11

Energa Basket Liga

83.1Avg total

40.3Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.75
Last 30 (30)	40.8	45.0	85.8	-4.1	30%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	46.6	87.3	-5.8	25%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	43.1	84.1	-2.2	36%	43%
Last 10 (10)	40.3	42.8	83.1	-2.5	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	37.0	38.6	75.6	-1.6	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	40.5	43.8	84.2	-3.3	35%	46%
vs Similar (4)	43.2	52.8	96.0	-9.5	0%	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Bydgoszcz win

BYDG win

no forecast

@ 1.47

LUB win

no forecast

@ 3.04

1st half Spread Bydgoszcz -4 · main lineActual: Lublin +4

BYDG -4

no forecast

@ 1.90

LUB +4

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 85.75 · main lineActual: Under 85.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Bydgoszcz 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Bydgoszcz under 44.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.98

Lublin 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Lublin under 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.95

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: BYDG + total 86.5

BYDG & over

no forecast

@ 2.95

BYDG & under

no forecast

@ 2.95

1st half: Draw + total 86.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: LUB + total 86.5

LUB & over

no forecast

@ 4.90

LUB & under

no forecast

@ 4.90

1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Under 84.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.67

Under

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Over/Under 87Actual: Under 87

Over

no forecast

@ 2.13

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

1st half Spread Bydgoszcz -5Actual: Lublin +5

BYDG -5

no forecast

@ 2.09

LUB +5

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Spread Bydgoszcz -3Push

BYDG -3

no forecast

@ 1.78

LUB +3

no forecast

@ 2.04

1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Under 88.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.20

Under

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Spread Bydgoszcz -6.5Actual: Lublin +6.5

BYDG -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.55

LUB +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

1st half Spread Bydgoszcz -1.5Actual: Bydgoszcz -1.5

BYDG -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

LUB +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Bydgoszcz (regulation)

BYDG

no forecast

@ 1.54

Draw

no forecast

@ 18.00

LUB

no forecast

@ 2.88

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.2	40.6	+2.1	63%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	18.1	40.9	+4.6	73%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.3	40.3	-0.4	53%	27%
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	24.6	46.6	-2.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	29.0	42.0	-16.0	0%	0%
vs Similar (9)	23.0	20.9	43.9	+2.1	56%	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	70%	35%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.2	33%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	20.7	41.2	-0.1	44%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.9	41.4	-2.5	21%	50%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.4	27%	42%
vs Similar (4)	24.5	18.0	42.5	+6.5	75%	75%
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	21.9	17.8	39.7	+4.1	73%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	17.0	40.2	+6.2	87%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	60%	27%
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.6	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	100%	0%
vs Similar (9)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.8	78%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.9	17.6	40.5	+5.2	70%	35%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.1	40%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	44%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	36%	43%
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.9	43.0	-2.8	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	20.0	21.7	41.6	-1.7	35%	46%
vs Similar (4)	24.0	21.2	45.2	+2.8	75%	50%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.75
Last 30 (30)	43.2	37.1	80.3	+6.2	60%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	35.1	81.1	+10.8	73%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	39.0	79.5	+1.5	47%	13%
Last 10 (10)	41.9	40.3	82.2	+1.6	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	41.6	42.4	84.0	-0.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	48.0	82.0	-14.0	0%	0%
vs Similar (9)	42.9	39.0	81.9	+3.9	56%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.9	35.6	79.5	+8.2	65%	25%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.75
Last 30 (30)	40.5	42.9	83.4	-2.3	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	41.9	83.5	-0.4	50%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	43.9	83.3	-4.6	21%	57%
Last 10 (10)	40.1	43.3	83.4	-3.2	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	36.6	43.0	79.6	-6.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	39.3	43.4	82.7	-4.1	31%	46%
vs Similar (4)	48.5	39.2	87.8	+9.2	75%	50%
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BYDG win + total 172.5

🔒 Pro

LUB win + total 172.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BYDG leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: LUB leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (BYDG:LUB): BYDG wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Bydgoszcz under 91	78.4%	1.68	Marathon Bet 1.75	1xBet 1.61	-	-	-	+25.3pp	Won
Bydgoszcz under 90.5	76.1%	1.72	Marathon Bet 1.81	Betano 1.75	1xBet 1.59	-	-	+23.7pp	Won
Bydgoszcz under 89.5	73.0%	1.80	Betano 1.88	Bet365 1.83	Marathon Bet 1.83	1xBet 1.68	-	+22.7pp	Won
Bydgoszcz under 89	72.1%	1.81	Marathon Bet 1.87	1xBet 1.74	-	-	-	+22.7pp	Won
Bydgoszcz under 90	75.3%	1.69	Marathon Bet 1.76	1xBet 1.62	-	-	-	+22.6pp	Won
Bydgoszcz under 91.5	79.0%	1.57	Betano 1.65	1xBet 1.50	-	-	-	+22.3pp	Won
Bydgoszcz under 92.5	81.6%	1.51	Betano 1.55	Bet365 1.55	1xBet 1.43	-	-	+21.9pp	Won
Bydgoszcz under 93.5	84.1%	1.42	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	+20.8pp	Won
Bydgoszcz under 94.5	86.3%	1.37	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.31	-	-	+20.6pp	Won
Bydgoszcz under 96.5	90.0%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+18.6pp	Won
Under 176	76.4%	1.56	Bet365 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	-	+18.5pp	Won
Lublin +8	70.6%	1.77	1xBet 1.85	Pinnacle 1.82	Marathon Bet 1.75	Bet365 1.68	-	+18.2pp	Push
Under 175.5	75.0%	1.59	Bet365 1.62	Betano 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.56	-	-	+17.8pp	Won
Under 176.5	76.8%	1.55	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.54	-	-	+17.8pp	Won
Under 177	78.2%	1.54	Bet365 1.54	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	-	+17.8pp	Won
Bydgoszcz under 95.5	88.3%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+17.6pp	Won
Under 178	79.9%	1.50	Bet365 1.50	-	-	-	-	+17.4pp	Won
Under 177.5	78.6%	1.51	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.50	-	-	-	+17.3pp	Won
Under 179	81.5%	1.45	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	-	+17.3pp	Won
Lublin +9	73.8%	1.64	Pinnacle 1.68	Marathon Bet 1.63	Bet365 1.60	-	-	+17.2pp	Won
Under 173	70.5%	1.75	Bet365 1.80	Pinnacle 1.78	Marathon Bet 1.73	1xBet 1.68	-	+17.0pp	Won
Under 180	83.0%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+17.0pp	Won
Lublin +8.5	71.6%	1.67	Pinnacle 1.74	Betano 1.70	Marathon Bet 1.69	Bet365 1.64	1xBet 1.60	+16.9pp	Won
Under 178.5	80.2%	1.46	Bet365 1.47	Betano 1.45	-	-	-	+16.9pp	Won
Bydgoszcz under 98.5	92.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+16.8pp	Won
Under 180.5	83.3%	1.38	Betano 1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	+16.6pp	Won
Lublin +10	76.7%	1.54	Pinnacle 1.57	Bet365 1.54	Marathon Bet 1.52	-	-	+16.5pp	Won
Under 174	72.6%	1.69	Bet365 1.71	Pinnacle 1.70	Marathon Bet 1.65	-	-	+16.4pp	Won
Under 173.5	71.1%	1.71	Betano 1.75	Bet365 1.74	Pinnacle 1.74	Marathon Bet 1.69	1xBet 1.61	+16.3pp	Won
Lublin +15.5	88.0%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	+16.3pp	Won
Under 179.5	81.8%	1.40	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	+16.2pp	Won
Lublin +9.5	74.6%	1.57	Pinnacle 1.62	Betano 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.58	Bet365 1.57	1xBet 1.50	+16.1pp	Won
Under 175	74.5%	1.62	Bet365 1.66	Pinnacle 1.63	Marathon Bet 1.58	-	-	+16.0pp	Won
Under 174.5	73.1%	1.64	Bet365 1.68	Betano 1.67	Pinnacle 1.66	Marathon Bet 1.62	1xBet 1.59	+15.7pp	Won
Lublin +10.5	77.3%	1.49	Betano 1.53	Pinnacle 1.53	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.49	1xBet 1.42	+15.7pp	Won
Lublin +11	79.4%	1.47	Bet365 1.47	-	-	-	-	+15.5pp	Won
Bydgoszcz under 99.5	94.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+15.3pp	Won
Lublin +12	81.8%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+15.1pp	Won
Under 182.5	86.0%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+15.0pp	Won
Lublin +13.5	84.3%	1.33	Betano 1.34	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	+15.0pp	Won
Lublin +14.5	86.3%	1.29	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+14.9pp	Won
Lublin +11.5	79.9%	1.41	Betano 1.45	Bet365 1.44	1xBet 1.35	-	-	+14.9pp	Won
Lublin +12.5	82.2%	1.35	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+14.8pp	Won
Lublin +13	84.0%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+14.7pp	Won
Lublin +14	86.0%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+14.3pp	Won
Lublin +16.5	89.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+13.4pp	Won
Under 187.5	91.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+12.4pp	Won
Lublin +21.5	95.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Under 192.5	94.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Lublin under 92.5	85.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Lublin under 90.5	81.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Lublin under 93.5	87.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Lublin under 94.5	89.6%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Lublin under 87.5	72.7%	1.37	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Lublin under 88.5	75.7%	1.32	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Lublin under 96.5	92.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Bydgoszcz +18.5	95.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	-
Bydgoszcz +13.5	90.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Lublin over 68.5	89.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Lost
Lublin over 70.5	85.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Lost
Lublin over 72.5	80.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Lost
Bydgoszcz over 69.5	90.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Lublin over 73.5	77.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Lost
Bydgoszcz over 70.5	89.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Lost
Lublin over 74.5	74.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Lost
Bydgoszcz +8.5	81.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-3.6pp	Won
Bydgoszcz over 72.5	85.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-4.3pp	Lost
Over 147.5	84.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-5.1pp	Lost
Bydgoszcz over 74.5	80.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-7.4pp	Lost
Over 152.5	76.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-10.5pp	Lost
Bydgoszcz over 76.5	74.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-10.8pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 82.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀38%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.8	15.8	51.3%	54.1%	31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.6	11.5	35.3%	32.5%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	22.0	16.6	75.5%	71.3%	16.6

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 80.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.7	18.6	56.9%	54.1%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	8.8	29.2%	32.5%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	21.5	16.6	77.2%	71.3%	16.6

They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	20.3	52.6%	54.1%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	9.1	32.6%	32.5%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	26.4	17.4	65.9%	71.3%	17.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.0	24.3	57.9%	54.1%	48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	9.0	29.6%	32.5%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	21.2	14.3	67.5%	71.3%	14.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	18.5	55.5%	54.1%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	10.1	34.9%	32.5%	30.4
🏀 Free throws	23.4	17.0	72.4%	71.3%	17.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	20.0	55.1%	54.1%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	8.4	31.1%	32.5%	25.3
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.4	75.2%	71.3%	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	19.4	51.4%	54.1%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	9.1	31.6%	32.5%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	20.1	13.5	67.1%	71.3%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	22.9	56.6%	54.1%	45.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	9.4	32.6%	32.5%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.7	71.9%	71.3%	14.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Bydgoszcz

WLLLWWLWWL

Lublin

LLWLLLLWWL

#10

League position

#14

-2.9

Net rating

-10.8

93.4

Offensive rating

89.6

96.3

Defensive rating

100.4

52.1%

Effective FG%

50.6%

51.1%

Opp. effective FG%

52.2%

16.7%

Turnover %

16.0%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.34

35.3%

3-point %

29.2%

61.9%

Assist %

66.1%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Bydgoszcz ■ Lublin

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bydgoszcz wins

Lublin wins

Date	Game	Score
14/01/23	Bydgoszcz v Lublin	92-100
23/09/22	Lublin v Bydgoszcz	101-97 OT
07/04/22	Bydgoszcz v Lublin	82-89
10/12/21	Lublin v Bydgoszcz	73-80
18/03/21	Bydgoszcz v Lublin	89-92
06/12/20	Lublin v Bydgoszcz	107-101 OT
04/01/20	Bydgoszcz v Lublin	75-104

Bydgoszczlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	A	Trefl Sopot	90-87 OT
24/10/26	A	Slask Wroclaw	77-100
16/10/26	A	Torun	96-110
09/10/26	H	GTK Gliwice	74-75
03/10/26	H	Zielona Gora	105-95
27/05/26	H	LKS Lodz	96-87
24/05/26	A	LKS Lodz	69-88
23/05/26	A	LKS Lodz	81-74
17/05/26	H	LKS Lodz	84-64
16/05/26	H	LKS Lodz	71-85

Lublinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	H	Dabrowa Gornicza	89-96
24/10/26	A	Szczecin	54-70
17/10/26	H	Gdynia	76-73
11/10/26	A	Dziki Warszawa	77-97
03/10/26	H	Ostrow Wielkopolski	79-84 OT
06/05/26	A	Dabrowa Gornicza	100-105
03/05/26	H	Gdynia	80-101
26/04/26	H	GTK Gliwice	86-82
18/04/26	A	Gornik Walbrzych	86-81
11/04/26	A	Trefl Sopot	97-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bydgoszcz

Energa Basket Liga 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	40%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Points / game	88.4	89.5	87.7
Allowed / game	93.4	85.0	99.0
Point differential	-5.0	+4.5	-11.3
Avg total	181.8	174.5	186.7
Over 171.25	80%	50%	100%
Win by 10+	20%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	20%	0%	33%

Lublin

Energa Basket Liga 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	20%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	20%	33%	0%
Points / game	75.0	81.3	65.5
Allowed / game	84.0	84.3	83.5
Point differential	-9.0	-3.0	-18.0
Avg total	159.0	165.7	149.0
Over 171.25	40%	33%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	20%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Dabrowa Gornicza	5	5	0	100%	91.4	82.4	+9.0
2	Dziki Warszawa	5	4	1	80%	90.6	74.4	+16.2
3	Szczecin	5	4	1	80%	85.8	77.6	+8.2
4	Gdynia	5	3	2	60%	87.2	79.0	+8.2
5	Gornik Walbrzych	5	3	2	60%	84.6	81.4	+3.2
6	Slask Wroclaw	5	3	2	60%	85.6	84.4	+1.2
7	Anwil Wloclawek	5	3	2	60%	79.8	79.6	+0.2
8	Zielona Gora	5	3	2	60%	86.4	86.4	+0.0
9	Legia	5	3	2	60%	80.0	83.6	-3.6
10	GTK Gliwice	5	2	3	40%	80.6	82.4	-1.8
11	Torun	5	2	3	40%	86.8	89.6	-2.8
12	Ostrow Wielkopolski	5	2	3	40%	78.4	82.2	-3.8
13	Bydgoszcz	5	2	3	40%	88.4	93.4	-5.0
14	Lublin	5	1	4	20%	75.0	84.0	-9.0
15	Czarni Slupsk	5	0	5	0%	78.2	84.0	-5.8
16	Trefl Sopot	5	0	5	0%	79.0	93.4	-14.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bydgoszcz	22	11	18	19	70
Lublin	17	13	16	16	62

← all games of the day

Bydgoszcz vs Lublin Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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